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The next Pandemic?

Do you have hospitals full of kids with pneumonia ? Do you have people wearing masks ? Where ?

Ohio and Massechusetts, apparently, although Axios claims CDC is saying the rates aren't out of line with normal ED visits for child pneumonia.

Maybe media is looking for stories on the back of China's outbreak?

I buy the part about China experiencing a strong wave due to the length of their lockdown, but we're over a year past peaks post-lockdown infections in the west, and Europe is definitely seeing high numbers.

I'm sure if a novel virus were in operation enough kids in the west have it that we'd know by now, but it's definitely odd.

Another possibility - as yet unmentioned - is maybe covid is actively lowering immunity to other diseases?

As to mask wearing, none of that happening outside Asia.

Keep watching this space I guess.
 
Yeah, we do see rise in pneumonia .. but only now, and it's supposed to be coming from China.
So clearly something is different, as we had the bacteria here before. Different strain ? Or is just the concentration alone ?
I like the idea that it's covid related, but then this mostly affects children, which were least affected by covid.
 
Yeah, we do see rise in pneumonia .. but only now, and it's supposed to be coming from China.
So clearly something is different, as we had the bacteria here before. Different strain ? Or is just the concentration alone ?
I like the idea that it's covid related, but then this mostly affects children, which were least affected by covid.

You don't know enough to be asserting these conclusions. There is nothing to see here. How about you cite sources for where you are getting the information?
 
It's not just in China, Denmark and the Netherlands anymore. It never was, actually.

Do you have hospitals full of kids with pneumonia ? Do you have people wearing masks ? Where ?


We have hospitals full of 0-2-year-olds with COVID-19, and yet we don't have people wearing masks. If they do at pediatric hospital wards, I'm pretty sure that the media won't find it newsworthy.
People in Western countries are being lied to about this disease, too, and when they are not outright being lied to, the inconvenient truth is not being reported to them.

Just never heard it mentioned anywhere.


Like I said in post 4:
And we have it, too! We've already had it for a loooong time, and I seriously doubt that it came from China:

Phew! Now we can all relax! It's nothing new. We already have an actual epidemic of it, but it only became news when China got it.


Taiwan has become the first country to urge its 'vulnerable citizens' not to travel to China, due to a respiratory illness, amid a surge in pneumonia cases.
Other countries, including the US, have also seen a rise in pnuemonia cases - with 10 states in particular seeing a rise in respiratory illness cases.
There has been a leap in cases that the US would normally see during the winter months, but one city has seen a dramatic rise that has become a cause for concern among locals.
(...)
Meanwhile, health officials in Warren County north of Cincinnati, said there have been 142 pediatric cases of a condition dubbed white lung syndrome since August.
However, the CDC said that this is nothing out of the ordinary for this time of year, as the days and nights get colder.
China pneumonia warning: Cases spike in the US as travel warning issued in Taiwan (Newsbreak, Jan 1, 2023)


As the days and nights get colder ... in Cincinnati? In August?! This August??!!!
Nothing to see here. Business as usual. We don't need no information, and we certainly don't need face masks!!!
 
Czechia responds to new China viral infections, debate on vehicle no-entry zones in Old Town takes new turn, and more top headlines for Nov. 25, 2023.
(...)
The Czech Health Ministry and World Health Organization (WHO) have advised caution for Czechs in, or traveling to, China due to a new outbreak of viral infections causing respiratory illnesses. Precautions include vaccination, avoiding contact with sick individuals, staying home when unwell, wearing masks, regular handwashing, and ensuring proper ventilation.
The virus primarily affects children, causing pneumonia. While WHO expressed concern over rising respiratory diseases in China, they note that a new pathogen has not been detected. Health Minister Vlastimil Válek said on Thursday that little was known about the new virus from China, though urged calm.
Czech news in brief for November 25: Saturday's top headlines (Expats.cz)


New China viral infection? Not new Denmark, Netherlands or Cincinnati viral infections? And no masking up (THE HORROR!) in countries other than China?
 
