I'm trying to be as clear as possible.
Yes, I understand that point.
Good.
My opinion has not changed here, because for the first I know the totality of Rosenheim case much better than you here and for the second I know much more about the background material concerning poltergeist phenomena.
Your opinion about the Rosenheim case has not changed, ok.
You know more about the Rosenheim case than I do. Yes, I agree.
You also know much more about the background material concerning poltergeist phenomena. Yes, I agree.
There is really in Rosenheim plenty of evidence of different kinds of phenomena that have remained unexplained, although there were many kinds of expert investigators working as a team. There are also physical records of the phenomena.
So far I've seen only very weak evidence.
From my point of view, the strongest (even among weak, there is the strongest) evidence you have presented so far is the chart recorder.
To review, would you please describe the IMPORTANT details as well as you possibly can?
I want you to convince me that this is good evidence.
Your only "explanation" is tricks without practically no evidence supporting that opinion.
No.
Going by the information you have provided, there is just no way of knowing what really happened. The information is too vague and limited.
It could be trickery, it could be something else, it could also be psi.
I have pointed out that there is not enough information available to rule out natural causes such as trickery.
From what we know of the world, psi is the least likely explanation.
Occam's razor.
http://skepdic.com/occam.html
With so little info, it would be foolish to offer any claims of what really happened, let alone extraordinary claims.
You have very little background to try to grasp my opinions. Therefore you are urged to have only guesses without evidence. It must be a straw man when you let everybody understand that I am a gullible believer.
I have very little background to try to grasp your opinions. True.
I base my personal opinion of you and the paranormal only on your personal views on paranormal that you have shared with me. They are not guesses, I have them all stored in my files.
Of all things paranormal, Rosenheim is the one that you have shared with me the most.
In this thread, I have presented all the evidence regarding the Rosenheim case that you have provided to me.
I quoted, word for word, what you thought of this case. Afaik, this is still accurate.
I think the evidence you have provided is weak. So do most of the others in this thread.
The main idea of this forum is to let the evidence speak for itself. If the evidence is correctly presented, the other members do not need my opinion to form their own opinion.
So, I feel that I have not misrepresented your case. If you disagree, please show me where, and I will apologize and try to correct the mistake.
That quote reveals two points that are a result of your reading only skeptical sources – uncritically – and discussing only with New Agers outside the skeptical context:
1. You did not understand my question. I asked just only for such papers where parapsychologists think they have succeeded to get significant test results, and skeptics have been able to show – based on evidence and not only on suspicion – that the test subjects have used tricks. Because you said the tricks are so common in the tests.
I think the problem here comes from you not understanding what I meant originally. This is what really happened, nothing more, nothing less:
Kuko said:
My view is that in testing of the paranormal (where magic tricks and other distractions have always been in heavy use), proper magicians will save a lot of time and effort from the proper scientists simply because the proper magicians can immediately recognize tricks, or variations of the tricks, in question. I also think that this saves enough time and effort to include a magician in the roster.
Lusikka said:
If the use has been heavy, then you can certainly give at least five papers where tricks and other distractions have been used and skeptics have disclosed it.
Kuko said:
I don't know about papers, but off the top of my head, big or familiar faces who are clearly using tricks and other distractions in the field of parapsychology (ranging from contacting spirits, to healing and psychokinesis):
Uri Geller
Peter Popoff
John of God
James Hydrick
Derek Acorah
I can see the confusion. Let me clear it up.
If you re-read my original post about this issue, you will see what happened. My point there was not that parapsychologists have been fooled in a test situation by tricks, although that has happened as well. What I did mean was that the use of tricks, distraction, etc. has always been very heavy in the field of paranormal. All of the names that I quoted are claiming phenomena that parapsychologists are researching.
I did not dig up any papers, because that has nothing to do with my claim. Instead, I backed up my statement by giving you 5 familiar examples of people (4 of them very big names) who work in the field of paranormal, that are shown to use magic tricks and other distractions in order to achieve paranormal effects, be it channeling spirits, angels or dead people, or psychokinesis.
