ozeco41
Philosopher
david.watts Challenges ozeco41. (See post #517)
He should learn the military adage "know your enemy" - however let me show how far from reality he is on debating process.
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For someone as deep into denial as you David - you sure have a lot of energy to waste. It would IMO be better spent understanding the simple issues you are desperately trying to avoid. However:
An hypothesis is based on facts and reasoning. Facts are backed by evidence and differ from opinions which are neither expert nor backed by evidence.
So what facts do you assert - I've colours coded them to grade them by relevance:
1) These are matters of scenario setting which I allow. They do not contribute to any hypothesis and I totally ignore the implications.
2) These are assertions of fact which I could accept if backed by evidence but as yet you give no evidence. For moot purposes I allow them but would require the evidence.
THESE ARE THE ONLY ONES WHICH CAN VALIDLY BE INCLUDED IN AN HYPOTHESIS
3) These are assertions of fact which also have no evidence but which are extremely unlikely could ever be backed by evidence.
4) These are emotive assertions or implications or improbabilities which have zero effect as direct evidence or in absence of any explicit demonstration of a relevant claim.
5) These are assertions of fact which are either untrue OR could not be true. You will need to remove them from any of your logic trains which are negated by your false premises
We have only three facts which are admissible into the first hypothesis. They are:
1) Explosions causing malicious damage in five buildings; AND
2) Fires started at the same time; AND
3) Buildings collapsed 7 hours later.
I accept those three facts as true facts for purposes of this moot exercise. All three would need verification in a real situation.
So the reasoning applied to those facts allows us to make two legitimate interim conclusions viz:
A) The collapse occurred 7 hours after the explosions THEREFORE the explosions did not cause the collapses.
B) The explosions may have contributed to the collapse mechanisms - we do not have sufficient evidence to determine if the explosion made any or zero contribution OR how much contribution if in fact there was any.
So the only legitimate hypothesis available at this stage and on the evidence available ie:
There is a prima facie case that fire damage caused the collapses.
We can draw other conclusions about this little "challenge" by david.watts.
I'll leave them for now.
He should learn the military adage "know your enemy" - however let me show how far from reality he is on debating process.
___________________________________
For someone as deep into denial as you David - you sure have a lot of energy to waste. It would IMO be better spent understanding the simple issues you are desperately trying to avoid. However:
An hypothesis is based on facts and reasoning. Facts are backed by evidence and differ from opinions which are neither expert nor backed by evidence.
So what facts do you assert - I've colours coded them to grade them by relevance:
1) These are matters of scenario setting which I allow. They do not contribute to any hypothesis and I totally ignore the implications.
2) These are assertions of fact which I could accept if backed by evidence but as yet you give no evidence. For moot purposes I allow them but would require the evidence.
THESE ARE THE ONLY ONES WHICH CAN VALIDLY BE INCLUDED IN AN HYPOTHESIS
3) These are assertions of fact which also have no evidence but which are extremely unlikely could ever be backed by evidence.
4) These are emotive assertions or implications or improbabilities which have zero effect as direct evidence or in absence of any explicit demonstration of a relevant claim.
5) These are assertions of fact which are either untrue OR could not be true. You will need to remove them from any of your logic trains which are negated by your false premises
There isn't much GREEN - admissible factual stuff is there david??(Note: this is a question only about hypotheses and has nothing to do with what happened on 9-11/2001.)
Question: ozeco, If i may introduce a mythical hypothetical to see what your hypothesis would be; I wish to do so:
In Myth City there were five 47-story buildings surrounding Hypothetical Circle which were known as the Hypothetical Quintuplets. Each of the Quintuplets were built exactly the same as WTC7 all being steel framed buildings. All five buildings were just recently cheaply purchased by Mr. Mytherstein and immediately insured for grand amounts covering controlled demolition; mythical or otherwise. On the 32nd day of Mythuary, bombs exploded in all five Hypothetical Quintuplets knocking out a portion of the lower structures exactly equal to what happened to WTC7. Fires started in all five of the 47-story tall Hypotheticals and burned exactly, I mean exactly the same as they did in WTC7 and on the same exact floors. In all five of the Quintuplets there were recording systems in place throughout the buildings which continuously transmitted to separate recorders in Mr. Mytherstein's offices in Billion Dollar Square, that while also located in Myth City, were located a safe distance from the Hypotheticals.
After about seven hours, all five of the Hypothetical Quintuplets collapsed very quickly and in a quite symmetrical fashion and mostly into their own footprints at almost free fall accelerationalboggled
speed. The collapse times for all five were recorded by video and appeared to be exactly the same. All collapses included 2.25 seconds of actual free fall.
Recordings of multiple explosions were made in only four of the five buildings and all sounded identical to each other and sounded exactly like "steel cutting explosives." Unfortunately, the recording system in the 5th Quintuplet had been stolen the day before soon after the bomb sniffing dogs had been asked to leave.
There was absolutely no doubt in the entire mythical world that the four buildings from which the recordings were heard, were controlled demolitions. But nobody was sure about the fifth Hypothetical Quintuplet because there were no recordings; the 'fifth' had had its recorders stolen! So in unanimous agreement, Inspector ozeco was summoned. They relayed to the inspector, there is no doubt that four were controlled demolitions. But the fifth of the five Hypotheticals surrounding Hypothetical Circle had no recordings. All we know for a fact is there was damage from the initial explosion seven hours before it collapsed and that there were fires that burned inside for those 7 hours. However, we do have some circumstantial stuff from quite a few earwitnesses, including firemen and policemen and other lay people, that said without a doubt they heard explosions coming from number 7, sorry, we mean, number 5. In a quick search of the internet we see that you said, "My answer remains - yes I will reconsider once you come up with some factual evidence which legitimately modifies the hypothesis I have put forward." They asked Inspector ozeco, "Inspector ozeco, would you please tell us what is your hypothesis for the collapse of the fifth Hypothetical Quintuplet?"
We have only three facts which are admissible into the first hypothesis. They are:
1) Explosions causing malicious damage in five buildings; AND
2) Fires started at the same time; AND
3) Buildings collapsed 7 hours later.
I accept those three facts as true facts for purposes of this moot exercise. All three would need verification in a real situation.
So the reasoning applied to those facts allows us to make two legitimate interim conclusions viz:
A) The collapse occurred 7 hours after the explosions THEREFORE the explosions did not cause the collapses.
B) The explosions may have contributed to the collapse mechanisms - we do not have sufficient evidence to determine if the explosion made any or zero contribution OR how much contribution if in fact there was any.
So the only legitimate hypothesis available at this stage and on the evidence available ie:
There is a prima facie case that fire damage caused the collapses.
We can draw other conclusions about this little "challenge" by david.watts.
I'll leave them for now.
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