What conclusions ? I'm asking questions.

You're not just asking questions.

Yeah, we do see rise in pneumonia .. but only now, and it's supposed to be coming from China.
So clearly something is different,
Nothing is different.

... we had the bacteria here before. Different strain ? Or is just the concentration alone ?
Neither one. Same pathogens, same concentrations of organisms and cases.

There is nothing out of the ordinary here.

I like the idea that it's covid related, but then this mostly affects children, which were least affected by covid.
This makes zero sense.

Like I asked, provide some sources supporting your conclusions.
 
I like the idea that it's covid related, but then this mostly affects children, which were least affected by covid.


Children are least likely to be C19-vaccinated and much more prone to get infected by C19 several times a year. The question is what "covid related" is supposed to mean. There are a couple of hypotheses.

One, immunity debt, i.e. that immunity is a muscle that needs to be trained, is being spread by C19 minimizers: Since children were allegedly in isolation for several years and not exposed to germs, they are now more vulnerable and thus fall prey to 'walking pneumonia' etc. It's got nothing going for it, except minimizing C19. 'It's good for you!' It keeps your immune system fit - unlike lockdowns and restrictions, which make the 'muscle' weak for lack of 'training'.

Another one is that it's a lot of children all at once because they weren't exposed to these particular pneumonia-inducing germs one new season and one new batch of children at a time.

One that I fear might be true is that repeated C19 infections have weakened (not just, but also) children's immune systems making them more susceptible to infections by all the old pathogens.
In a small study supported by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), severe cases of COVID-19 were shown to cause long-lasting changes to the immune system.
Researchers found that severe cases of COVID-19 can change which genes are turned on or off in certain stem cells. The study focused on stem cells that produce white blood cells, a part of the immune system. The stem cells of people who recovered from severe COVID-19 produced more white blood cells — which then produced more inflammatory signals — than the cells of healthy counterparts.
Severe COVID-19 May Cause Long-Term Immune System Changes (NIH, Oct 27, 2023)
So much for the herd-immunity-by-infection idea - if it hadn't already been ruined by waning immunity and immunity-evading mutations.

We know less about how C19 infections affect people whose acute cases weren't severe, but ...
Severe COVID-19 infection triggers changes that affect gene expression in immune system stem cells, causing long-lasting alterations in the body’s immune response, according to a new study by Weill Cornell Medicine and Jackson Laboratory investigators. The finding could help explain symptoms of prolonged inflammation and “long COVID” in people who have had the disease.
The research team, led by Dr. Steven Josefowicz, an associate professor of pathology and laboratory medicine at Weill Cornell Medicine, and Dr. Duygu Ucar, an associate professor at Jackson Laboratory for Genomic Medicine, published the work Aug. 18 in Cell. For the study, the team developed a new technique to isolate and analyze rare stem cells found in human blood called CD34+ hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells.
Severe COVID-19 Can Alter Long-term Immune System Response (Newsroom, Weill Cornell University) Aug 18, 2023)


The study itself in Cell:
Inflammation can trigger lasting phenotypes in immune and non-immune cells. Whether and how human infections and associated inflammation can form innate immune memory in hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells (HSPC) has remained unclear. We found that circulating HSPC, enriched from peripheral blood, captured the diversity of bone marrow HSPC, enabling investigation of their epigenomic reprogramming following coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Alterations in innate immune phenotypes and epigenetic programs of HSPC persisted for months to 1 year following severe COVID-19 and were associated with distinct transcription factor (TF) activities, altered regulation of inflammatory programs, and durable increases in myelopoiesis. HSPC epigenomic alterations were conveyed, through differentiation, to progeny innate immune cells. Early activity of IL-6 contributed to these persistent phenotypes in human COVID-19 and a mouse coronavirus infection model. Epigenetic reprogramming of HSPC may underlie altered immune function following infection and be broadly relevant, especially for millions of COVID-19 survivors.
Epigenetic memory of coronavirus infection in innate immune cells and their progenitors (Cell, Aug 18, 2023)
 
