Thanks for that post Andrew W. I didn’t know if the reason my post with my testimony had been ignored was because personal experience (without supporting evidence except “take my word for it”) is frowned upon on JREF, but nevertheless I do appreciate reading the scientific studies linked here. I like the snake oil chart too.![]()
The reason I ignored your post is simply because your testimony is unable to provide useful information because of the nature of insomnia. Pretty much any therapy used for insomnia has the potential to look useful, regardless of whether or not it has any effect at all. The ability to fall asleep and stay asleep waxes and wanes, and the tendency will be for people to try something when it waxes, not when it wanes. If you take something when your symptoms are at their worst, it is likely to be followed by a period when your symptoms are better. And our inclination is to attribute it to whatever it was that we took.
The other thing that happens is that there are numerous OTC and prescription sleep aids to try. And we keep trying stuff until our sleep gets better. Then whatever it was that we just happened to take before it got better gets the credit. Whether or not Valerian works depends upon whether or not you tried it first or you tried it last.
Because anything has the potential to look useful under those circumstances, testimony about something that appeared to look useful isn't able to distinguish between something which is effective and something which is ineffective.
Linda