Why do you keep refilling the bowl of peanuts? I can't help myself!
Ah…interesting…so I am not the only one who has come to similar conclusions about Hartmann’s Zond IV research then? That is, there is independent confirmation of my analysis? Thank you for pointing that out!
Probably not. Sparks argument was flawed as well and the approach was trying to find flaws in Hartmann’s research in order to validate the reliability of eyewitness testimony. Your approach was the same. Of course both of you completely missed Hartmann’s point on this and I can equally demonstrate that various scientists agreed with Hartmann’s information (i.e. Menzel, those writing the Condon report, and the National Academy of sciences). I don’t recall Hynek and McDonald arguing about the way Hartmann presented his work either so it pretty much means they could not find fault in it. I suggest that those actual scientists with credentials trump the work of a UFO proponent with (as I recall) a degree in engineering and somebody who claims to be a scientist. If you want to say your work has been validated, I think you are on very weak ground. Additionally, based on your past history of parroting others work, I would not be surprised if you found this and simply paraphrased his work as your own. Of course you could be Brad Sparks but that is doubtful. He would not claim to be a scientist. Some UFO researchers have a line they do not cross (i.e. lying about their credentials).
I am not “compensating” for perceptual error. I am USING perceptual error and the circumstances in which it is manifest to asses UFO cases of veracity and reliability.
Yet you provide us with no information on how you performed this on RR. How about giving us the actual case studies that duplicate the events at RR so we can determine the degree of perceptual error and the reports reliability?
…and STILL you refuse (or cannot) outline the circumstances which lead to perceptual error in the “Japanese pilots” case (that you also fail – again…ugh… to provide a link or proper reference to the case also indicates that you possibly have something to hide and that th4 case actually is not as you describe it).
First of all, I did list a source but you obviously missed it. Second of all, I would think that a scientist might be interested in checking out the story (i.e. do some homework) but apparently, you are too busy trying to avoid the issue.
This is merely YOUR interpretation of events. In other words you have provided a third (or fourth or fifth, sixth…? hand account).
I see. Actual moments in history are questioned as anecdotal accounts subject to error but UFO reports are not. We know these events happened at Coral Sea because military historians recorded them from
the after action reports and accounts of what transpired. We don’t know exactly what happened at RR simply because there is nothing to confirm what transpired. That is the difference between actual history and UFO reports.
HOW is it relevant to rogue River? (That is, what circumstances were the same or similar?) As far as I can tell NOTHING about the case bears on Rogue River – but then of course you have not supplied me with the information that might be relevant – so I reserve judgement until you can show me how the cases might be related.
It is relevant because the main points of your argument are that the witnesses were trained observers, saw the object clearly of a significant period of time, and used binoculars. These factors prevented them from misperceiving a blimp or aircraft as a flying disc. In this case, the pilots had a clear view of the ship for a significant period of time, used optical instruments (even examined the ship closely on the first wave of the attack), and were trained observers with recognition charts. These are circumstances similar to that at Rogue River. The only difference is the target (a large ship) and the background (the ocean vs the blue sky). Yet despite having a significant advantage over the RR witnesses (duration of observation and training to recognize these kinds of targets), they failed to properly identify the target and viewed it as something it was not. THAT is why it is relevant. I expect you to dismiss as not being exactly the same but the fact remains that people misidentify things all the time even when they have training. Therefore, you can not make the claim that it is impossible for the RR witnesses to misidentify something mundane (blimp/aircraft) as something exotic (flying disc).
In cases like Rogue River we search the perceptual research literature and theory to see if there is ANYTHING about the case which could have lead to misperceptions and if we find any, then we must account for them. If we find none that apply then we can discount them as a source of error. THIS is BASIC science Astrophotographer and I find myself wondering why I should have to explain it to you… but there it is, obviously my mistake in this thread is to assume a basic understanding of the scientific method among the readership. Equally Obvious is the fact that I will have to reassess that assumption and bear it in mind for the future.
You have not presented this “perceptual literature” to show how you demonstrated this is the case. That is basic science. Since you have not done this, you can not claim that you have been able to rule out perceptual errors or “account” for them (isn’t that the same things as “compensating” for perceptual error, which you deny you are doing?).
Meanwhile, the forum has presented various sources that demonstrate that witnesses can be in error about their observations. You have, as is typical in your unscientific approach, dismissed them with the usual wave of the hand.
Yes, but you state in every single UFO case that the witnesses were mistaken! HOW is that different to claiming that the “witnesses are wrong 100% of the time?”
My you are a bit on the dense side for a person who claims to have a high degree of education. It is my contention that there is the potential for human error. You have NOT demonstrated how you can compensate for said error and identify when it actually occurs. We are describing the same kind of phenomenon that includes Bigfoot, the Loch Ness monster, Elvis sightings after his death, fairies, angels, dragons, etc. They are things that nobody has any evidence for existing. Until it can be shown these things actually exist (and I am not talking about UFOs but actual physical craft that are flown by “somebody else”), then the potential for human error or hoax being the source of the report is high.
The Arnold sighting [1947] was crucial for the development of the context of UFO sightings in the United States. The two words, “flying saucer,” set the tone for the unexplained sightings that followed; they provided a useful and easily accessible label for the unexplained phenomenon, and, unfortunately, established the giggle factor from the very beginning. (p. 6)
For the first five years after the Arnold sighting, the New York Times consistently took a humorous stance toward the controversy (Jacobs 1976, pp. 34-36).13 It printed a tongue-in-cheek editorial which identified the unidentified objects as “atoms escaping from an overwrought bomb,” Air Force anti-radar devices, visitors from another planet or afterimages of light on the human eye. Another suggestion was that the objects, all silver, were coins that “high riding government officials” scattered to reduce the country’s overhead. Life Magazine (21 July, 1947) suggested that these sightings were not unlike those of the Loch Ness Monster. (p. 7)
The New York Times also interviewed Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko and air pioneer Orville Wright. Tongue in check, Gromyko suggested that UFOs were discs from Soviet discus throwers practicing for the Olympic Games. Orville Wright believed that no scientific basis for the objects existed and then hinted that somehow the government was involved and that its intentions were manipulative in nature. “It is more propaganda to stir up the people and excite them to believe that a foreign power has designs on this nation.” In the same article (10 July 1947, p. 23) the Times quoted a Princeton psychologist, Leo Creeps, as saying that the real problem was whether the flying saucer was an illusion with objective reference or whether it was “delusionary in nature.” (pp 7 -8) (
http://www.narcap.org/commentary/ufocritique.pdf)
So you basically are cutting and pasting what NARCAP told you? Do you have the articles and how many people on the west coast had access to the NY times? Of course, this is a document describing newspapers from 1947 and not 1949. I demonstrated that there was no ridicule in 1949 on the subject and the AF had publicly declared that UFO reports were not a joke and were being taken seriously. You will have to do better than that to demonstrate that people were afraid of ridicule. Based on this argument, nobody would have bothered to file any UFO reports after 1947, yet they did. Apparently, not everyone read the NY times. Most of the media headlines did not ridicule witnesses at all.