As for RSV:
Conclusion
COVID-19 was associated with a significantly increased risk for RSV infections among children aged 0–5 years in 2022. Similar findings were replicated for a study population of children aged 0–5 years in 2021. Our findings suggest that COVID-19 contributed to the 2022 surge of RSV cases in young children through the large buildup of COVID-19-infected children and the potential long-term adverse effects of COVID-19 on the immune and respiratory system.
Association of COVID-19 with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections in children aged 0–5 years in the USA in 2022: a multicentre retrospective cohort study (BMJ, Oct 13, 2023)


What a marvellous gift to bestow on the new generations of children (and everybody else) thanks to the zeal of people who couldn't wait to let the virus rip! :mad:
 
Yeah, we do see rise in pneumonia .. but only now, and it's supposed to be coming from China.
So clearly something is different, as we had the bacteria here before. Different strain ? Or is just the concentration alone ?

It's mysterious - we saw the wave of RSV, 'flu and other respiratory illness post-covid and that was entirely predictable.

This current round of pneumonia isn't predictable in Europe at least and it's somewhat disturbing. I know our paediatric units were under more pressure form the RSV/etc surge than they ever were from covid, and this is clearly worse again so NZ might be a bad place for kids next winter.

I like the idea that it's covid related, but then this mostly affects children, which were least affected by covid.

Yeah, it might be that while they had the lowest severe infection rate something else was going on - if long-term damage has been done to immune systems, we're in deep trouble because it's too late now and we'll just have to suck it up and see what happens next. My boy was pissing tomato sauce when he got covid, and that's less than ideal - it's definitely more than a simple respiratory virus.

The problem is, studies lag so far behind reality we can't be sure of anything. Right now, we can't say whether it's covid infections, some other factor - or even vaccines - causing changes to immunity. Vaccine are the least likely culprit, but since we have no long-term studies of mRNA vaccines they can't be ruled out.
 
The question is what "covid related" is supposed to mean. There are a couple of hypotheses.


I forgot one hypothesis that seems to be very popular among C19 minimizers gone fullblown antivaxxers: that the C19 vaccines have caused children to become more susceptible to other infections.
Denmark's Chrstine Stabell-Benn, adviser to Ron DeSantis, is one of them:
Der er ualmindelig mange infektionssygdomme pt. Det kan skyldes lockdowns (og kalder på spørgsmålet om, hvorvidt vi skød over målet med dem). Desværre kan vi heller ikke udelukke, at det kan skyldes COVID-19 vaccinerne.
Christine Stabell Benn (Twitter/X, Dec 1, 2023)
"There are currently an unusually large number of infectious diseases. It may be due to lockdowns (and raises the question if we overdid it). Unfortunately, we also can't exclude the possibility that it may be due to the COVID-19 vaccines."

Denmark really can't be accused of having 'overdone' vaccinating children against C19, and currently only '65+ children' and a few particularly vulnerable younger people are eligible for the shots.
 
Yeah, it might be that while they had the lowest severe infection rate something else was going on - if long-term damage has been done to immune systems, we're in deep trouble because it's too late now and we'll just have to suck it up and see what happens next. My boy was pissing tomato sauce when he got covid, and that's less than ideal - it's definitely more than a simple respiratory virus.


Yeah, if long-term damage has already been done to immune systems, it is obviously too late to do anything about that particular damage. Done is done.
However, it is nonsensical to claim that we "just have to suck it up and see what happens next."
We can't do anything about the old infections, but it is pretty obvious that we can do something about the infections that haven't happened yet. It's called prevention, and it's not a new-fangled invention that needs to be tested and approved first.
You seem to be on the verge of grasping that this isn't just another flu or another common cold after all. It is tragic that it took the damage done to your child to make you realize that. It's time for you to consider what can be done to spare his kidneys another bout of C19 instead of waiting to "see what happens next."

