The lack of information prevents us from knowing whether the randomness is “illusion” and due to some specific cause or if it is truly unpredictable.
This is just wrong. Without a mechanism for why these events on macro scales would be truly unpredictable, there is no reason to abandon causality for "spooky randomness". I will use my dice example yet again. The end result of a d6 is best explained by a range of probable outcomes, because human beings rolling a d6 cannot compute all of the data about the initial conditions of the roll coupled with environmental variables. Does this mean that we should assume that causality has been violated by this d6?
Absolutely not.
While large scale systems appear to be causal, the fact that QM is not at the most fundamental level of reality we can discern tells us that we cannot truly predict anything other than probabilistically.
On a quantum scale this is correct. Are you saying that all large scale systems only
appear to be causal? Should science abandon causality in exploring these large scale systems in favor of quantum probabilistic distributions? I am not denying that quantum indeterminacy exists. I am trying to explain to you that it is
terribly insignificant on these large scales, and that it is no reason to throw out causality, nor does it override it.
It appears to me that it is more in line with what we know about reality to state that for seemingly causal systems, we have a probabilistic distribution with one outcome having a probability very very close to 1.0.
Close enough to 1 to be entirely insignificant on macroscopic scales? Yes.
Rocks are moved by wind and eroded by weather. Planetary orbits are subject to sensitive dependence on initial conditions, not to mention being tugged about by others sojourners in the solar system. Trees are biological organisms. Whether the probabilistic behavior is due to QM or chaos or something else is not clear, but they do exhibit probabilistic behavior.
I'm sorry but this is perfectly clear. It is like your blood type example. Probabilistic behavior(due to lack of information) on macro scales is
not the same as quantum indeterminacy. Should we just stop searching for more information about rocks/trees/orbits? Because if it is anything like quantum indeterminacy, then this information
does not exist, and our search is pointless.
You can insist, as most determinists do, that it's simply because we don't have perfect knowledge of all possible inputs, but that's a statement of belief, not of fact.
I tend to not give rebuttals to arguments that apply to both sides of the debate. As I said before, we are both arguing from unfalsifiable hypotheses about the nature of macroscale reality.
Choosing to open the box is an act of free will. How is that throwing yourself unto the mercy of quantum uncertainty?
In this analogy, you can open the box, but you cannot determine the end state of the cat, that is indeterminable because it was directly based on an unmeasurable quantum state.
My point was, that if your brain works on the principles of QM, then you still would not be able to "choose" from this probabilistic range of end states, because the "you" that is determining which end state "you" would like to end up at(as an act of free will), would be presented with unmeasurable options.
I think the burden of proof lies always with the individual who wishes to persuade another individual to a different point of view. In that regard, you have the burden of proof if you wish to persuade me that I am incorrect. I have the burden of proof if I wish to persuade you.
This is not correct. The burden of proof lies with the positive claimant. In this case, that would be you, claiming that you possess freedom of will. However, like I said before, if you take free will to be axiomatic, then you can shift that burden back onto me.
I do not feel that free will is an axiom(obviously), so if you do(and I think you do), then we are simply not going to agree on who the burden of proof lies with.
However, all I am trying to do is help you understand why QM, with it’s probabilistic impact on larger scale systems allows free will to emerge in a way that determinism doesn’t.
No, what you are trying to do, is create a back door for free will/spooky consciousness, by cherry picking QM and applying certain aspects of it to the behavior of the brain. It certainly would help your case if it were true, but even if it were, it presents problems of its own that you clearly do not want to face down.