The existence of God and the efficacy of prayer

Do you, a priori, reject even the possibility that some phenomena can only be experienced through participation?
I didn't say it wasn't an experience. I said it wasn't research into the cause behind the experience.

And you know it.

Doesn't it ever get tiring trying to defend a position that can only be defended with such dishonesty as this?
 
I didn't say it wasn't an experience. I said it wasn't research into the cause behind the experience.
By mandating skepticism in research, you are a priori dismissing the possibility of research into phenomena inconsistent with skepticism.

And you know it.
Nope.

Doesn't it ever get tiring trying to defend a position that can only be defended with such dishonesty as this?
How tiring is it to manufacture sinister motives for people who disagree with you?
 
some phenomena can only be experienced through participation?

That's inarguably true of this and many other things scientists study. You can only experience the side effects if you take the medicine. So scientists give the medicine to patients and ask: do you feel nauseous? If 30% of participants said yes, but no scientist felt nauseous, scientists can still conclude that nausea is a common side effect of the medicine.

I don't think that's what you mean.
 
That's inarguably true of this and many other things scientists study. You can only experience the side effects if you take the medicine. So scientists give the medicine to patients and ask: do you feel nauseous? If 30% of participants said yes, but no scientist felt nauseous, scientists can still conclude that nausea is a common side effect of the medicine.

I don't think that's what you mean.

No, I mean the existence of phenomena that cannot be observed by a disinterested observer. The example would be that 80% of the patients report nausea only if the scientists administering the medicine believed the drug would cause nausea, while only 15% report nausea if the scientists administering the drug are unaware of this side effect.
 
By m by, Jonn Frum he go buggerimup pinis long wite pellah. Den com villidz gavman! E makin long 'eap CARGO long black pellah plenny too muss!

Well, it's a religion, innit?

Gotta wonder what the Frumists have on their stained glass windows, the ones letting in the effulgence of God? Blue triangle, any explanations? Or exclamations?


I see you used my favourite bit of pidgin.
 
No, I mean the existence of phenomena that cannot be observed by a disinterested observer. The example would be that 80% of the patients report nausea only if the scientists administering the medicine believed the drug would cause nausea, while only 15% report nausea if the scientists administering the drug are unaware of this side effect.

Ah, okay.

But that doesn't seem to fit PartSkeptic's claim about the desert fast. I'm not sure what the claim was, beyond he felt fine, but was there any implication that the participants wouldn't have felt fine if someone had observed them?

It seems pretty similar to the hypothetical medicine experiment (and I didn't intend it). At the end, scientists could ask participants, how do you feel? If 95% say they feel fine, the scientists could conclude that almost all participants reported feeling fine, without needing to fast themselves.

If the claim is that participants only felt fine if not asked, and if asked, the majority said, "Now that you mention it, I'm thirsty, hot, tired and hungry. I didn't realize it till now, because that guru was filling us with such positive energy," well, there's an obvious placebo thing going on, that scientists are used to investigating further.

For there to be a phenomenon that couldn't be investigated in the usual way, it would need to be a phenomenon that wasn't affected by placebo, that wasn't an obvious cover up for lying or a magic trick ("I can levitate but only if nobody watches, or only if I steady myself with this staff") and that actually showed a real effect rather than using an excuse ("I can predict the future if I really concentrate. If the prediction comes true, then you'll know that's when I was concentrating hard enough").

Those are the categories I can think of, that cover most special phenomena.
 
PartSkeptic said this....

The Tarot cards seem to work for me and some others. If they do, then the cards must be "manipulated" so that they fall in the desired order. Once one tries to test that, it will fail because God (or his agent) will simply let the normal shuffle randomly order the cards without any intervention. When this happens, as it does now and then, there is no thread to be seen in the layouts.

God will not be caught napping by some clever scientists. Otherwise, what purpose would this site have?

I'm not sure how that translates to the desert fasting claim, but he's clearly implying that whether or not there's a scientific test applied will affect whether the outcome can include a supernatural component.
 
If the claim is that participants only felt fine if not asked, and if asked, the majority said, "Now that you mention it, I'm thirsty, hot, tired and hungry. I didn't realize it till now, because that guru was filling us with such positive energy," well, there's an obvious placebo thing going on, that scientists are used to investigating further.

