Since the inclusion or exclusion of these features changes the outcome and conclusion of the analysis, in a diametrically opposed way, it is far from a "splitting hairs" issue.
It
is splitting hairs.
The conclusion of the analysis plays a very minor role in the conclusions of the report. Let me dumb it down for you.
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Chapter 4 (Principal findings) is the gist of the conclusions.
4.1 is the introduction. It introduces the points that follow. Nothing would change there
4.2 is a summary. It consists of many points, none of which mentions the initiating event. It is divided into three of the four objectives (as the introduction mentions, the fourth objective is treated in section 4.5).
The first objective is
"Determine why and how WTC 7 collapsed."
- This point wouldn't change: "WTC 7 withstood debris impact damage that resulted in seven exterior columns being severed and subsequently withstood fires involving typical office combustibles on several floors for almost seven hours."
- This point wouldn't change: "The collapse of WTC 7 represents the first known instance of the total collapse of a tall building primarily due to fires. The collapse could not have been prevented without controlling the fires before most of the combustible building contents were consumed."
- The next point talks about the importance of the sprinklers and concludes that "[h]ad a water supply for the automatic sprinkler system been available and had the sprinkler system operated as designed, it is likely that fires in WTC 7 would have been controlled and the collapse prevented." That point wouldn't change either no matter how the girder failed.
- The next point refers to column 79 and is a point that CTBUH contends, because it talks about failure of column 79 as the initiating event instead of the floor systems that NIST said that failed. It is the one starting with "The probable collapse sequence that caused the global collapse of WTC 7 was initiated by the buckling of Column 79, which was unsupported over nine stories, after local fire-induced damage led to a cascade of floor failures." That isn't affected by how the girder failed either.
- Next point is about how local damage led to the collapse of an entire building. Not affected by how the girder failed.
- Next explains how "WTC 7 was prone to classic progressive collapse in the absence of debris impact and fire" and isn't affected.
- Next one just says: "Neither the transfer elements (trusses, girders, and cantilever overhangs) nor the "strong" floors (Floors 5 and 7) played a significant role in the collapse of WTC 7. Neither did the Con Edison substation play a significant role in the collapse of WTC 7" so it would obviously not be affected either.
- Next point is about how SFRM was not damaged. You bet it wouldn't be affected by how the girder failed.
- Next says that the damage from WTC 1 was not a factor in the structural failure, and that if fires with the same characteristics happened in the building in pristine condition, it would still fail. As you can imagine, it would be unaffected by the failure mode of the girder.
- Next is about how fires in the southwest corner did not play a role in the collapse. Unaffected too.
- Next is about descent time. Unaffected.
- Next is about how diesel fuel played no role in the fires. Unaffected.
- Next is about ruling out blast events. Unaffected.
Second objective is
"Determine why the injuries and fatalities were so high or low depending on location, including all technical aspects of fire protection, occupant behavior, evacuation, and emergency response."
While it's important, in that it shows how evacuation was successful and therefore adequate, which is crucial for building safety, none of its four points is affected by how the girder failed, and thus also proves how you're splitting hairs:
- First point says that there were no serious injuries or fatalities because the building was evacuated.
- Second says that "The occupants were able to use both the elevators and the stairs, which were as yet not damaged, obstructed, or smoke-filled."
- Third is about identifying an exit path safe from WTC1 debris to go out of the building.
- And fourth and last point is about how no emergency responders suffered any injuries due to the building being empty.
Third objective is to
"Determine what procedures and practices were used in the design, construction, operation, and maintenance of WTC 7." It has five points, all relevant to building safety, and none affected by the girder failure mode:
- First just says that "The design of WTC 7 was generally consistent1 with the NYCBC."
- Next is about how lack of redundancy in the source of water supplies was consistent with building codes.
- Next is about the passive fire resistance design of WTC7 and concludes that while it conformed to the codes, it is deficient because thermal interactions can affect the elements even with it. It's very important to building safety. NIST has a point here. But you don't.
- Next is about how fire performance of the structural system of building was not required to be taken into account, and continued to do so up to the date of the report. It notes that "[c]urrent practice also does not require design professionals to possess the qualifications necessary to ensure adequate passive fire resistance of the structural system." Important for building safety, and unaffected by how the girder failed.
