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Will Biden run for the presidency in 2024?

Will Biden run?

  • Yes

    Votes: 32 50.0%

  • No

    Votes: 32 50.0%
  • Total voters
    64
I don't think he will. He won on the fact that Trump was a traitorous disaster. Even if Trump runs again, the Democrats are better off with a younger candidate with less baggage.

I don't know who would win the nomination, though. It's likely that Harris will throw her hat in the ring, of course. I don't know who else though.
 
Depends a bit on whether the Orange Man runs again, since Joe's whole raison d'etre was to be a caretaker after Hurricane Donald. And it depends a lot on how well they can reverse/arrest/conceal his cognitive decline.

Harris is clearly out of her depth and she knows it; hence her obvious nervousness. Let's remember, she got lots of glowing press, and then did not even make it to Iowa. The fact that her staff is bailing despite her being the heir apparent tells us quite a bit.

Mayor Transportation Secretary Pete? His first shot at the national stage during the shipping and trucking supply chain crisis and he's at home with his husband and their two adopted infants for paternity (is that a word anymore?) leave.

How about the other Geezers? Jay Inslee's north of 70 and ran in 2020, although fortunately probably nobody remembers it. Folks do probably remember Elizabeth Warren's run, but not for good reasons. She finished third in her own state.

The Democrats tend to fall in love with someone relatively new. If Stacey Abrams manages to pull off the win in Georgia, she would be well-positioned. Arguably the same applies to Beto in Texas, although the way he fizzled out after all the publicity ("I was born for this,") puts him in the same class as Harris, and Texas is going to be a lot harder row to hoe.

AOC? Something of a wildcard at this point. Bernie is still in that lane, but she would be well-positioned if she gets his endorsement. She'd barely be eligible (she'll turn 35 two weeks before election day), and might prefer to wait another cycle or two.
 
I wouldn't be surprised if AOC's career has already peaked. The Squad has completely failed to supplant the Pelosi Wing of the House, and she lacks the media momentum to make an Obama Move on the Oval Office. What's left for her, besides grinding out another decade or two of legislative graft behind a facade of moral superiority?
 
I really hope that the GOP and Democrats bring in some younger candidates for the nomination. With Clinton, Biden and Trump all in their 70's, I want younger and healthier people in the White House.

Ranb
 
Upchurch said:
I don't think he will. He won on the fact that Trump was a traitorous disaster. Even if Trump runs again, the Democrats are better off with a younger candidate with less baggage[/ b].
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Maybe, maybe not.

Incumbents do have an advantage with name recognition. Plus, they are better vetted (having gone through an earlier election) so they are less likely to be hit by a late-election scandal.

Sent from my moto e using Tapatalk
 
Brainster said:
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AOC? Something of a wildcard at this point. Bernie is still in that lane, but she would be well-positioned if she gets his endorsement. She'd barely be eligible (she'll turn 35 two weeks before election day), and might prefer to wait another cycle or two.
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I can't think of any reason why AOC would have a shot at the Presidency. A wildcard still has a chance.

I'll predict one thing: this next Presidential election will be a nightmare, before, during and after. The Republicans will disgrace this country even more than last time.
 
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theprestige said:
I wouldn't be surprised if AOC's career has already peaked. The Squad has completely failed to supplant the Pelosi Wing of the House, and she lacks the media momentum to make an Obama Move on the Oval Office. What's left for her, besides grinding out another decade or two of legislative graft behind a facade of moral superiority?
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She's popular among the Left, a sizeable block among Democratic primary voters. Bernie Sanders came close to winning in that lane in 2020, and probably would have gotten the nomination against any other sitting Republican president. He'll be 83 on election day; you gotta figure his future is in the past.

AOC has some strengths; she starts out with more name recognition than most governors and quite a few senators. She's attractive (for a politician), the media can will play up her Hispanic heritage as historical and her youth as game-changing. She'd obviously need a fairly crowded field to split up the establishment liberal wing, but that would be guaranteed if Biden doesn't run.
 
I just don't understand how the cupboard can be so bare in a country of 350 million people.
 
Ranb said:
I really hope that the GOP and Democrats bring in some younger candidates for the nomination. With Clinton, Biden and Trump all in their 70's, I want younger and healthier people in the White House.

Ranb
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Pterodactyl said:
I just don't understand how the cupboard can be so bare in a country of 350 million people.
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I think that in a decade or two we'll look back and be very critical of the Clinton/Sanders/Pelosi/Warren generation for failing to bring the next generation below them into federal legislative leadership.

It's like the Dems in the House and Senate skipped a generation. They'll be depending upon a crop of Mayors and such who are currently in their 40s and 50s because they've got no good candidates in national office who are in that age range.

For the thread: I think that unless he has an obvious health issue pop up (like a stroke, heart attack, cancer, not just getting older and frailer), Biden will run again.

If he chooses not to run again, then Harris and O'Rourk seem the most obviously strong candidates to me. But others will pop up. Maybe Hickenlooper (Colorado's former governor, now Senator) but he got smacked around pretty hard with some ethics issues relating to his time as Governor.
 
Brainster said:
She's popular among the Left.
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For the love of god would people please stop pretending there's anything is remotely left of centre in US politics? There's slightly to the right and extremely to the right, that's it. And please don't say its all relative when commentators constantly compare the US 'left' with socialism and communism.
 
Garrison said:
For the love of god would people please stop pretending there's anything is remotely left of centre in US politics? There's slightly to the right and extremely to the right, that's it. And please don't say its all relative when commentators constantly compare the US 'left' with socialism and communism.
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AOC is popular among the left. It is sometimes hard to say that when the standard for "radical left agenda" in rightwing media is Kamala Harris.
 
Don't trust anybody over 70.

Of course, I said that before 2020 and look what choices we had.
 
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