The point is, how does Trump, with everything he's done and said, still have a 36% chance of winning? How does ANY reputable poll, like the L.A. Times, have Trump ahead? He's essentially treating his campaign like a practical joke. Clinton should be burying him in the polls. She's up by ONE in the latest NBC poll?
Imagine plucking Kerry (who was pretty lousy himself) from 2004, and running him against Trump right now. What do you think the result would be? I think he would be crushing it.
There's really only two possibilities: this country is much more misogynistic than anyone thought, or Clinton is one of the worst candidates in history, or some combination of the two. We know from polling that 2/3 of the electorate think Clinton's an untrustworthy liar, and a majority think the FBI should have recommended charges against her. Throw in a healthy dash of sexism, and anyone with an R next to their name is going to be competitive against her.
On the bright side, Trump could have a 46% chance of winning, instead of 36%. Yay.