Right, the assumption is that they were already hungry but didn't realize it until asked.

How would you test for the possibility that they really weren't hungry until asked? That the survey itself changed the result?
 
PartSkeptic said this....



I'm not sure how that translates to the desert fasting claim, but he's clearly implying that whether or not there's a scientific test applied will affect whether the outcome can include a supernatural component.

That's a standard woo cop-out. "Psychics" use it all the time.

"I couldn't read his mind because there was a skeptic using anti-psi to prevent it. They do that just by being skeptical."
 
Right, the assumption is that they were already hungry but didn't realize it until asked.

How would you test for the possibility that they really weren't hungry until asked? That the survey itself changed the result?

I believe one of the requirements of such surveys is to not ask leading questions.

For example, ask "How do you feel" instead of "Are you hungry" and looking like you expect it.

One way is to do a "double-blind" test.
 
Right, the assumption is that they were already hungry but didn't realize it until asked.

How would you test for the possibility that they really weren't hungry until asked? That the survey itself changed the result?

This is not my field, so I'm just guessing as an amateur, but some possibilities that occur to me:

--Ask some different questions leading them positively, negatively or neutral, and compare the answers. How happy and energized do you feel? How tired and hungry do you feel? How do you feel? If they really do feel good, almost all should respond positively to the positive question and not all would be brought down by the negative one.

--Ask the next week, how did you feel at the close of the event? They would be under less stress and less apt to be brought down by a question.

--If it wouldn't ruin the experience (check with the leader), ask participants to keep a journal. If they initiate the writing, there won't be an intrusive questioner.

--if participants agree in advance, connect them to those fancy MRI machines, and the pleasure centers of the brain should be lit. I'm probably using very poor layman's terminology. But I have no doubt it would show positive emotions though.

I'm sure pros could also come up with more and better ideas.
 
That's a standard woo cop-out. "Psychics" use it all the time.

"I couldn't read his mind because there was a skeptic using anti-psi to prevent it. They do that just by being skeptical."

Yes, it's a very common cop-out. This is part of why, if you take a look at Randi's old tests, he tended to do "dry runs" - have the subject use their abilities when they knew the right answer to make sure nothing was impeding them. Give them the opportunity to say how the test conditions are just fine before they are tested.
 
How does one investigate claims of mystical experiences without researching them? Namely, taking part in them, and asking questions of the participants. I kept an open mind. Which meant that I analytically assessed what was going on without a dismissive attitude.

Would I be right in thinking that many on this forum are arm-chair critics who get their viewpoints from authors who also have not had any "experience" in the practical world of the supernatural? Or have had bad experiences with clerics and followers in some religion or other?

I vacillate between being skeptical of my own experiences and my choice to believe, and accepting that I have the correct answers to the meaning of life and how it all works. I am not schizophrenic in this. To be truly skeptical and analytical one has to examine things from different viewpoints from time to time, rather than cling to dogma of any sort.

It would seem my fellow atheists have done a good job in thumping your arguments here PS, but I would like to add just one thing.

How many different types of "mystical experiences" do you plan to experience first hand? You're going to be very busy to check them all out. Lots of scope over here in Thailand.
 
There's a world of a difference between a professional magician who spends his life devising an[d] creating clever illusions, and a devout, poverty-stricken, poorly educated peasant girl, who spent her short life working and helping others. Can you see it?


There's a huge difference: the peasant girl in question only has to learn one simple trick, and might easily do so by accident or trial and error, if not instructed by some other person. A professional magician has to master tricks that work for an audience of people who aren't vastly underestimating them (such as by assuming that because they're devout and poor, they couldn't possibly be resourceful enough to fool anyone educated—now that's hubris, and dehumanizing to boot—or be perceptive enough to weigh a little deception against the obvious resulting benefits to their impoverished family when the gifts and offerings start coming in).

I can walk a Slinky from hand to hand, which is a difficult stunt that few professional jugglers can do (because it's hard, and also because it's not part of their usual repertoire so they're not particularly motivated to learn it). I taught myself to do it when I was a kid, because I thought that's how you were supposed to play with a Slinky. (And because video games didn't exist yet.) Learning a trick or two isn't unusual for any child.

