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Cont: The Russian Invasion of Ukraine part 5

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a_unique_person

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That dynamic isn't simply the result of greedy oligarchs, though. It's a dynamic referred to as "Dutch disease" where a natural resource boom almost guarantees a manufacturing contraction. Hard to avoid even without greed and corruption.



Funnily enough, Australia has experienced exactly that by having a capitalist attitude to mining, but Norway with a Socialist policy has avoided it.

 
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Russian Politician Wants to Add up to Half a Million Troops in Ukraine

I mean, we all want a lot of things!

There seems to be genuine political debate in Moscow! I've seen a couple of different sides emerge. One is that 'we should be killing Ukrainians.' The other is that 'we should be killing Ukrainians much much faster!' Some commentators feel there should be mass mobilization, and some have gone so far as to ape Putin - essentially, why not nuclear armageddon, if Russia isn't important?

All of this over 20% of Ukraine's land mass! Are they deluded, or do they just have no shame?
 
Russian Politician Wants to Add up to Half a Million Troops in Ukraine

I mean, we all want a lot of things!

There seems to be genuine political debate in Moscow! I've seen a couple of different sides emerge. One is that 'we should be killing Ukrainians.' The other is that 'we should be killing Ukrainians much much faster!' Some commentators feel there should be mass mobilization, and some have gone so far as to ape Putin - essentially, why not nuclear armageddon, if Russia isn't important?

All of this over 20% of Ukraine's land mass! Are they deluded, or do they just have no shame?
Fear? They don't want to fall out of any buildings.
 
Russian Politician Wants to Add up to Half a Million Troops in Ukraine

I mean, we all want a lot of things!

There seems to be genuine political debate in Moscow! I've seen a couple of different sides emerge. One is that 'we should be killing Ukrainians.' The other is that 'we should be killing Ukrainians much much faster!' Some commentators feel there should be mass mobilization, and some have gone so far as to ape Putin - essentially, why not nuclear armageddon, if Russia isn't important?

All of this over 20% of Ukraine's land mass! Are they deluded, or do they just have no shame?

Good luck recruiting that many from the draft

Good luck them being effective, especially because there's no effective non commissioned officer cadre in the Russian Army.

Then again, killing that many new recruits will take a long time and may sicken experienced hands.
 
The tale tells that when Stalin finished a speech, the Party bigshots leaped up clapping wildly -- and then none of them dared to be the first to stop.

Those were simpler times. Now any conspicuous Russian must laud and applaud, and appear on line disgorging outrageous opinions that demonstrate his fanaticism for the Putler Party's doctrine.

As noted above, it's the only healthy thing to do.
 
Good luck recruiting that many from the draft

Good luck them being effective, especially because there's no effective non commissioned officer cadre in the Russian Army.

Then again, killing that many new recruits will take a long time and may sicken experienced hands.


Plus, as we've discussed, there's the fact that they've stripped a lot of their training units.
 
Good luck recruiting that many from the draft

Good luck them being effective, especially because there's no effective non commissioned officer cadre in the Russian Army.

Then again, killing that many new recruits will take a long time and may sicken experienced hands.

And that is a major reason for a lot of the Russian Army's problems.
 
And it's now ecomomic war between Russia and the West with the lNord Strom shutoff.
 
If true... Uh huh.

Russian propagandist showing the IAEA inspectors how "Ukrainian" shells make miraculous U-turns.

Ukrainian wunderwaffe are being used to attack the nuclear power plant so that it just looks like the Russians attacking it, eh?
 
And it's now ecomomic war between Russia and the West with the lNord Strom shutoff.

If the West can make it through the winter then I think Russia will rue switching off Nordstream.

Weaning Europe off Russian gas and accelerating the switch to renewables will be a good thing viewed in retrospect IMO.
 
If the West can make it through the winter then I think Russia will rue switching off Nordstream.

Weaning Europe off Russian gas and accelerating the switch to renewables will be a good thing viewed in retrospect IMO.

This winter will be rough. I think you're right about accelerating the switch to renewable energy. Hydrogen is really exciting and the pace of developing is shifting into high gear. Even better news, India is pushing conversion to eliminate energy imports.

Russia doesn't understand that their energy customers aren't coming back.
 
Unfortunately, there are two big problems with renewables. The first is the issue of intermittency (Germany is one of the least sunny and least windy countries in Europe), and the second is a serious shortage of many of the materials required for renewable energy generation and storage. This shortage is aggravated by the fact that a lot of those materials are controlled by China and other countries hostile to the West.

That said, there's no reason that Russian gas and oil can't be completely and permanently replaced by other energy sources, including more renewables where feasible. But realistically, nuclear and natural gas (and at least some oil) are going to have to be part of that replacement for the foreseeable future.
 
