There is no bouncer in front of the McDonald's bathroom. There is no need for words, magic or otherwise. People seriously overestimate the difficulty predatory men have in accessing these spaces.
Let me stop you right here, because this is not entirely correct.
Currently, there are means to enforce segregation of bathrooms. Even in McDonalds. It has nothing to do with checking IDs or inspecting genitals.
When a male, such as myself, accidentally enters the wrong room, the occupants of that room make point out their mistake to them. If that male were to shrug it off and persist, the occupants of that room has some options. They can voice their objection more loudly or they can exit the room and make the issue known to the employees. Both of these have the effect of drawing attention, which is undesirable for predators.
Prior to a back injury, my wife worked in security, including at a mall and at a library. She has been called to address such an issue at both places.
Of course, these options don't exist for facilities in isolated areas where there is no one whose attention can be drawn, but still, it exists. And yes, there are cases where this can misfire leading to embarrassment for all.
These options are threatened by the current tide around these issues. It becomes possible to label anyone who questions or objects to someone's presence in the women's bathroom a "transphobe" and turn them into the villain. (Something which, these days, can have real and lasting negative effects.) Even if the person they object to looks and dresses like Tom Selleck in Magnum P.I. (Facial hair, displayed chest hair, masculine clothes and haircut.)
Basically, self-ID moves from "weak enforcement" to "no enforcement."
I live in a city of 8 million people, with no shortage of sex predators. It's been illegal to discriminate on the basis of gender identity for something like 20 years.
And yet there are still segregated changing rooms and bathrooms in your city.
I have yet to succeed in finding a single instance where a sexual predator gained access to a bathroom by pretending to be trans.
Note the highlighted.
There have been several incidents of inappropriate behavior posted on these threads by people who claimed to be trans. this is where the highlighted word comes in. Unless these people back down from their claim (which might not be good legal advice), how do we tell if this behavior (including some assaults) were done by trans women or men
pretending to be trans?
By what criteria can we sort them into the "pretending" bin?
This also relates to another complaint EC has made where crimes committed by a trans woman are counted as crimes by women. How we classify data when it is collected affects what we can discern from that data.
There is no evidence that this has led to an increase in assaults on women.
Seems like the skeptic should conclude that this isn't the danger people think it is.
I'd think a skeptic would first look at what data is collected and how it is collected before deciding if it was even possible to make a conclusion.