Predict California's Democatic Primary

[Loss Leader]

Place your bets for California's Democratic Primary.

It's really just that simple. Vote above.


ETA: California allows early voting up to 4 weeks before the primary. An independent voter must ask for a Democratic ballot at the polls. California's population is 38.6% Hispanic, 6.5% black, and 38.5% non-Hispanic white. 25% of Californian's are of Mexican ancestry.

 

[Magrat]

(There's no poll?)

 

[Denver]

I think it will be close, but Clinton will pull it out.

 

[Loss Leader]

Poll is up. As for me, I'm going with Nate Silver because reasons.

 

[Denver]

I think it will be close, but Clinton will pull it out.

Though I hope I am wrong.

 

[Maya22]

I don't care about the California primary. I just want the Sharks to win today's hockey game.

<sarcasm about the first part>.

 

[applecorped]

I think it will be close, but Clinton will pull it out.

Bill?

 

[Maya22]

These statistics may help predict the general election in November. I don't know who will win the smaller parties' primaries.
The Libertarian Convention already happened, however, California Libertarians get to vote for their presidential candidates just for fun, lol.

Eligible 24,783,789
Registered 17,915,053 72.29%
Democratic 8,029,130 44.82%
Republican 4,888,771 27.29%
American Independent 457,173 2.55%
Green 77,868 0.43%
Libertarian 115,189 0.64%
Peace and Freedom 71,326 0.40%
Other 97,948 0.55% I am assuming that these are people registered with unqualified parties, including fringe parties.
No Party Preference 4,177,648 23.32%

 

[Travis]

I am going with Nate because he is a wizard.

I already got my sample ballot worked out. Not too hard, only like five things to vote on this time around. I'm going Bernie in case anyone wondered.

 

[angrysoba]

I think Clinton will win.

In how many states are the Greens on the presidential ballot? I understand that Libertarians are almost at 50.

 

[Maya22]

The Green Party presidential candidates are on the ballot in only 20 states. I imagine that eventually they will have a political presence in all 50 states. I have noticed that Green Parties in some other countries have a much greater presence in those countries than the Green Party in the U.S.

www.gp.org/ballotaccess

 

[Loss Leader]

4 of 11 people so far have picked Sanders to win (4 of 10 expressing an opinion). I'm surprised. Even if you're feeling the Bern all over your body, you have to acknowledge that the demographics do not look favorable for him.

 

[Fudbucker]

4 of 11 people so far have picked Sanders to win (4 of 10 expressing an opinion). I'm surprised. Even if you're feeling the Bern all over your body, you have to acknowledge that the demographics do not look favorable for him.

The polling suggests a tightening race, and Hillary will already have it sewn up when NJ's results come in, possible suppressing her turnout by a couple points. I think he'll win by a couple.

 

[Loss Leader]

The polling suggests a tightening race, and Hillary will already have it sewn up when NJ's results come in, possible suppressing her turnout by a couple points. I think he'll win by a couple.

Trump had been alone in the Republican field for weeks and as much as 40% of voters turned up just to vote against him. I think Californians will vote.

 

[applecorped]

I think Californians will vote.

bold prediction

 

[Skeptic Ginger]

I think it will depend on who stays home, Clinton voters because she has it in the bag, or Sanders supporters because they aren't feeling the fairy tale.

Another variable is going to be ballots already mailed in (Clinton), vs new voters (Sanders).

 

[Loss Leader]

Another variable is going to be ballots already mailed in (Clinton), vs new voters (Sanders).

I think I read that Clinton has a 7% lead in mailed ballots.

 

[Beady]

I think I read that Clinton has a 7% lead in mailed ballots.

How in hell would *anybody* know that?

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I337 using Tapatalk

 

[Mister Earl]

I put in a vote for Sanders, because my inner optimist has not yet been crushed into its final, curmudgeonly pessimist form.

 

[Norman Alexander]

Where is the Pity Party in this ballot? I heard there were plenty of votes going that way.