• Quick note - the problem with Youtube videos not embedding on the forum appears to have been fixed, thanks to ZiprHead. If you do still see problems let me know.

Voter stats from Pew

DialecticMaterialist said:
http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=220


According to Pew more people think Bush is likely to win, but more people also said they would vote for Kerry. The Democrat's have overtaken the republicans, in terms of image, on almost every issue. Voter engagement is rising. Ralph Nader's support is declining. This whole thing seems to indicate a good trend, imo.
Click to expand...
I have bet money on Kerry but my brother is accusing me of just hedging my bets. I win either way. I guess I'm oposite of the poll.
 
Re: Re: Voter stats from Pew

RandFan said:
I have bet money on Kerry but my brother is accusing me of just hedging my bets. I win either way. I guess I'm oposite of the poll.
Click to expand...

Its early ladies and gents. Early. We still have a sixteen course meal ahead of us, not to mention the orgy. We've barely donned our togas and already we think we know how the party will end.

My only two/scratch three predictions:

1: This election will be as interesting as the last but will not have the cliffhanger.

2: I won't really give a damn either way.

3: It won't really make a damn either way.

My only pseudo-prediction:

1. Bush by 9 electoral votes.
 
My early prediction:

Bush wins by the same margin as before: five votes to four.

Lest there be any angry remarks about the above, let me assure you that I make my remarks in jest. I have some very harsh criticism for what the Supreme Court did for Mr. Bush (and did to its own credibility) in the 2000 election, but this is not the thread to go into this matter. I note only that the state of Florida, which was considered "barely Gore" in 2000, is listed as "barely Kerry." Cue the theme music from "The Twilight Zone!"
 
With regards to the electoral college votes:

What's interesting about that is how the more developed, coastal, urbanized states are more pro-Kerry, whereas the more rural, less developed, land-locked states tend to be more Pro-Bush. More interesting still is how the states in the middle geographically, also seem to be in the middle politically. More interesting still even is that the coastal states for Bush are the weakest supporters (his strongest supporters are obviously smack dab center in the nation).

This seems to suggest to me that perhaps voting Republican has a negative correlation with being more urbanized and culturally evolved.
 
Re: Re: Voter stats from Pew

RandFan said:
(...)my brother is accusing me of just hedging my bets. I win either way.
Click to expand...

I do that a lot, especially when my Vikes play the Packers! :)

edited to quote only the part I was referring to
 
Re: Re: Re: Voter stats from Pew

Snide said:
I do that a lot, especially when my Vikes play the Packers! :)
Click to expand...
YYou know when he first accused me of this I objected. I had actually predicted the defeat of either Gore or Bush in 2004 before 2000 depending on who would win. It seemed to me that the market was way over what it should be. The Dow about 400 points. I was certain that the correction was going to be substantial and 4 years was not enough to turn it around. When Enron and company and 9/11 hit it left little room for doubt. However, perhaps there is some truth in it on a subconscious level.
 
DialecticMaterialist said:
This seems to suggest to me that perhaps voting Republican has a negative correlation with being more urbanized and culturally evolved.
Click to expand...

Funny :)

Had you put a period behind urbanized you'd have been closer, IMO. Of course, "evolved" has cultural implications in and of itself.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Back
Top Bottom