Trump runs for POTUS / Trumped Up! Part IV

[Skeptic Ginger]

2 sources say Ailes showed up for Trump debate prep with a black eye

lol

Link's been removed?

 

[Tony Stark]

Link's been removed?

Hmm, the link I posted before works in Tapatalk but not Chrome.

https://twitter.com/gabrielsherman/status/770474580716752897

 

[SezMe]

So you have some ready. They have speechwriters on staff. I'd hire Jon Stewart to come up with some. My bet is he would donate his services.

You forget that Stewart also has writers that do almost all of his stuff. That's who you want on your team.

 

[SezMe]

I really want to read the stories about the Trump campaign when this is all over. I bet there are some juicy tales about just how nuts it has been.

Writers are chronicling his every daily move. Publishers are pounding on their writers to get every chapter done. Photographers are shooting millions of shots per day to provide irrefutable documentation.

Who will publish the first book?! Who will make the most outrageous claims?! Who will get the most late-night bookings?!

Stay tuned. Film at 11.

 

[SezMe]

Just to add an interesting tidbit to the general election discussion, I was at a dinner party last night with a friendly acquaintance who is a professor of government and a key political consultant for the Democratic party. He said that Hillary has a 7 point lead over Trump, and it has actually been remarkably steady despite the fluctuations in the headline polls. He claims that the fluctuations are due to response rates (e.g. in part due to short-term enthusiasm for one's choice) and not due to undecided voters flip-flopping on their allegiance. He thinks the voters are pretty well locked in and that Hillary has a much higher probability of winning than Nate Silver is coming up with (using his polls-plus forecast, which is at 25% last I checked).

That's probably the best information I have, so I'm going with that. At the very least, that's the view of the numbers geeks inside the Democratic Party.

Seems to be a reasonable analysis to me, especially the highlighted part. As stated elsewhere, I'm hard pressed to think anyone is undecided at this point.

 

[SezMe]

He's trying to scare Boeing employees that Boeing is going to move all jobs to China.

That actually might have legs. Didn't Boeing move a lot of production jobs to North (South?) Carolina to avoid union rules?

 

[SezMe]

Donald Trump has a massive Catholic problem

From that text you quoted:

And the GOP has actually won the Catholic vote as recently as 2004 and in 5 of the last 11 presidential elections.

That's crap writing. Note that it could also be stated as:

And the GOP has not won the Catholic vote since 2004 and has lost in 6 of the last 11 presidential elections.

Spin. Spin. Spin. My head is spinning.

 

[SezMe]

Deleted my note about a broken link

 

[SezMe]

I hope to God that Trump has someone videotaping his behind ...

That's how I first read your post. I tossed my Cornflakes at the thought of it.

 

[Armitage72]

Texas megachurch pastor Robert Jeffress would vote for Trump over Jesus because the bible demands a strongman, and Jesus would be weak on terrorism.

“You know, I was debating an evangelical professor on NPR, and this professor said, ‘Pastor, don’t you want a candidate who embodies the teaching of Jesus and would govern this country according to the principles found in the Sermon on the Mount?’” Jeffress said. “I said, ‘Heck no.’ I would run from that candidate as far as possible, because the Sermon on the Mount was not given as a governing principle for this nation.”

Jeffress, who has said freedom from religion is a “perverted idea,” argued as a Trump supporter that the U.S. government should not be based on Christian principles.

“Nowhere is government told to forgive those who wrong it, nowhere is government told to turn the other cheek,” Jeffress said.

“Government is to be a strongman to protect its citizens against evildoers. When I’m looking for somebody who’s going to deal with ISIS and exterminate ISIS, I don’t care about that candidate’s tone or vocabulary, I want the meanest, toughest, son of a you-know-what I can find — and I believe that’s biblical.”

So, the classic "Kill them all, let God sort them out".

 

[bonzombiekitty]

And only 77.6% the Now-cast, down from a maximum of around 88%. Is it just a correlation with Trump's Twitter-feed going quiet, or is there causation?

Probably a bit of both. His numbers really had nowhere else to go.

 

[The Don]

Probably a bit of both. His numbers really had nowhere else to go.

I really do think that people who assume that Hillary will cruise to victory need to be very careful. The gradual rebound in Trump's numbers and corresponding improvement in his fivethirtyeight chances of winning are, IMO, indicative that there are a lot of people out there looking for reasons not to vote for Hillary and who are therefore willing to switch (back) to Trump if only he'd stop saying ridiculous things.

 

[Cl1mh4224rd]

2 sources say Ailes showed up for Trump debate prep with a black eye

Link's been removed?

Hmm, the link I posted before works in Tapatalk but not Chrome.

https://twitter.com/gabrielsherman/status/770474580716752897

A stray double quote was attached to the end of the original link. That's what was causing the error.

 

[halleyscomet]

So who do y'all think will win in November and why?

 

[thaiboxerken]

So who do y'all think will win in November and why?

Hillary, because there aren't enough angry, white, Christian, uneducated men to overcome the rest of the USA.

 

[NoahFence]

So who do y'all think will win in November and why?

Hillary.

A Trump victory would require voter apathy on an epic scale. Since the majority of the country is comprised of people with more than 2 brain cells, he's got no shot.

 

[marplots]

So who do y'all think will win in November and why?

America.

 

[Belz...]

I really do think that people who assume that Hillary will cruise to victory need to be very careful. The gradual rebound in Trump's numbers and corresponding improvement in his fivethirtyeight chances of winning are, IMO, indicative that there are a lot of people out there looking for reasons not to vote for Hillary and who are therefore willing to switch (back) to Trump if only he'd stop saying ridiculous things.

If only he can.

 

[uke2se]

Don't know if it's been posted before, but I just found Ken Burns' Stanford Commencement Speech, and found it to be a very good read, and a good summary of the momentous responsibility that now befalls American voters.

https://www.documentcloud.org/docum...nford-Commencement-Speech-As.html#document/p1

 

[TofuFighter]

So who do y'all think will win in November and why?

Hillary. Because Foolmewunz assured me that there are less people in the USA that are completely nuts than it seems.

That's just a joke of course. I don't think you need to be nuts to vote for Trump. The vitriol traded for so many years between ordinary people on the left and the right is enough to drive people permanently to one side or the other. The candidate him/herself is less important that "my side" winning.

Still... Hillary.