- And last elaborates on how "[t]he design of WTC 7 did not include any specific analysis of how the structural system might perform in a real fire."
4.3 is titled "THE MECHANISMS OF BUILDING COLLAPSE". Is there any part in this section affected here by how the girder failed? Let's see.
4.3.1 is titled "Debris Impact Damage from the Collapse of WTC 1". None of its two points is affected.
- First point says how the building collapsed nearly seven hours after the damage.
- Second point details where the structural damage was located.
4.3.2 is titled "Reconstruction of the Fires". It contains numerous points and sub-points, filling about
two pages, none of which is affected by how the girder failed.
4.3.3 is titled "Fire Induced Thermal Effects". Is the girder failure mode part of the thermal effects considered there? Let's see.
- First point says that the calculated temperatures of the columns were below 200°C everywhere. Nope, not affected.
- Second point says that the floor slab tops in some floors were heated to over 900°C and that some beams exceeded 600°C. Interesting, but that's a premise for the failure mode. Now matter how it failed, this point would still be unaffected.
- Third and last point is about how variability in the conditions affected the outcome. The failure mode would not affect this either.
4.3.4 is titled "Structural Response and Collapse". Sounds like this is a good candidate to find something. It has four parts. The first one, "Initiating event", has 4 points, one of which has 3 subpoints.
- "The buckling failure of Column 79 between Floor 5 and Floor 14 was the initiating event that led to the global collapse of WTC 7. This resulted from thermal expansion and failures of connections, beams, and girders in the adjacent floor systems." Would this change if the girder failed in some other way? I don't think so.
- Second point mentions that temperatures primarily implied were under 400°C, "well below the temperatures at which structural steel loses significant strength and stiffness." Not affected by the exact failure mode of the girder either.
- Third point reads: "Thermal expansion was particularly significant in causing the connection, beam, and girder failures, since the floor beams had long spans on the north and east sides (approximately 15 m, 50 ft)." Not affected. It has three sub-points:
- First subpoint is about how the beams were distorted and their connections broke as a result of thermal elongation. Not affected.
- Second subpoint is worth quoting in its entirety: "At Column 79, heating and expansion of the floor beams in the northeast corner caused the loss of connection between the column and the key girder. Additional factors that contributed to the failure of the critical north-south girder were (1) the absence of shear studs that would have provided lateral restraint and (2) the one-sided framing of the east floor beams that allowed the beams to push laterally on the girders, due to thermal expansion of the beams." Now the red part might be affected if the failure mode was different. The rest wouldn't. Bingo, we have a sentence affected.
- Third subpoint mentions how the weakening of floors 8 to 14 helped the progressive collapse. It isn't affected by how the girder failed.
- Last point mentions blast events. Maybe you can show proof of a big boom that caused the girder to fail, but until then, I'll assume it has nothing to do with how the girder failed.
The second part is titled "Vertical Progression of Collapse". It has three points, the first of which contains two subpoints. None of them would be affected by how the girder failed.
The third part is titled "Horizontal Progression of Collapse". It has three points too, of which none would be affected by how the girder failed either.
The last part is titled "Global Collapse", and it has five points, filling almost a page. Nothing that the exact failure mode of the girder would affect.
4.4 is titled "LIFE SAFETY FACTORS". Very important for NIST's task. And not affected either by the girder's failure mode
4.4.1 is about "Evacuation of WTC 7". It has seven points, one of which has three subpoints. It fills about one page. None of it is affected by how the girder exactly failed. It goes into details such as how fire drills were performed (important for safety, so within NIST's responsibility to investigate.)
4.4.2 is titled "Emergency Response". It has four points, and mentions how there were no casualties due to the collapse of the building. No relationship to the failure mode of the girder whatsoever.
4.5 is a section titled "CODE STANDARDS AND PRACTICES". Maybe there's something in it that would be affected if the girder failed in any other way? Unlikely, but let's see.
4.5.1 is a general subsection with three points. A salient point is the last one:
"The type of building classification used to design and construct the building was not clear from the available documents." It goes on to mention that "some documentation [...], indicate a type 1-B (3 h protected) classification". As you can see, no relationship with the girder either. In neither that or the other points.