Uri Geller is bending spoons like a magician would.
Popoff is using her wife to electronically transmit him the info he claims to get from spirits.
John of God is claiming to heal people by channeling the skills of long deceased doctors and impressing the uninformed people by extreme looking operations that are old magic tricks, for example pushing tweezers deep into their noses.
James Hydrick:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QlfMsZwr8rc
Derek Acorah was a very famous medium in Most Haunted, he is a liar.
If you want me to back up my position even further, I might agree to do it. But not right now. I just thought this was self-evident for everyone here.
2. You don't know what parapsychology is as a science. As far as I know, only Uri Geller has been a subject in tests that have resulted in two papers in peer reviewed journals. The rest of those persons are only public performers that have very little to do with parapsychology. I happened to find the following information concerning James Hydrick when I checked the persons:
"The judging panel (which included a parapsychologist) stated that, in their opinion, no supernatural phenomenon had taken place."
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Hydrick
I think I know enough to be able to understand what parapsychology is. What gave you the idea that I don't?
The last I checked, parapsychology is researching the claims that my examples were claiming, correct me I'm wrong.
Again, by bringing up that a parapsychologist was included in the "judging panel" has no negative effect on my claim whatsoever. Derek Acorah was finally busted by the unimpressive parapsychologist in the Most Haunted series. All this only inforces my position that magic tricks and other distractions are heavily used in the field of paranormal, and always have been.
You are nearly always after only special paranormal abilities.
I think that when dealing with such extreme claims, it's best to concentrate on their most convincing evidence than to waste time on the lesser cases. Only if the best case has something interesting in it from a point of view of good evidence, should one direct his or her interest to the lesser cases.
If even the best case is weak, then what is the point of looking deep into even weaker cases? I do think that it's importantto have a good overall picture though, but I think that beginning from the strongest evidence is the best way to go.
Please let me know if there is something important I should consider more about this approach?
There is immense quantity of papers with unselected subjects giving significant results, although the effect size has been low. Well, that must be only because of tricks, sloppy controls and statistical peculiarities, I guess.
You do understand why proper controls and good understanding of statistics are essential in every kind of research?
"Properly tested" means that the tests done by parapsychologists are not counted because every parapsychologist is only a gullible fool?
No.
Every test should be evaluated only by its merits as a test, not because of the people behind it.
"Other researchers" must be skeptics because only they are knowledgeable, objective and without preconceived ideas?
A title does not guarantee anything. A personal case history might tell something useful, but even that will not overshadow the results of a proper test.
Unfortunately such repeated tests are extremely rare because skeptics don't do parapsychological testing.
If true, I would guess that is because of the lack of evidence that would awaken their interest in testing all kinds of strange claims that are against the current understanding of how the world works, ie. psychokinesis.
I'm quite confident that if there was even one encouraging scientifically proper test result of psychokinesis, all kinds of researchers would be all over it. Off the top of my head, I know at least 50 researchers from Helsinki who would be absolutely thrilled to learn about something like that! And I bet they have colleagues.
There is not one single parapsychological paper without at least suspected problems in the protocol. The utmost suspicion is that all parapsychologists are members in a huge and long lasting parapsychological conspiracy. The results in parapsychology are convincing only when the totality of the field is taken in account.
I have not even thought that there could be a conspiracy like this among parapsychologists. If what you say is true, that there is not one single parapsychological paper without at least suspected problems in the protocol, well, there's your problem, right?
Could you elaborate on how and why things are "convincing only when the totality of the field is taken in account"?
There have been a few subjects with observed special paranormal abilities in the history of parapsychology. At the moment I remember only Ingo Swann, Ted Serios and possibly Joe McMoneagle. The poltergeist agents are certainly also special persons. But I will not say more now because I have forgot much and I ought to review my journals to get a better look at the problem.
Ok, do that and provide me with the sufficient info, I will be happy to look into them.