Consider the afflicted girls in the Salem witchcraft cases. By all accounts, their contortions and anguish were so dramatic that no one believed they could possibly be faking. (And, despite a recently popular idea, any actual disease such as ergotism is an unlikely explanation for it.) How could such devout hard-working village girls have learned such superb acting during their short lives? The naiveté implicit in that question led to many deaths. (Unless you believe, instead, that the girls really were being assaulted by the spectral forms of witches and the twenty people executed actually were guilty of casting those spells.)

I never said any of the mystics didn't sin. However, a sin of this magnitude, to someone of such faith, would in their belief system have grave consequences.


And yet, in my experience, that exact kind of sin is easily forgiven by other people of comparable faith even when the deception is discovered, usually because "it brings people to God." There's no reason to think they couldn't think of the same rationalization themselves if the deception remains their secret.

To deny the truth of these accounts - and there are many - you and your fellow skeptics have to invent increasingly implausable alternative scenarios. You sound like a reflection of the God-of-the-gaps theists.


Implausible: even though dying without food and water is something all people have in common and all cultures know, some people can live indefinitely without food or water if spirits are helping them.

Implausible: some people can fool people, especially when the people being fooled are also chauvinistically underestimating them because they're foreign, poor, devout, uneducated, and/or young.

Which one are you claiming is more implausible, now?

Observing you isn't the correct way of determining whether or not you have ingested the flu virus (unless the doctor's eyesight was particularly excellent).


Correct.

On the other hand, observing the situation and daily life of a bedridden mystic, weighing her, etc, is the correct way to determine whether or not she has taken any food.


Incorrect, for the same reason the previous quote was correct.

The only hypothesis that "observing the situation and daily life" of the mystic can falsify is that the mystic is insane or deluded; that is, the mystic is eating food and drinking water normally and openly without realizing it. For other hypotheses including deliberate trickery (and actual spirit intervention for that matter), observing daily life is a useless test. Did you know that people can eat and drink at night?

No, they simply observed the mystic and concluded that as far as they could tell that he or she hadn't taken any food or water.


So they disproved the delusion hypothesis, which no one was suggesting in the first place. That has some small value, but does nothing to distinguish between the two "implausible" hypotheses mentioned above.

I think they were present because they were well educated and honest and therefore more likely to detect any subterfuge.


They were educated idiots if they thought that. I asked what training their respective educations gave them in detecting subterfuge; the obvious answer (which you've offered nothing to contradict) is none, nor is there any account of them putting any procedure in place, even the most rudimentary such as round-the-clock observation, to help do so. If the examiners had been police detectives, magicians, guards from an involuntary drug rehab facility, retail stop-loss (anti shoplifting) personnel, people who actually trained and experienced in how deceptions are done and how to figure them out, and/or if they'd actually made some attempt to study what was going on instead of look in and say, "nope, no ham sandwiches in sight," then you might have a case.

God can choose people for special purposes.


God, as usually defined, can do anything. Including not choose people for special purposes and not secretly administer intraspiritual feedings. So an argument about what God can do advances no position in particular. The evidence that God actually does that is lacking.

I think given the many careful accounts we have of phenomena such as inedia, the stigmata etc, there is a reasonable likelihood that something was directing the lives of these mystics that could defy natural laws, or that understood them better than we do - and that had the purpose of bolstering our faith. It is therefore also reasonable to look into the matter further and to be ready to change one's worldview if the evidence warrants it. You would likely argue that the evidence would have to be overwhelming, abundant and scientifically repeatable to be anywhere near convincing enough to change your mind, as per Carl Sagan's famous dictum. But I would say that the materialism that many hold as true is not and has never been warranted by the evidence of science, which it co-opts for its own purposes. The problem is not that the evidence for religious claims has to be more extraordinary, but that the skeptic and materialist has strayed so far from the truth that almost no evidence, no matter how extraordinary, would be enough to put him back on track. He would always want more.


"You would always want more" is a nasty claim, though it's common enough that we usually take little notice of it. Do you refuse to tip waitstaff because no matter how much you tip, they "would always want more?" How about giving to the poor—even Jesus said, basically, that they will always want more.

