Upchurch
Papa Funkosophy
I started with calculation: http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=6281534&postcount=231 . Then as more data came in, revised it: http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=6282688&postcount=290 , http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=6284089&postcount=300 , http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=6284781&postcount=327 . It wasn't until even more data came that I was able to come up with an estimate: http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=6286112&postcount=367 , consistent with the CBS' … and I then stated my willingness to accept their estimate.
From your first link:
Since the reflecting pool is 2,029 feet long and 167 feet wide, just a dense crowd would produce a crowd estimate of 2029 * 167 * 3 / 5 … i.e., over 200,000.
So you made an estimate in your first link but said you hadn't made one until your last link. By your own standards for Bloom, did you lie to us just now?