In answer to Machiavelli, Numbers, griffinmill and Bill W,
I was talking about probabilities, and these must be assessed to help solve the crime expeditiously. When there is equal opportunity for a young black male, and a young white female to kill with a knife, while all possibilities must be allowed, the statistics are overwhelming, and it will be asinine stupidity to suspect the female, but rather regard it as a sensible course to eliminate her as a suspect.
I did not want to try to quote from John Douglas (a firm believer in AK and RS's innocence, BTW) because I am doing it from memory.
However, I did read his book, the one where he describes the "revolutionary" approach he brought to crime-analysis called "profiling". This is not "profiling" in the sense of using racial statistics to solve crimes....
...... his approach, unique at the time, was go actually interview those already in prison, the convicted perps themselves. He noticed similarities of
behaviour, and
patterns of operation which they themselves described, which could be cross referenced to certain kinds of crimes....
.... paired with the forensic clues left at the scene; all to narrow the field of possible suspects when there were simply too many to consider at any one time.
He began to notice that the people already in prison for a vast array of specific crimes, displayed common behaviours for individual specific crimes. I simply do not remember Douglas singling out racial groupings - except for some classes of crimes which were rarely done cross-racially.
This did not solve the crime, per se, but it helped police rule out whole classes of people. If a certain kind of crime was seldom done cross-racially, then the cops could narrow their search for potential perps of the same race.
Douglas was up front that this was not 100% predictive - it was merely putting into place the reality of who was already in jail for certain kinds of offenses, and all he did was note the similarities of behaviours and backgrounds of those people already in jail.
It still did not get the police off the hook to solve the crime, and assemble legitimate evidence. Douglas-style profiling is only a tool, and if it as a tool is leading investigators in the wrong direction it needs to be ditched.
For instance; if his profiling observed that one kind of crime almost never occurred cross-racially, he would never in a million years criticize an investigation which just so happened, in that case, to have unimpeachable evidence point to something different. That's not what his style of profiling is about.
My gripe with you, Samson, is the way you used the word "solve" in the same sentence as those probabilities.
But back to the point. The Kercher murder was never about race. The only reason Machiavelli harps on about race, is because he assumes that the innocentisti are motivated by AK's whiteness meaning goodness, and Rudy Guede's blackness being about badness.
That's a lot of tripe. Guede is guilty and uniquely guilty because his is the evidence which solves the crime - his DNA is in the victim, and forensics pointing to AK and/or RS simply are not there.
But the only reason why we're even talking race is first and foremost because of Giuliano Mignini trying to play the race card at trial, and dealing it from the bottom of the deck. He was using it as a cover for a failing prosecution.....
...... the proof, for me, is that even the convicting judges did not believe him.
It's proof, for me, that the on-line version of guilters are really Migninians. They're less concerned with Meredith Kercher than with defending Mignini from 23 false persecutions in a row, beginning with the Narducci affair. AK and RS were simply the last two in that string of prosecutorial persecutions Mignini engaged in....
..... and appears to be getting off scott-free within Italy for, because of the power of the PMs in that country.
This case is not about profiling, it's not about race, it's about the evidence, and the guilters inability to describe how three people could have done this, with two sets of forensics missing.
No wonder they wish to talk about race!!! It's why Mignini brought it up in the first place.
