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Moderated JFK conspiracy theories: it never ends III

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That would be reread, and I enjoyed it very much.
I also like "Harrician."

And Sandy, isn't it an amazing coincidence that the lady in black to the right of the screen in this video, reacted to the explosion at the Olympic village by raising her hand to her ear, exactly as Kellerman did, and raised her shoulders for a fraction of a second, just like Kellerman did?

Do you think that was just a coincidence, Sandy?

http://jfkhistory.com/atlanta1996.gif
 
BTW, Sandy, what are your thoughts on Kellerman? Do you have a better explanation than I do for why he simultaneously ducked, raised his hand to his ear for 5/18ths of a second and briefly shrugged his shoulder upwards?

Perhaps, this might be helpful to you.

http://www.jfkhistory.com/kellerman2.gif

Oh, one more thing.

Mrs Connally testified that she heard one shot and then look back and saw JFK with his hand raised up to his face.

She said that some time after that she heard the shot which she thought, wounded her husband and that she immediately turned to him and pulled him back to her.

1. When do you see her look back at JFK?

2. When do you see her turn to her husband as she said she did?

3. Do you see anyone else reacting then?

This very slow motion Zapruder segment should be helpful to you.

http://jfkhistory.com/nellie2.gif
 
Oh I almost forgot. Mrs. Connally said she never looked back at JFK again, after she heard the shot that she believed, wounded her husband.

Do you see her turn back to the rear, following 223? How many times?

Do you see her turn back to the rear, after 285?

http://jfkhistory.com/nellie2.gif
 
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That certainly is important!

Sandy, in your "rebuttal" of the shot at 285, how did you deal with the large consensus of witnesses who reported a single early shot and then closely bunched shots at the end?

As you should recall, Bob, I don't see a problem there. Even the majority of witnesses can be wrong, if they are all subjected to the same objective conditions that create a subjective illusion. Witnesss testimony is secondary to hard evidence. Other explanations besides two nearly simultaneous shots are possible and, under the circumstances, more plausible. Besides the most obvious (echoes), in this thread the possibility has been raised that the sound of the bullet's impact on the skull could have been heard in proximity to the sound of the shot by those close enough to the president.

And did you explain why Alvarez discovered Zapruder reacting in the same 18th of a second that the limo passengers began to duck, spin around, etc?

"Discovered" begs the question of the accuracy of Alvarez's surmise.
His guess, however educated.

And I'm sure I've said repeatedly that your determination of when those actions began is subjective. It could also be that the change in perspective of the camera and the sudden blurring imparts the illusion of a more dramatic change all around. Anyway, nobody's spinning around could have been a startle reflex reaction, your unsubstantiated insistence otherwise notwithstanding.

Also, did you find any reactions to the early shots that were similar to these?

http://jfkhistory.com/ducking3.gif

I just finished saying, up there, that I don't believe that startle reactions can be reliably discerned in the Z film. You already know that I don't think the more overt actions you highlight following frame 285 are startle reflex reactions at all. Startle reflex reactions are spasms, often as subtle as the blink of an eye.
 
Isn't it an amazing non-coincidence that all the other people depicted in video failed to react to the detonation in the way you claim constitutes the "classic" reaction?

Not at all. The HSCA tests confirmed that Oswald's rifle generated a 130 db shock wave at a distance of 10 feet from the bullet's path.

But the sound level drops off rapidly. The people along the road were exposed to less than half that level. They were undoubtedly startled, but their reactions were not nearly as visible as the people in the limo.

Consider Zapruder who was further away yet. He barely twitched, causing blurred frames in his movie.
 
I was trying to be nice.

There are no silenced weapons available in 1963 that could have caused the damage done on the POTUS and Connally fired from any of the buildings behind the motorcade.

Snipers didn't star using silencers until the late 1990s. US Special Operations had the 9mm HK MP-5 SD from 1974, but it has always been a CQB weapon. In the mid-1980s suppressors began to be used on the CAR-15s used by some Special Missions Units, but their use was limited.

Silencers have undergone radical redesign in the 1990s due to their negative effect on overall accuracy, and while today most manufacturers can boast that their products improve marksmanship back in 1963 nobody would have used on for the Dallas shooting. This would have been too risky, too many unanswered questions about performance, accuracy, and reliability over an improvised weapon makes no sense for any experienced shooter.

If you're going to claim conspiracy, and then claim the mafia was behind it you need to give them a little more credit. And if you're not, then you need to provide examples of all the other times the Mafia killed someone using a high powered rifle from a conceal position, and then all the times they used a silenced rifle. At least this information would provide a modus operandi to base your claim upon.

Right now you're trying to marry questionable sound theory to a silent film, and you're failing.
 
As you should recall, Bob, I don't see a problem there. Even the majority of witnesses can be wrong, if they are all subjected to the same objective conditions that create a subjective illusion.

I have no idea what you are talking about. Do you have a source for this strange theory?