The problem is, studies lag so far behind reality we can't be sure of anything. Right now, we can't say whether it's covid infections, some other factor - or even vaccines - causing changes to immunity. Vaccine are the least likely culprit, but since we have no long-term studies of mRNA vaccines they can't be ruled out.


'We can't be sure of anything' was the claim that Clutch Cargo resorted to when statistics made it obvious that Sweden's herd-immunity-by-infection strategy wasn't the success that Swedes had been promised by Anders Tegnell that it would be. And even back then, in 2020, there were a lot of things we already could be sure of.

Nowadays, we know so much more. In many countries, very few children got the C19 shots. In other countries, almost all children did. A comparison of those countries isn't hard to do.
I am not really surprised to see you cast doubt on the mRNA vaccines for no real reason at all. It is not as if those vaccines weren't tested, and it is not as if reports aren't still coming in.
I am pretty sure that it won't be particularly difficult to compare cohorts of children who got the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna shots with the placebo cohorts and cohorts who never got any shots at all - in particular in countries with good health-care statistics.

So far, I have heard no reports out of Cuba about outbreaks of pediatric pneumonia, and I try to keep up with health news from this country where all children of school age had been fully vaccinated by November 2021 and younger children soon after. Cuba is pretty open about health trends.*

Singapore, another country that C19-vaccinated children, has reported cases, but it doesn't appear to be at the unusual epidemic level of, e.g. Denmark.

*From a recent article about the death toll of HIV patients during the pandemic (PrensaLatina, Dec 1, 2023):
Deputy Public Health Minister Carilda Peña explained that about 32,000 people live with HIV in Cuba, 16 percent of which died during the Covid-19 pandemic.
 
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It's not just in China, Denmark, the Netherlands and Cincinnati anymore.

And as you can see, the 'immunity debt' idea is very popular in Denmark even though restrictions in Denmark were always very far from being 'draconian' and the vast majority of children had been infected at least once by the winter of 2021-22!
The researchers found mycoplasma was most frequently detected between April and October in Denmark, with Singapore, Sweden and Switzerland further behind.
Danish health officials said the country normally sees mycoplasma epidemics about every four years and expected an increase in cases, driven by children who did not build up immunity due to covid-19 restrictions.
Childhood pneumonia outbreak in Ohio unrelated to China, Europe (Washington Post, Dec 1, 2023)


At this point, I think that we should lay claim to naming it: It will be known as the Danish mycoplasma from now on! :den:
 
A group of Republican senators, led by Marco Rubio, have written to President Joe Biden, calling for a ban on travel between the United States and China until more is known about a respiratory illness that has been rapidly spreading in the Asian country.
"Should Not Wait For...:" US Senators Ask Biden To Impose China Travel Ban (NDTV, Dec 2, 2023)


Of course, they have!
But now that they're at it, they shouldn't forget about imposing travel bans on Cincinnati and Ohio! :D
As they say, "We should not wait for the WHO to take action ...," but they don't seem have have considered the domestic cases at all. They continue: "... given its track record of slavish deference to the CCP. We must take the necessary steps to protect the health of Americans, and our economy."

So what'll it be?!
 
Beginning of Twitter/X thread:
We’re in our *3rd* post-lockdown viral respiratory season and admissions for viral resp illness+pneumonia are 6 standard deviations above the historical average. I do not understand how so many reasonable people haven’t figured out that the “immunity debt” scapegoat is disinfo.
Dr. Lisa Iannattone (Twitter/X, Dec 2, 2023)
 
However, it is nonsensical to claim that we "just have to suck it up and see what happens next."

No, but it's idiotic to claim any other option is possible.

Time after time we strike the problem that you're an idealist and think the ideal can be applied to everyone. That's patently absurd, so I look at the real world, and people are not going to take precautions no matter how much you pretend it's possible.

