But not if you read the body of work.
The 'body of work' seemed to be obnoxious snarking at people for not being able to count for pointing out that OF COURSE UBI is going to need tax raises to function.
The point was quite clear and I quoted it and now I'm being told they didn't really mean what they clearly said. Repeatedly. Really?
But why would they send you an income tax bill on income that isn't taxed?
The income would need to be taxed if you are over the earnings threshold for the year for it to be taxed.
Let's say you earn £80k a year and you get UBI of £10k. You tax code would be set up so that you paid back the £10k a year over the course of the year? Correct? that would be calculated based on the assumption you would be earning £90k a year.
Now if you lose your job half way through the tax year you have still earned £40k and been paid £5k in UBI. You have another 5k of UBI to receive. That UBI isn't and won't be tax free. You would still have to pay the tax on it commensurate with someone who had a job that paid £40k in the tax year. Your total earnings for the year will be £50k and you will be taxed on them.
Until you put specific figures for the tax bands there you can't tell what the impact is going to be but for some it's going to mean a tax bill at the end of the year. For others it will mean a refund.
Your regular payments would continue.
Assuming for the sake of argument that this is true, it's irrelevant. Again, that it won't fix the whole system doesn't mean that the fixing of the part of the system it fixes is not worthwhile.
The point is that you don't know when a safety net is going to be needed, or by how many, therefore a safety net that won't break under stress is better than one that will.
Fair enough. But UBI isn't the only way to improve part of the system. If people are behind it and happy to implement it then good, but it seems like it's actually going to take a lot of heavy lifting to convince people while there might be other simpler changes that could also improve the system.
Mortgages and benefits is a different question. It's also a different question as to whether or not you need to be able to afford a mortgage in order to continue living.
You need somewhere to live in order to continue living. Unless you are going to magic up council houses for people then you are only arguing whether the UC doesn't give you enough to pay your rent or doesn't give you enough to pay your mortgage. Either way you still don't have enough money to live on. And if you lose your job during a pandemic I think most people would argue that not losing their house is quite important.
I'm not sure it would. Especially as it would rely on the integrity of every government for the rest of time. Altering the benefits system to make people fall through the cracks is a hell of a lot easier than taking away a UBI would be once everybody is used to it.
Again possibly. But getting a UBI in place in the first place in the face of governments who don't want to help the poor and people who don't want to pay more taxes to help the poor and others who don't understand the system seems like a big ask. Until you win the 'tax the rich to help the poor' argument i don't think it matters much what systems you propose. And that's the reason why I get irked about some of these handwavy comments that suggest it isn't about taxing the rich to help the poor. Because if it isn't then it's useless.
I think we are kind of on the same page on that last paragraph and if UBI is the way to achieve it then great. But it's ONLY really great to the extent to which people are prepared to raise new money to distribute to those who need it. there might be some other marginal admin benefits but I don't see them as a justification for the system.
ETA: also worth maybe remembering that if we win the tax the rich argument there are things that could be done TOMORROW to make the welfare system better that don't need UBI. For example, people on benefits shouldn't be making less than minimum wage or less than a pensioner. They shouldn't have to wait 9 months for housing benefit. these are 'stroke of a pen' improvements.