Will Russia invade Poland?

[Border Reiver]

Not I - I don't think it's a 0% chance, but I do think that it's rather low.

 

[jimbob]

Not going to happen.

Poland wasn't a very stable member of the Warsaw pact to start with, what with religion and all, and it will not go back peacefully, what with nationalism and religion and whatnot.

Unless we get a Russia leader as shrewd as Putin but way more insane, he will realize that Poland just isn't worth the trouble. It will be enough to put it into a position where it can't go against Russia interests in any meaningful way.

I have seen it claimed that the USSR wasn't sure which side their puppet regime would fight on if there had been a war in Europe.

Poland probably kept the cold war less hot just by existing.

 

[Fudbucker]

Russia's economy is a shambles. A Russian invasion force couldn't get five miles without collapsing in a logistical nightmare.

 

[Hercules56]

What are the chances of that happening?

Chances of Russia actually invading Poland?

0 to -56 chances of this happening.

There's a greater chance that Poland will invade Moscow.

 

[ddt]

Chances of Russia actually invading Poland?

0 to -56 chances of this happening.

There's a greater chance that Poland will invade Moscow.

Will they bring a Putin impostor with them?

 

[Darth Rotor]

Russia's economy is a shambles. A Russian invasion force couldn't get five miles without collapsing in a logistical nightmare.

The first four days would be sanguine, however. Given what I know about the lethality of modern weapons, that's a large butcher's bill.

 

[Architect]

The Daily Fail is getting it's proverbial knickers in a twist:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...broad-tensions-mount-prospect-global-war.html

 

[Klimax]

Who voted "very likely"?

Has that damned monkey replied to the thread?

I have seen several "End is near posters" elsewhere like Economic subsection.

As for my vote, voted unlikely. Few bridges too far. (There would be enough warning for most countries) Not even Trump could be enough. (Just would give boost to EU Defense)

But I cannot rate it lower then unlikely. Insanity is on the rise in Russia and China is bit too active as well. And there is saying "Everything is possible in Russia".

Note: Currently I didn't account for any strategic missile defenses )working) which would change equations considerably.