You seem to be on the verge of grasping that this isn't just another flu or another common cold after all.

And you continue to post false statements about me - good work. I've always known it's not another cold, and if you go back to the very start of the first covid thread, one of the first arguments I had was with Skeptic Ginger, when she claimed influenza was :hundreds of times more deadly than covid".

It is tragic that it took the damage done to your child to make you realize that. It's time for you to consider what can be done to spare his kidneys another bout of C19 instead of waiting to "see what happens next."

More false bollocks - he's had all the vaccine shots he's able to and has constantly worn a mask and that was before he got covid. His infection has made zero difference to my opinion on anything.

I am pretty sure that it won't be particularly difficult to compare cohorts of children who got the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna shots with the placebo cohorts and cohorts who never got any shots at all - in particular in countries with good health-care statistics.

Maybe you could go ahead and do that for us instead of spending time dreaming up false narratives what I think or have said.
 
"It's definitely more than a simple respiratory virus"

No, but it's idiotic to claim any other option is possible.

Time after time we strike the problem that you're an idealist and think the ideal can be applied to everyone. That's patently absurd, so I look at the real world, and people are not going to take precautions no matter how much you pretend it's possible.


Time after time, we strike the problem that The Atheist doesn't change his mind when the real world proves him wrong. Throughout the pandemic and to this very day, other options have been tried out and are still being tried out, so it's not a question of pretending what's possible. It's a question of seeing and acknowledging what's possible, which some people are better at doing than others.

And you continue to post false statements about me - good work. I've always known it's not another cold, and if you go back to the very start of the first covid thread, one of the first arguments I had was with Skeptic Ginger, when she claimed influenza was :hundreds of times more deadly than covid".


The Atheist has continuously posted false statements comparing the C19 death toll to any other kind of disease in an attempt to make this virus seem innocuous, and he has made predictions about how this disease would evolve that were contrafactural even at the time when these predictions were made. They were based on nothing but wishful thinking and turned out to be spectacularly wrong.

It is ridiculous to refer to what Skeptic Ginger may have thought about the influenza in comparison to SARS-CoV-2 at "the very start of the first covid thread."
As always with The Atheist's claims, it would have been nice to see an actual quotation and a link to whatever somebody may or may not have said.
This is supposed to be the Science, Mathematics, Medicine, and Technology subforum, not the I was always right and can never be wrong subforum.

I have no idea what Skeptic Ginger may have said about COVID-19 in comparison to the flu in early 2020. I know what I said in March 2020, and my idea turned out to be very wrong, being based on the little that was known about this particular virus at the time.*

I did take a look at the first couple of pages of The One Covid-19 Science and Medicine Thread and noticed that SG was obsessed with the idea of hand-washing and fomites, in case you need something else to blame her for, but at the time it was a valid concern: We (!) didn't know any better. Evidence was just emerging that this was an airborne disease and that contagion from fomites was insignificant.

But once upon a time somebody was wrong! Big deal! Some of us are able to correct our mistakes instead of turning them into obsessions (Vitamin D!). That Anders Tegnell was wrong in March 2020 is forgivable. That he based Sweden's pandemic strategy on wishful thinking instead of being cautious isn't, and that he was still wrong in 2021 and 2022, and still pretends that he is right in 2023 is a ******* disgrace.
His predecessor as state epidemiologist, Annika Linde, was in on the herd-immunity-by-infection strategy in March 2020, but two months later she knew that it was wrong - after the catastrophic death toll in Sweden's nursing homes where the vulnerable old people were supposed to have been protected while Sweden let the virus rip: "The problem was underestimated. It was clearly misjudged." (DR.dk, May 19, 2020)

One of those two was and remained a scientist. It wasn't Tegnell!

More false bollocks - he's had all the vaccine shots he's able to and has constantly worn a mask and that was before he got covid. His infection has made zero difference to my opinion on anything.


