Can you entirely eliminate it as a possibility ? I would prefer that 99 potential incestees are denied their opportunity to prevent a single case of abuse in the same way that I would deny 99 15 year olds the opportunity to have sex to proctect the 100th
While this is indeed a noble goal, let's take protecting people against their will to its logical conclusions then. So it's ok to forbid something to prevent a 1% chance of something bad happening, right? I'm just going by your numbers.
A quick googling and jaunt to the website of the American Bar Association, reveals such things as:
"
In a 1995-1996 study conducted in the 50 States and the District of Columbia, nearly 25% of women and 7.6% of men were raped and/or physically assaulted by a current or former spouse, cohabiting partner, or dating partner/acquaintance at some time in their lifetime (based on survey of 16,000 participants, equally male and female)."
Whoa, 25% is _way_ more than your 1% threshold. I'd say let's forbid marriage or any kind of long-term intimate arrangements, then. You know, to protect all those women.
"
Another national survey found that 34% of women were victims of sexual coercion by a husband or intimate partner in their lifetime."
Seems pretty clear to me that if we're going to forbid incest because it _might_ involve coercion, we better forbid marriage entirely because about 34% of it ends up with coercion. We're not talking forbidding 99 innocents to save the 100%, but about saving a whole 1 in 3. I trust you will agree that something has to be done.
"
13% of adult women had been victims of completed rape during their lifetime"
Jesus F Christ... a whole 13%? Damn, we should pass some more legislation. Let's castrate all the men, so that doesn't happen any more.
But then maybe we don't even need to go that far, because...
"
In 8 out of 10 rape cases, the victim knows the perpetrator. Of people who report sexual violence, 64% of women and 16% of men were raped, physically assaulted, or stalked by an intimate partner. This includes a current or former spouse, cohabitating partner, boyfriend/girlfriend, or date."
... 2 in 3 get raped by an intimate partner or ex-partner. It seems to me like if we forbid sex entirely, we'll save 2/3 out of 13%, or about 8-9% of women from a rape. No doubt you will agree that the sacrifice is worth it.
And if we go as far as to keep them entirely segregated, we might prevent 80% of rape cases.
"
Intimate partner violence made up 20% of all nonfatal violent crime experienced by women in 2001." and "
In 2000, 1,247 women and 440 men were killed by an intimate partner. In recent years, an intimate partner killed approximately 33% of female murder victims and 4% of male murder victims."
By jove, we're talking serious violence and murder here. We'll literally save thousands of lives by stopping people from getting intimate.
Etc.
Or maybe, just maybe, we should realize that if we already have laws against coercion, assault and rape, we should apply those, not start forbidding unrelated X just because it may lead to Y which in turn may lead to Z and that surely leads to rape
