It is clear now that those here who insist that fire caused WTC 7 to collapse have no idea what initiated the collapse with the NIST hypothesis being shown to be impossible, and it is telling that the theories they have proposed to replace the now debunked NIST theory range from barely plausible to ridiculous.
One would think this shows why the NIST should be required to revisit the issue and perform physical testing with sections of floor structure as well as FEA to determine a viable failure mode. Of course, this would also mean they would have to include pertinent structural features they previously omitted, like the girder stiffeners.
As I have stated several times Col79 did come down preceding the downward movement of the curtain wall and the space frame which it was clipped to. This is undeniable. The collapse was not a one or two story process but appears to be the entire column line. And that would pull with it all the beams and girders framed into it on each floor and the EPH would of course drop.
NIST created at floor 13 scenario for some reason. But it's perhaps more likely that the column collapsed from some cause below 13 and it makes most sense that the transfer structures between flrs 5 and 7 - TT1, TT2 and TT3 along with 8 cantilever girders supporting the 80% of the north columns of the perimeter failed first. This pushed the columns out of alignment at floor 8 with those above: 47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,61,64,67, & 73.
These trusses were inter connected of course and were connected to the columns to the east of the core 74,75,77,78, E3,E4,79,80,81,82 which also were pushed and or pulled out of alignment with the columns above.
The south side of the core had a 5 story tall lobby with no N-S bracing. So when the transfer structures failed there was little left below floor 7 inside the building.
The collapse below 7 described above pulled both the East and West 8 story braced frames at the perimeter inward. These frames were connected to columns 79,80,81 on the East and TT3 on the West. Now there was no structure below 8 coupled with the structure above 8 and the perimeter frame came down for 108' (distance from ground to floor 8) with no resistance.
The collapse of the columns supporting the 8- MG 27girders north of the core likely also destroyed the remaining to columns of the core so it to had the columns above it collapse down (just before the perimeter movement). This is supported by the collapse of the WPH which was above the core area and came down before the observed curtain wall collapse.
Sequence:
TT1 and or TT2 fail
Columns and braces connecting them 61,64,67, 70, 73 fail
Columns 74,75,78,79,80,81,E3,#4 collapse
EPH falls 8-MG 27's collapse taking 47-54
core columns 61,64,67,70, collapse taking core with them
TT3 pulled eastward taking columns 61a and 62 down
WPH collapses down and eastward
braced framed are pulled inward
Perimeter comes down
You can see that the failure of 79 below 8 comes early in the sequence.
The likely failure mode of the massive TT1 or TT2 was from bolt shearing connecting the steel of a diagonal of a truss member. Once the diagonal is "gone" the truss completely fails and takes all the members framed into it down with it.
And this is the likely rapidly progressive series of failures which would match the visuals.
The floor 13 discussion is a diversion from the likely real location of the initiation which was inside the building where there were almost no windows and no office space... all Con Ed and Mech floors.
The take away (mine) is that a failure in a key LATERAL transfer structure rapidly spread through the lower part of the tower leaving no support the the office floors above. Interior was rapidly gutted / hollowed out and the last *man standing* was the perimeter.
This analysis is what the visuals show and what is consistent with the structure and so the collapse was not FROM a single column failure. Those who support this believe that the mass from 34 floors dropped onto the TT1 and TT2 initiating the above sequence. Maybe.
Which came first? The chicken or the egg.
Core columns