Wearing a mask obviously doesn't protect you from getting infected post-infection, but it does help protect others from getting the virus from you. And it might have helped The Atheist's son if whoever infected him had worn a mask, which is why it's still a good idea to do so on public transport and in public indoor settings. It makes a difference in the Asian and other countries where they still wear face masks to protect themselves and each other, and it makes a difference when air filtration systems are installed to catch the virus aerosols indoors.
That The Atheist is more concerned about the costs of such measures than about people's health and lives is obvious and unfortunate.

Maybe you could go ahead and do that for us instead of spending time dreaming up false narratives what I think or have said.


I don't make up false narrative about what the Atheist has said. I usually quote and/or link to his false narratives. There is no reason to make up anything. I base what he thinks on his narratives on this forum. It's all I've got to go by.
It is obvious that I was wrong when I thought that The Atheist had changed his mind about minimizing SARS-CoV-2 when he said, contrary to what he has been saying for the last couple of years, that "it's definitely more than a simple respiratory virus." Now it appears to have been nothing but a sudden insight, forgotten almost as soon as it popped up.

As I have mentioned so often before, there are plenty of things we can do about this virus. We don't "just have to suck it up and see what happens next." The #DavosStandard (or even the #PigStandard) is an actual, real-world, practicable way to deal with a virus that causes "long-term damage ... to immune systems." We don't have to suck it up and breathe it in but powerful interests make us do it nonetheless because people's health aren't a concern to them.

That ordinary people wouldn't want to put up with the lifestyle choices of billionaires is far-fetched nonsense. Describing the very practical, down-to-earth, real-life solutions to the problem of a debilitating pandemic as idealism even more so.

* That I am not an epidemiologist and didn't have access to enough information about the virus at the time to have an informed opinion about SARS-CoV-2 and how to deal with it was the reason why I placed my 'modest proposal' thread in Members Only even though I thought it was a brilliant idea. :)


ETA: I assume that since it now appears to be clear to everybody that "it's definitely more than a simple respiratory virus," we will be spared from repetitions of the disgusting idea about people being dry tinder or already wearing toe tags. After all, since "long-term damage has been done to immune systems" as well as to hearts, lungs, brains, livers, kidneys and arteries, some people may take a very long time dying from this disease. It remains to be seen how the many babies currently hospitalized with C19 will fare in the future.
 
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What an absurd, nonsensical, and almost entirely off-topic wall of text. You keep on posting your false rubbish, there's only one piece I want to laugh at:

That The Atheist is more concerned about the costs of such measures than about people's health and lives is obvious and unfortunate.

:dl:

Yet again, your fantasy is at odds with reality. Implementing the "Davos standard" you aspire to is impossible and more importantly, nobody wants to wear masks. I don't give two hoots about the cost, but the world economy does and there is no way it is achievable.

You continue on in your little fantasyland, I'm just amused that you allow your obsession to spread across every thread you post in.
 
Denial, denial, denial - and his usual :dl:!
#DavosStandard is not only possible, it is practiced at Davos because the billionaires don't want to get sick.
The Atheist argues like Swedish Tegnell when he claimed that elimination of the virus was impossible and then doubled down when it was actually accomplished - again and again.

The Atheist is right about one thing, in principle: Nobody wants to wear face masks. It's the idiocy of minimizing arguments like when they claimed that some people loved lockdowns and restrictions.
It's obviously not true, and it's not the point: Face masks helped limit the spread of the virus and saved lives. They still do. That is the whole point.

But in The Atheist's little fantasy land, there's no room for reality: As if Davos didn't happen, as if Singapore and Cuba didn't happen. The Atheist's rejection of reality and his spamming of every thread with the nonsensical argument that the concerns of "the world economy" is what the management of a pandemic has to bow down to appears to be all he has to offer - that and his favorite vitamin D.

It's affordable at Davos, it's affordable in agriculture - we can't allow our pigs[/b] to get sick, can we?! - but The Atheist considers the costs of similar precautions to protect staff or students to be and insurmountable obstacle!
 

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