Passing Peak Trump?

steve s said:
What exactly would he bomb? They don't have air force bases or aircraft carriers. He'd have to carpet bomb entire towns to get rid of them.

Steve S
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I think the latter is exactly what he means.

We could win the war, the question has always been how far are we prepared to go to do so, and how much collateral damage are we prepared to countenance in the process.
 
What gets to me how many support Trump simply because he is "Anti Establishment".
To support somebody mainly because he is "Anti Establishment" regardless of his policies or what kind of guy he is (and ,yes, that is important in a president) is an act of supreme stupidity. Sort of burning down a house to get rid of mice.
 
Trump's campaign will not end with a bang, but with a whimper. He will just slide downward as another candidate takes the lead. Pundits will analyze the hell out of it so they can say "Here! Here is the thing that did him in" but it will merely be post hoc fallacy.

Of course I could be wrong about how it ends, but it will end.
 
Ladewig said:
Trump's campaign will not end with a bang, but with a whimper. He will just slide downward as another candidate takes the lead. Pundits will analyze the hell out of it so they can say "Here! Here is the thing that did him in" but it will merely be post hoc fallacy.

Of course I could be wrong about how it ends, but it will end.
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Nah. His campaign for the nomination will end with his nomination. His campaign for the presidency will end with his election as POTUS. It's his time. The stars are aligned. Just an expression, lest someone interpret that as meaning that I believe in astrology.
 
Doghouse Reilly said:
Nah. His campaign for the nomination will end with his nomination. His campaign for the presidency will end with his election as POTUS. It's his time. The stars are aligned. Just an expression, lest someone interpret that as meaning that I believe in astrology.
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You sound serious.
Have you started thinking about avatars for me if you win the bet?
 
Mentally stable or not, I wouldn't trust him in the white house. POTUS is among the most demanding jobs and requires a multitude of decisions and is imaginably a huge load of stress both from the pressures of the job and the constant thick skin required to get through constant criticisms of policy or an expectation to do things right. Trump has usually failed at the point of keeping a thick skin and he's mainly pulling at populist rhetoric without the slightest registering of how reality would play out. But whereas I criticized Obama on this in 2008 because it was largely idealist policy he likely knew wouldn't get passed so easily, Trump just plain doesn't seem to know what he's doing... or rather I think it difficult to understand if he'd actually do it given his penchant to change positions on a dime.

Irrespective of what it is, his argument boils simply down to rally the populist, anti-establishment far-right. I don't mind being anti-establishment, but his populist rhetoric leaves much to be skeptical about and he has a foreign policy lean to match.
 
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Jrrarglblarg said:
I hope you pick Trump With A Topknot.
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At first I thought that that avatar would be embarrassing, but given that I view Trump as a clown, I think I would be happy with it.

But it is not that much of an issue for me, because I am going to win.
 
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Ladewig said:
At first I thought that that avatar would be embarrassing, but given that I view Trump as a clown, I think I would be happy with it.

But it is not that much of an issue for me, because I am going to win.
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Out of curiosity, who do you think has a good chance of winning the nomination? Rubio? Cruz? And why do you think that this person will surge past Trump?
 
Grizzly Bear said:
Mentally stable or not, I wouldn't trust him in the white house. POTUS is among the most demanding jobs and requires a multitude of decisions and is imaginably a huge load of stress both from the pressures of the job and the constant thick skin required to get through constant criticisms of policy or an expectation to do things right. Trump has usually failed at the point of keeping a thick skin and he's mainly pulling at populist rhetoric without the slightest registering of how reality would play out. But whereas I criticized Obama on this in 2008 because it was largely idealist policy he likely knew wouldn't get passed so easily, Trump just plain doesn't seem to know what he's doing... or rather I think it difficult to understand if he'd actually do it given his penchant to change positions on a dime.

Irrespective of what it is, his argument boils simply down to rally the populist, anti-establishment far-right. I don't mind being anti-establishment, but his populist rhetoric leaves much to be skeptical about and he has a foreign policy lean to match.
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There are some people who are so violently anti establishment that they will support ANYBODY who is Anti Establishement. Extremely dangerous ,in my opinion.
 
Ladewig said:
At first I thought that that avatar would be embarrassing, but given that I view Trump as a clown, I think I would be happy with it.

But it is not that much of an issue for me, because I am going to win.
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Probably Cruz (who I think can beat Clinton). As Carson and the others drop out, their points will end up with someone like Cruz. Also as we get closer to Iowa, more people will realize that when it comes to politics, Trump is all hat and no cattle.
 
Skeptic Ginger said:
Curious if you think the GOP public sees Trump as a good bet against the ISIS threat? Do many people think blowing up oil fields is a viable tactic?
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I know you weren't asking me, but yes, they view Trump favorably in this regard because of his outspoken resolve to keep Syrians out of the country. Especially after the Paris attacks, this will set him apart from all other candidates. Whether or not blowing up oil fields is a viable tactic is irrelevant to his support if the public has the impression that Trump will do the most to keep them safe at home. Cynical as it may sound, Trump is going to see a big jump in support as a result of the Paris attacks.
 
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Ladewig said:
Probably Cruz (who I think can beat Clinton). As Carson and the others drop out, their points will end up with someone like Cruz. Also as we get closer to Iowa, more people will realize that when it comes to politics, Trump is all hat and no cattle.
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See, I don't understand why you're so sure that most of Carson's support won't go to Trump. I think it will. And that's assuming that he even drops out of the race. Have you considered the possibility that nobody drops out? That would mean that Trump wins, if things stayed as they are currently.
 
Doghouse Reilly said:
See, I don't understand why you're so sure that most of Carson's support won't go to Trump. I think it will. And that's assuming that he even drops out of the race. Have you considered the possibility that nobody drops out? That would mean that Trump wins, if things stayed as they are currently.
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And that same difference of opinion is why horse racing exists.

It is a long way until Super Tuesday (March 1). Almost anything could happen.
 
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