An excellent article on "The Saker" by someone calling themselves "Asia Teacher":

Western Propaganda and its Aftermath

Asia Teacher said:
[...] The problem with current western propaganda is that it relies on sensationalism and each manufactured story must outdo the last to retain its WOW effect. In today’s world, neighbors Poland and Slovakia propose building an oil “peace pipeline” as opposed to what Polish President Morawiecki refers to as the German Nordstream “war pipeline.” Meanwhile, debate continues to rage over why Russia is shelling itself in the Zaporizhzia nuclear power plant with American made missiles and fragments of US HIMARS missiles found in Yelenovka, where 57 Azov prisoners died and 130 were wounded whilst giving testimony for the upcoming War Crimes trials. Getting rid of the evidence?

Who will western politicians blame if the weapons they’re sending to the Ukraine are responsible for another Chernobyl type incident as inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency arrive at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant and before entering suggest the facility be handed back to the Ukrainian authorities. Am I the only one aghast at the thought of a nuclear plant in the hands of the Ukraine armed forces which number Neo-Nazi militia battalions in their ranks?

That the Ukraine is not about freedom and democracy but Russian regime change isn’t a well-kept secret. A year before the 2014 overthrow of Yanukovych, Carl Gershman, Director of US NGO National Endowment for Democracy (NED) had already stated: “Ukraine is the biggest prize … If it could be pulled away from Russia and into the West, Putin may find himself on the losing end not just in the near abroad but within Russia itself.” More recently, on the first of March 1st 2022, a spokesman for the British Prime Minister said, “but the measures [sanctions] we are introducing, that large parts of the world are introducing, are to bring down the Putin regime.” Or as Bruno Le Maire, French Minister of the Economy and Finance stated, “We are going to wage a total economic and financial war on Russia.”

Conversely, the opposite has happened. At the beginning of the intervention the ruble stood at 85 to the dollar. Yet today it’s 61.35; in other words, the ruble is actually strengthening against the dollar. No matter the amount or severity of sanctions, major oil producers, despite what any other calamities befall them, do not go bankrupt.

Yet six months into the incursion, the adverse effects of sanctions on energy and industrial fertilizers are becoming all too visible in the west. Soaring inflation and food prices, record bankruptcies and huge energy price increases as millions of Ukrainian immigrants flood into an already weakened and recession hit Western Europe. Who will blink first? [...]
 
Unfortunately, there are two big problems with renewables. The first is the issue of intermittency (Germany is one of the least sunny and least windy countries in Europe), and the second is a serious shortage of many of the materials required for renewable energy generation and storage. This shortage is aggravated by the fact that a lot of those materials are controlled by China and other countries hostile to the West.

That said, there's no reason that Russian gas and oil can't be completely and permanently replaced by other energy sources, including more renewables where feasible. But realistically, nuclear and natural gas (and at least some oil) are going to have to be part of that replacement for the foreseeable future.


You are right, in Germany we by now have the word "Dunkelflaute", which is when there is no sun and no wind. Then we buy energy from the nuclear plants in France. And if there is a lot of sun and wind, we literally pay France for taking our "renewable energy" because there is too much of it around.

It's complete madness, done by incompetent ideologues. I don't know if you've heard about the "9€-Ticket" that just ran out but "gifted" us across the last three months. For me, who has no car but uses public transportation almost daily, it was financially nice because I could ride more than with my usual ticket for a sixth of the price I normally pay. But in practice it was horror, because of course the infrastructure for all the additional users of public transportation was not there, and this was entirely predictable even if people didn't study infrastructural planning like I did. I rode the S-Bahn (the city train) instead of entering any regional trains which are usually faster but were full to the roof and always late. I'm happy that I have to pay six-times more now again because I prefer a ride in reasonable circumstances.

It is the work of incompetent ideologues and I don't like that people like that "rule" me.
 
An excellent article on "The Saker" by someone calling themselves "Asia Teacher":

Western Propaganda and its Aftermath

Your source is an idiot. Yes, the rubble didn’t collapse. But the measures Russia took to keep it propped up come at a cost. Their foreign currency reserves are seriously depleted, and by preventing foreigners from selling assets, they’ve guaranteed that they will not get foreign investment for years if not decades. Russia’s economy is in deep trouble, and the author is in deep denial.

And given what we already saw of Russian troops in the Red Forest, how on earth are they more comfortable with Russian soldiers occupying a nuclear power plant? That’s shoe-on-head levels of retarded.
 
And there are literally "politicians" with five digit salaries telling us that the wussy is a good invention and we shouldn't shower too much, with propaganda posters telling us where to wash - the axles, the crotch and between the butt-cheeks. This is completely insane and I could earn a lot more money if I wanted to, but many people can't. And why, because these clowns can't accept that Russia has self-interest too? Sorry, I'm angry.
 
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