Dancing David
Penultimate Amazing
Interesting Ian said:
There are ways that a subject could pick up on the fact that she was only one of a very few. Anyway, none of this explains why a larger number of trials should get a higher hit rate, least of all stating it's very obvious. So obvious that no-one on here has been able to explain it yetPerhaps you'd like to have a shot?
I believe the theory is that the effect would be very small, say 3% and that therefore the larger the number of trials the more likely the effect is to show.
A larger number of trials also would reduce the chance that the effect is just a product of random distribution skewing the results, the larger the sample, the more likely any effect found is not a sampling error.
And so when larger trials are held they should firm up the effect and not lower it. Lowering it would show that the effect was possibly due to random chance over the trial.
To control for the specialness factor and the lenth of time factor would require sperate trials to see if this impacted the effect. Against a control group of course.
I can see myself that to have a really good result you would want to screen large numbers of people and then select the ones who give good results for a followup study.