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Split Thread Trickle-down economics

It's still trickling the wrong way. In fact, it's a geyser!
American workers are getting the smallest slice of the pie on record (NBC News, Sep 7, 2026)
Since 2000, the value of the S&P 500 stock index has gained about 600%. Over the same period, inflation-adjusted worker earnings have climbed just 12.5%.
The poorest in the US can’t find housing even as low-income units sit empty (AP News, Seep 7, 2026)
The poorest people in the U.S. face the most acute shortages of affordable homes. But the majority of low-income housing financed in recent years is for those earning 50% of an area’s median income or above, according to a survey of state housing agencies.
 
It's still trickling the wrong way. In fact, it's a geyser!
Paywalled, so I can only go by what the headline says.
Since 2000, the value of the S&P 500 stock index has gained about 600%. Over the same period, inflation-adjusted worker earnings have climbed just 12.5%
According to Google the S&P 500 increased by 533% from 2000 to now. The CPI increased by 94%, so the inflation-adjusted stock market value 'only' went up by 275%. That's still a big gap compared to wages, but not as much as stated. When we look at the graph we see that the S&P 500 didn't really shoot up until after Covid hit in 2020.

sp500.png

We know what caused the surge in 2020-2021, and we see a 'correction' going into 2022. But what caused the steep climb after that?

US Stock Market Bubble Concentration. AI-related Stocks.
Since ChatGPT’s release in November 2022, 70 percent of the US market’s growth has been driven by AI... Since [January 2026] 85% of the S&P 500's rally has been AI-related.

But don't worry, it isn't a bubble. Any day now we will start seeing AI do actually useful stuff that justifies its market cap.

stock market bubble.png
 
one of the thing that's often forgotten in the context of the stock market and how it benefits the average person is that even if you are invested, that money is often all but inaccessible because you don't have enough of it to really be leveraged in any ways that impact your day to day life. so things like lagging wages and inflation aren't really being offset by gains in the stock market when for many people that's just their retirement account, and gains in the real estate market just mean higher property tax
 
Paywalled, so I can only go by what the headline says.

According to Google the S&P 500 increased by 533% from 2000 to now. The CPI increased by 94%, so the inflation-adjusted stock market value 'only' went up by 275%. That's still a big gap compared to wages, but not as much as stated. When we look at the graph we see that the S&P 500 didn't really shoot up until after Covid hit in 2020.

View attachment 75479

We know what caused the surge in 2020-2021, and we see a 'correction' going into 2022. But what caused the steep climb after that?

US Stock Market Bubble Concentration. AI-related Stocks.


But don't worry, it isn't a bubble. Any day now we will start seeing AI do actually useful stuff that justifies its market cap.

View attachment 75481
I have a few complaints and questions. Can you really call Railroad bubble when it lasted nearly a century, There was a good 50 years of railroads between about 40 and 60%. What are the Nifty Fifity and TMT?

Actually that graphic sucks. The timelines breaks and and the first half taking about a 10th of the real estate is very misleading.

Don't get me wrong, this is definitely a bubble, but just like the railroads, there will be some air left at the end of it.
 
Last edited:
Dan Miller on bsky, Sep 10, 2026
Corporate profits just hit a record 13.2% of GDP.
Wages simultaneously fell to a record-low 41.1%.
This is the political economy of modern capitalism: record profits, a shrinking share for workers, and corporations spending billions on political donations and lobbying to maintain the status quo.

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Economics Teacher on bsky, Sep 10, 2026
And get the working class to blame immigrants
 
This is an excellent series!
Watch it for the graphics!
These are not the kind of videos where listening to them is enough.


Wealth Inequality in America (politizane on YouTube, Nov 20, 2012 – 6:23 min.)
Infographics on the distribution of wealth in America, highlighting both the inequality and the difference between our perception of inequality and the actual numbers. The reality is often not what we think it is.
Watched 26.663.735 times!

Wealth Inequality in America (Updated 2026) (politizane on YouTube, Sep 8, 2026 – 11:34 min.)
Updated in 2026, thirteen years after the original video went viral, we dive even deeper into the worsening inequality crippling our country. This video contains updated infographics on the distribution of wealth in America, highlighting both the inequality itself, and the difference between our perception of inequality and the actual numbers. The reality is worse than what we think it is.
For thirteen years we have been reading your comments and requests for an update. (And we’ve been making notes of our own, well beyond the original video.) So, with this update we’ve added dollar amounts to the charts, taken our visualization of the extremes to the next level, and even provided some thoughts on how we get out of this mess.
And you aren't going to have to wait thirteen more years for the next video. Every week in September, we are dropping a new one. After this update on wealth inequality, there’s three more…
DISCLAIMER: We know. This is a lot to take in. There’s a ton of highly detailed information here. (And even more to come.) It may take multiple viewings. If you still have lingering questions after watching this first video, the follow-up videos should answer them. And if you are even more curious, consider downloading our Companion PDF (which will be updated by chapter as each video is released). There is even more to take in there, including why it took thirteen years for the next video to arrive.
00:00 Intro
00:08 Think / Ideal / Reality
01:34 100 Americans
02:16 Ideal Curve
02:49 Think Curve
03:16 Reality Curve
03:52 Top 1%
04:40 Oversimplification
06:49 The 0.1% / 0.01% / 0.001%
07:47 Zoom Up To Space
08:33 The Irony
09:09 The Second Gilded Age
09:30 Possible Solutions?
10:06 Conclusion
11:11 References

