CapelDodger
Penultimate Amazing
Al Qaeda's "War on Modernity" is not going at all well. How much of that is down to the War on Terror is debatable. Crushing the Taliban regime was a definite plus. Not moving on into Pakistan missed a trick, though.
The Iraq War has demonstrated the weakness of Al Qaeda. They couldn't establish a presence there, and had to franchise the name to Zarqawi in the end. A mistake from OBL's point of view, he's not only the guy who hides in holes while Zarqawi was right there in the action but now he's been out-martyred.
My greatest concern about the foreign jihadists in Iraq has always been that they will take their experience back to the places whence they came, just as the "Afghans" did after the Soviet withdrawal. Going by current reports it looks likely that not many will get out of there. Between the Iraqi Sunnis, Jordanians, Syrians and Saudis they're going to get rolled-up. Zarqawi's most egregious error was bombing a Jordanian wedding. From that moment he was a dead man walking.
The whole jihadist movement is in serious decline. There might be some more sporadic attacks but it's going nowhere, and such things need momentum. 9/11 was meant to presage a relentless assault on the westernised world that would bring it crashing down, well, we're still waiting. Getting bored now. These guys have all the glamour of sad-acts pushing Marxism Today in the High Street on Saturday mornings when they should be having the **** they were too drunk for on Friday night.
Looks like we dodged the bullet again.
The Iraq War has demonstrated the weakness of Al Qaeda. They couldn't establish a presence there, and had to franchise the name to Zarqawi in the end. A mistake from OBL's point of view, he's not only the guy who hides in holes while Zarqawi was right there in the action but now he's been out-martyred.
My greatest concern about the foreign jihadists in Iraq has always been that they will take their experience back to the places whence they came, just as the "Afghans" did after the Soviet withdrawal. Going by current reports it looks likely that not many will get out of there. Between the Iraqi Sunnis, Jordanians, Syrians and Saudis they're going to get rolled-up. Zarqawi's most egregious error was bombing a Jordanian wedding. From that moment he was a dead man walking.
The whole jihadist movement is in serious decline. There might be some more sporadic attacks but it's going nowhere, and such things need momentum. 9/11 was meant to presage a relentless assault on the westernised world that would bring it crashing down, well, we're still waiting. Getting bored now. These guys have all the glamour of sad-acts pushing Marxism Today in the High Street on Saturday mornings when they should be having the **** they were too drunk for on Friday night.
Looks like we dodged the bullet again.