Here's a map. It's a nice thing for those who usually fail to spot Ukraine on a map, but also for all of us who witness the current stage of the drama and need some context to the sagas that now somehow thousands of Russians are showing up and making trouble, fine-tuned by Putin with his brainwaves directly from the Kremlin. Or something.
Presidential election 2010, run-off Timoshenko against Janukovic. Janukovic won country-wide with 48.95% to 45.47%. Notice to the left (west), Lviv, hometown of Ruslana and the Bandera cult, 70+% for Yulia Timoshenko. In the center, Kiev, Yulia slightly won. Wander to the far east - the cities in the news today. Kharkiv, 60+ percent Janukovic. Lugansk, 80%. Donetsk, a whopping 85% Janukovic.
Why that? Only because he's "pro-Russian"? He hasn't been that pro-Russian at all. I recently read an interesting interview with Peter Scholl-Latour
WP, one of - or rather THE - Germany's most experienced and respected foreign affairs journalists. He was asked if he ever met Janukovic. Yes, he said, he met him when Rinat Akhmetov
WP, Ukraine's wealthiest man, the oligarch of their oligarchs, invited him to an audience. After he was gifted a T-Shirt of Akhmetov's football club, Shakhtar Donetsk, the oligarch introduced him to Janukovic as "the next president of Ukraine". So that must have been around the turn of the century. In other words, J. is Rinat's creation.
Both Kharkiv and Rinat's base, Donetsk, are centers of Ukrainian heavy industry with millions of citizens. They aren't competitive by EU standards and would have suffered the most by the "association agreement". Think Eastern Germany's industry sold for a symbolic Mark.
Word is that Achmetov has visited Putin in Moscow last week. So if you want to make your CTs a bit more credible, assume that he is investing some considerable amount of money into making the Russian proposal of a constitution with stronger federalism happen, for the sake of his $15 billion, but don't forget that it is also for the sake of the peanuts all the fine people of Eastern Ukraine will receive "trickling down".