4.5.2, "Building Design and Structural Safety", sounds like it might be a candidate. But when we look into its contents, which are three points, one of which in turn contains four subpoints, we find out that NIST is talking about general adequacy of the design and adherence to the codes.
The last point is particularly interesting. It was treated in the summary already. It says that "[t]he structural design did not explicitly evaluate fire effects, which was typical for engineering practice at that time and continues to remain so today." Could a change in that practice have prevented the girder from failing? Maybe. Perhaps you want to lobby for such a change. But I think it's clear that that is not your intention. Also, I have the feeling that NIST is implicitly insinuating that it would be overkill to do so.
4.5.3 is about application of SFRM. The second of the four points it contains is quite interesting in itself, as it mentions the maximum temperature of steel. But none of them would really be affected if the girder failed in some other way.
4.5.4, Fire Safety and Fire Protections Systems, has five points, one of which contains two subpoints. It goes into detail to say that they were "designed, constructed, and apparently maintained consistent with applicable building codes and standards." Very important for building safety. But none of them would change a bit if the girder failure mode was different.
4.6 is of special interest. It's titled "FUTURE FACTORS THAT COULD HAVE MITIGATED STRUCTURAL COLLAPSE". The opening paragraph states:
"In the course of the Investigation, NIST and its contractors were aware that there were existing, emerging, or even anticipated capabilities that could have prevented the collapse of WTC 7, had they been in place on September 11, 2001. NIST did not conduct studies to evaluate the degree to which building performance could have been improved on September 11, 2001, had the capabilities been available." Now it can be argued that the lack of such studies is a pitfall in the report. But you're not contending that, are you?
Would any of the six points it contains be affected, had NIST found out a different failure mode of the girder? Let's see.
- The first point reads: "More robust connections and framing systems to better resist the effects of thermal expansion on the structural system, which is not currently considered in design practice." If the girder failed in some other way, would NIST have changed their mind on this point? I don't think so, but who knows. It's conjecture at best.
- And the second point? "Structural systems expressly designed to prevent progressive collapse." Well, duh. But progressive collapse has nothing to do with the girder's failing mode anyway.
- "Better thermal insulation (i.e., reduced conductivity and/or increased thickness) to limit heating of structural steel and to minimize both thermal expansion and weakening effects." Since NIST showed that thermal expansion was indeed a factor that at the very least put the building in risk and has the potential of causing collapses of other buildings, that's a sound factor in any case, independently of how the girder failed.
- "Automatic fire sprinkler systems with independent and reliable sources for the primary and secondary water supply." Duh too. If the fires in the lower floors were extinguished by a working sprinkler system, they would not have been a factor in the collapse, so no matter how the girder failed, this is a sound factor too.
- "Improved compartmentation in tenant areas to limit the spread of fires." Ditto.
- "Thermally resistant window assemblies which limit breakage, reduce air supply, and retard fire growth." Of course. And not changed by how the girder failed.
4.7, "HUMAN PERFORMANCE FACTORS", is the last section in that chapter, with seven important points that prevented loss of life. Let me reproduce it here, as it is short enough:
4.7 HUMAN PERFORMANCE FACTORS
Human performance factors contributed to the outcome of no loss of life at WTC 7:
- Reduced number of people in WTC 7 at the times of airplane impact on the towers.
- Shortness of delay in starting to evacuate.
- Evacuation assistance provided by emergency responders to evacuees.
- Participation of the building occupants in recent fire drills.
- Decision not to continue reconnaissance of the building and not to fight the fires within.
Other human performance factors did not play a life safety role in WTC 7 on September 11, 2001, but could have been important had the fires been more widespread, the building damage more severe, or the building occupancy at full capacity:
- Accuracy and reliability of communications among emergency responders and building occupants.
- Efficiency of management of large-scale emergency incidents.
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That's chapter 4, which is the first part of the conclusions of the report. Only one sentence out of a very detailed summary of the NIST findings would be affected. Is chapter 5 (Recommendations) any different? No. No part of the recommendations would be affected if the girder failed in some other way.
Let me put it into perspective with this graph:
It shows, in red, the part of chapters 4 and 5 that would be affected if the girder failed differently. That's what you're fighting for. One ******* sentence of the conclusions. And you're saying that sentence invalidates the whole conclusions above? Oh, come on!
So stop claiming it's not splitting hairs. It is.