Can you give an example of another instance in which such a large preponderance of witnesses all made exactly the same "mistake", because they were all subjected to the "same objective conditions that create a subjective illusion."

And what "subjective illusion" are you talking about? This is a new one. You didn't even pitch it at A.A.J. Neither did anyone else:-)

I'm sure you wouldn't just make something like that up. Please cite your source?

Witnesss testimony is secondary to hard evidence.

Not necessarily, but what "hard evidence" is there that contradicts them? Please be specific.

Other explanations besides two nearly simultaneous shots are possible and, under the circumstances, more plausible.

No they aren't. We can easily see reactions to both of the two shots. Watch Kellerman and Greer, ducking and spinning around respectively, in perfect tandem with one another, following 285 and then 313.

http://jfkhistory.com/duckstwice.gif

Did you notice how Greer and Kellerman reacted the same way to both of those shots?

Besides the most obvious (echoes),

I don't think so. The 285 reactions began BEFORE 313, and how do you explain the large consensus who only heard ONE early shot? Where were the echoes then?

in this thread the possibility has been raised that the sound of the bullet's impact on the skull could have been heard in proximity to the sound of the shot by those close enough to the president.

That argument was refuted. Once again, we see the reactions prior to 313, so they couldn't have been caused by an echo. And numerous witnesses described the gap between those shots as about 2 seconds.

"Discovered" begs the question of the accuracy of Alvarez's surmise.
His guess, however educated.

That was not a guess. That was the result of some very deep analysis, presented in a paper to the Journal on American Physics, based on his experience with cameras and high powered rifle shots in Africa and his expertise as a consultant for the Bell & Howell company - the manufacturer of Zapruder's camera.

And CBS conducted tests which full confirmed his methodology. And then there is the simple fact that he identified Zapruder's reaction at 290-291. The limo passengers began to react at 290-292. It just doesn't get any more simultaneous than that.

It is outrageously disingenuous to label this man's work as a "guess".

And I'm sure I've said repeatedly that your determination of when those actions began is subjective.

I don't care what you "said". Let's look at what I proved. Watch the frame numbers.

http://jfkhistory.com/simultaneous.gif

It could also be that the change in perspective of the camera and the sudden blurring imparts the illusion of a more dramatic change all around.

Nonsense. There was no blurring when the reactions began at 290. You might argue that Kellerman started to react at 293, but that would only mean that the reactions began in the same 2/9ths of one second which doesn't change anything.

Anyway, nobody's spinning around could have been a startle reflex reaction,

Prove it.

A few hours ago, you admitted that spinning around like that was consistent with how someone would react to a gunshot. And that's exactly what Greer did.

your unsubstantiated insistence otherwise notwithstanding.

Nonsense. I cited Britannica, stating that a classic startle reaction is an "avoidance movement of the head", which is also perfectly consistent with Greer's reaction.

You're wrong on all counts Sandy, just like you were at McAdams newsgroup.

I just finished saying, up there, that I don't believe that startle reactions can be reliably discerned in the Z film.

That's nice. It's great to know what you "believe". But I'll stick with what we can prove.

You already know that I don't think the more overt actions you highlight following frame 285 are startle reflex reactions at all.

Don't take this wrong Sandy, but I couldn't care less what you "think".

And even your fellow LN advocates contradict you. Many of them argued that that the reactions were caused by Greer slamming on the brakes, but that theory's been thoroughly quashed.

And the large majority of people who have rated my 285 presentations have given me a thumbs up rating.

So, why do all those people see what you don't?

Startle reflex reactions are spasms, often as subtle as the blink of an eye.

Well, maybe you know more than Britannica. They say that startle reactions are avoidance movements, which is consistent with both dropping the head and spinning around, away from the source of the sound.
 
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I was trying to be nice.

There are no silenced weapons available in 1963 that could have caused the damage done on the POTUS and Connally fired from any of the buildings behind the motorcade.

YES, of course.

I don't think you get what I am saying. I thought I explained it clearly, but I will try again.

The early shots (app. 160 and 223) were not loud enough to startle anyone, and most witnesses only heard one of them. Obviously, they were fired from low caliber, suppressed weapons.

The shots at the end, at 285 and 313, were fired from UNSUPRESSED HIGH POWERED RIFLES

Got it?


Snipers didn't star using silencers until the late 1990s.

I don't think so. Here's another site that says they were used in WW2, by both the US and the Germans.

http://olive-drab.com/od_other_firearms_suppressors.php

Do you have a source for your claim?

US Special Operations had the 9mm HK MP-5 SD from 1974, but it has always been a CQB weapon. In the mid-1980s suppressors began to be used on the CAR-15s used by some Special Missions Units, but their use was limited.

Ok, let's cut to the chase.

Hopefully you will at least agree that the mob used silencers on handguns, going back to the thirties, right?

So how hard would it have been to have mounted a pistol silencer on a .22 rifle?
 