It's not about what anyone wants, it's about what's fair or deserved or sufficient.

You tell tales of miracles that I'm supposed to accept as well-evidenced because they were investigated in a way that could not possibly rule out the most likely explanation of subterfuge, and address my claim of insufficient evidence by tarring me with the terrible sin of "wanting more." It's not that your evidence (despite obviously lacking in obvious ways) is lacking, it's that I'm greedy! I suppose "arrogant" and "not knowing my place" will soon be wafting my way as well.

Show me sufficient evidence and I won't want any more. For example, I have more than sufficient evidence that my computer works via electronic semiconductor circuitry, that life on earth evolved, that Antarctica exists even though I've never seen it with my own eyes, that the sun is a star, and that my exhaled breath contains a substance, which is also found in many rocks, that plants take in and use to build their forms. (Each of those facts would have astounded, confounded, and possibly delighted the greatest and wisest of mystics and prophets throughout the ages, had they been able to learn them). I might want to know more about the details of any of those things but I don't need or want any more evidence that they're true. So your "would always want more" is a libel as well as a flimsy excuse for crappy evidence.
 
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That makes no sense. Buddhism, or more clearly Shinto, Hinduism, for example, have a clear set of beliefs that are in conflict with the Abrahamic religions. There is no 'God' in buddhism. Plain and simple.
There is no common same god that all disparate religions agree on. You can manufacture a salad bar god that somehow you think you can make fit into all those religions, but it is simply not the case.

If you accept buddha boys magical no food powers, and you accept christian mystic lady's magical no food powers, you are forced into creating a merged 'god' that neither believe in.


I cannot believe you cannot grasp what I am saying!

Unless there are different realities for different groups of people, there is only ONE true reality, and what one believes to be true does not affect the actual truth. If God exists, he exists irrespective of what different peoples opinions are. If God does not exist, then he does not exist no matter what religion one belongs to.

Some people believe Trump to be a clown, others that he is a crazy racist, and others think he would make a great president. What they believe does not change who and what Trump actually is.
 
I think that does more to show that individual religions tap into the same stimulus-reponse and they all use the tricks to claim it's evidence of their form of god or mysticism. Fasting produces similar sensations in all humans, so different religions have harnessed itt. Repetitive behavior and self denial, ditto, so of course monks will seem similar. There are dozens of such things. The whole idea of a sense of religious feeling is hardwired into our brains and is being investigated by scientists with MRIs.

I don't see how anyone could deny the sensations exist. The question is are they triggered by a real god outside the brain, and I don't think the way to investigate that is to trigger the sensations and conclude, yep, it felt real. The monk/shaman/etc. was right. Of course it felt real. That's part of the definition of the experience.


I agree with your analysis.

And for me there would be no way for me to tell what is simply "feeling", and what might be some connection with the supernatural, except for the experiences where there was more than just "feeling".

It is the experiences where there is knowledge that does not seem possible to have without the supernatural. Seeing the future is a strong example.

Another milder example was when I attended another "spiritual ritual" where there was silent play acting and the participants were placed at various points and then they moved around according to what they were "feeling". Some members were identified as they were placed, and spoke about how they "felt" about others, even if the others were not pre-identified.

Afterwards the person who had asked for the session to understand a situation they were in, got information about the dynamics of what was happening. Strange how it worked, and strange that it seemed to have positive results.

You guys miss out on all this fun. Although I think the US is so full of charlatans it would be hard to find a genuine group.
 
(snip)

How many different types of "mystical experiences" do you plan to experience first hand? You're going to be very busy to check them all out. Lots of scope over here in Thailand.


No more. Unless they just come to me as many have.

When in Thailand on holiday about 2 years ago I visited the Tiger Temple. I was not impressed. To me it was commercial. One monk sat there at the back of the temple with his electric fan and his Fanta bottle reading a book of strange geometrical figures and symbols. No a scrap of true spirit there what-so-ever. They closed the place down a short while ago.

The monks I saw in the town spraying water with a whisk were surly and bored. No thanks. I doubt there would be anything for me. Sop for the masses.
 

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