Income Inequality in America (Part 1 of 2) (politizane on YouTube, Sep 16, 2026 – 11:15 min.)
After a surprise update to our viral wealth inequality video from 13 years ago, this followup exposes the extremes of income inequality, highlighting the growing affordability crisis and the ways even basic needs are dragging households deeper into debt.
Do you feel like you are handling your finances well enough, but can’t seem to get ahead? Do you wonder why, even with a decent salary, you’re still slipping further and further behind? Hopefully this video will explain the source of that feeling, and illuminate just how bad things have gotten for America’s middle class. Like my earlier videos, it's even worse than most people THINK.
In our previous video, we saw how truly concentrated wealth in America is. But now we consider income — both before and after spending — so you can see exactly where America’s growing debt problem comes from, and maybe explain to your grandparents and even your parents why their American dream has become your American nightmare.
You’re sure to have lingering questions after watching this video — but keep in mind it’s just Part 1. Next week, come back for Part 2, where we’ll explore these issues over time, discuss the inequalities of mobility (moving across the income chart throughout your career), and follow different Americans’ hypothetical journeys as they try to get ahead and pay off their accumulating debt.
DISCLAIMER: We know. This is a lot to take in. There’s a ton of highly detailed information here (and even more to come). It may take multiple viewings. If you still have lingering questions after watching this video, the follow-up videos should answer most of them. And if you are even more curious, consider downloading our Companion PDF (which will be updated by chapter as each video is released). There is so much more to take in there.
00:00 Intro
00:16 100 Americans
00:39 The Income Curve
01:05 The Numbers
01:49 Spending
03:05 Underwater
03:35 Worse Than You Think
04:21 Affordability
04:29 Food and Transportation
04:49 Healthcare and Housing
05:25 Not Your Parents’ or Grandparents’ Economy
05:46 Gray Areas
06:10 Income Disguised as Wealth
06:41 The Oversimplification
07:23 The 0.1% / 0.01% / 0.001%
08:00 Possible Solutions?
08:53 K-Shaped Economy
10:11 Conclusion
10:57 References

Income Inequality in America (Part 2 of 2) (politizane on YouTube, Sep 23, 2026 – 10:19 min.)
Part 2 on the extremes of *income inequality*, highlighting the devastating affordability crisis and the ways even basic needs are dragging households deeper into debt. In Part 1, we considered income — both before and after spending — revealing the shocking truth that roughly half of American families spend more than they earn.
In this followup video, we track the effects of this terrible reality _over time_, imagining American mobility as workers struggle to get their family’s finances above water. We discuss the federal minimum wage, the damned-if-you-do/damned-if-you-don't nature of higher education, the traps of benefit cliffs in government assistance, and the vast chasm between actual poverty and our “break-even line.” We end with how staggering consumer debt has made the American Dream nothing but a terrible lie.
Next week, come back for the conclusion to our Inequality series (for now), as we discuss the billionaires, the flip side of our inequality coin, and how they may in fact play a role in getting America out of this mess.
00:00 Intro
00:04 Recap
00:19 Impact Over Time
01:00 Mobility
02:08 College
02:46 Minimum Wage
03:47 The Math to Escape Poverty
04:53 The Valley of Death
05:17 Extreme Poverty
06:28 Break-Even Line
06:54 Possible Solutions?
07:24 Debt
07:43 Credit Card Debt
08:30 The Two Traps
09:10 Conclusion
10:00 References


And soon to be released:
Inequality in America: Billionaires (Sep 30, 2026 – ??:?? min.)
 
This is an excellent series!
Watch it for the graphics!
These are not the kind of videos where listening to them is enough.

I also came across an interesting video. It makes the point that a lot has to do with how we define wealth. For example, Elon Musk's wealth is held primarily in assets like stocks. Of course, if he were to sell them off, their value would quickly drop to a fraction of their current worth and he wouldn't get much for them.
 
Correction: it has nothing to do with how We define wealth, and everything to do with how the Stock Market, Investors and creditors define it.
Musk is a Trillionaire because he's been treated as such, regardless of whether he could liquefy a fraction of that if he tried.
The effect is the same: draw capital away from other investments, concentrate market valuations into fewer assets.

Musk can afford everything that is for sale, making him the richest person who ever lived, as there is more stuff to buy than ever before.

Meanwhile, the poorest are as poor as ever.

Don't try to play the definitions game when the facts are obvious: inequality has never been as bad as today - obviously.
Reason being that there is a lower limit on how poor you can be, but no upper limit on how rich.

Seriously, Musk could liquefy more of his assets than any King or Emperor of Old ever could.
To argue otherwise is silly and motivated.
 
Seriously, Musk could liquefy more of his assets than any King or Emperor of Old ever could.
I think that what is important here is that he can liquefy a substantial amount of his assets and still have enough left to be the richest man in the world, no matter how it is defined. It is important that he uses his riches to make the world a worse place. He supports extreme right wing politics everywhere, he supports parties that support the aggressive dictator Putin, he undermines environmental policies everywhere despite having part of his riches depending EVs, and so on.

It is fine that there are people who have these opinions, and try to enforce these policies, but it is not fine that such rich people have so much more influence than anybody else.
 

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