I haven't kept a count, but I am confident in saying that the number of times Harris has made corrections to his argument is roughly zero.

I see and how many years has be been presenting this same set of opinions as fact?
 
Fine, but then you cite your view-count and comments as evidence that you're right -- or at least on the right track.

Gangnam Style on Youtube has been looked at over 2.3 Billion times.......
 
Question: What effect on JFK CTs would there have been if there had been no Zapruder film?

How would its non-existence have changed how we look at the assassination?
 
I have no idea what you are talking about. Do you have a source for this strange theory?

Can you give an example of another instance in which such a large preponderance of witnesses all made exactly the same "mistake", because they were all subjected to the "same objective conditions that create a subjective illusion."

And what "subjective illusion" are you talking about? This is a new one. You didn't even pitch it at A.A.J. Neither did anyone else:-)

I'm sure you wouldn't just make something like that up. Please cite your source?

I have written nearly the same sentence a few times on AAJ. Sorry you missed it.

So you've really never heard of echoes? That's amazing, Bob.
Well, it's really a fascinating subject, you should look into it.
And it seems like it could be relevant here.

In the rest of the post, I am confident that the way you have misconstrued and failed to understand my points will be evident to everyone besides you.


Not necessarily, but what "hard evidence" is there that contradicts them? Please be specific.

Well, gee, Bob, no, I"m not going to read the Warren Commission Report to you as a bedtime story, nor even a few chapters of Reclaiming History. But I think you are familiar with the evidence "LNs" adduce for their point of view by now. I have nothing original to add to that.

No they aren't. We can easily see reactions to both of the two shots. Watch Kellerman and Greer, ducking and spinning around respectively, in perfect tandem with one another, following 285 and then 313.

Speak for yourself!


Did you notice how Greer and Kellerman reacted the same way to both of those shots?

Like I said…


I don't think so. The 285 reactions began BEFORE 313, and how do you explain the large consensus who only heard ONE early shot? Where were the echoes then?

You really gotta try to understand this, Bob: I don't believe in a shot at frame 285 nor any reactions to it.



That argument was refuted. Once again, we see the reactions prior to 313, so they couldn't have been caused by an echo. And numerous witnesses described the gap between those shots as about 2 seconds.

"That argument was refuted" by invoking, yet again, a shot at 285.



That was not a guess. That was the result of some very deep analysis, presented in a paper to the Journal on American Physics, based on his experience with cameras and high powered rifle shots in Africa and his expertise as a consultant for the Bell & Howell company - the manufacturer of Zapruder's camera.

And CBS conducted tests which full confirmed his methodology. And then there is the simple fact that he identified Zapruder's reaction at 290-291. The limo passengers began to react at 290-292. It just doesn't get any more simultaneous than that.

It is outrageously disingenuous to label this man's work as a "guess".

As a scientist, he would tell you himself that it was no more than an educated guess. It falls short of objective certainty.


I don't care what you "said". Let's look at what I proved. Watch the frame numbers.

No, Bob, I've watched the frame numbers too many times. You can hypnotize yourself, I guess, but it's a lot harder to do it to others.

>SNIP<



A few hours ago, you admitted that spinning around like that was consistent with how someone would react to a gunshot. And that's exactly what Greer did.

Not me!
You are confusing me with someone else there!
Someone else whose words you are, no doubt, also misconstruing.


Nonsense. I cited Britannica, stating that a classic startle reaction is an "avoidance movement of the head", which is also perfectly consistent with Greer's reaction.

>SNIP<

Well, maybe you know more than Britannica. They say that startle reactions are avoidance movements, which is consistent with both dropping the head and spinning around, away from the source of the sound.

It's hilarious that it doesn't even strike you as a bit odd that you can only cite Britannica for that, that the Britannica reference is somewhat vague and that you have to misquote it to support your theory!

Again—as I noted earlier is your wont—you elided (twice!) the first word in the description: spasmodic.

And it doesn't say "avoidance movements [plural] of the head"!
Here: http://www.britannica.com/topic/startle-reaction
"A spasmodic avoidance movement of the head," singular. Which clearly refers to one particular kind of motion, which is described in detail in the literature devoted to startle reactions—a contraction of the muscles of the neck and shoulders.
 
Don't take this wrong Sandy, but I couldn't care less what you "think".

Then stop trying to convince me you have a viable theory.

And even your fellow LN advocates contradict you. Many of them argued that that the reactions were caused by Greer slamming on the brakes,

You know, Bob, there was more than one thing happening at once there. Jackie and Nellie could certainly have been affected by the limo's slowing as they made deliberate movements toward their wounded husbands. But the fact that different people can interpret what they see differently, or that one person can entertain different hypotheses about what they see, should tell you that it isn't as cut and dried as you want to believe.

Another one: JFK's head is going forward still, after the bullet passes through his head between frames 312 and 313. Is that just the result of the car's slowing or was some momentum imparted by the bullet from behind? One study said the latter, but I think any answer can only be a guess.
 
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