Original assumption:
x = (
.001/100)*p
where p = population of the USA, and x = the number of "troofers" in the population
x = ~3,000 (my math says x == 3,0114 as of July 2007)
So now that we all understand the original assumption, allow me to disagree with it.
A good "rule of thumb" in the world of social media says that for every 10 passive viewers (lurkers), only 1 will post a comment.
If we apply the same 10:1 ratio to the original estimate, we find an est. 30,000 passive troofers, represented by a vocal 3,000 activist troofers***.
30,000 "sounds right" to me, but let us try to compare it with other assumptions to see how it looks in context.
I would assume that the gross majority of troofers are males aged between 15 and 24; according to the
2006 American Community Survey:
- total male population = 147,434,940
- 7.2% aged 15-19 [est: 10,615,316]
- 7.0% aged 20-24 [est: 10,320,446]
By my math, this makes 20,935,763 males aged 15-24 in the USA.
Assuming ALL troofers are young males, my estimate of 30,000 troofers means that:
x = (30,000/20,935,736)*100
0.14% of young males, aged 15-24, are troofers; or 14 in 10,000.
Of these 14 troofers, only 1 in 10 (1.4) will be willing to attend a rally, or otherwise actively participate.
Of course, my assumptions are just as lousy as the original, but I like math.
Speaking of which- double check it. I'm curious to see if I got that 100% right.
*** I found an error; this should say: "we find an est. 27,000 passive troofers, represented by a vocal 3,000 activist troofers"; 30k total, not 33k.