Comet Wild 2 & Electric Comets
Ummmm........Comet Wild 2 exhibits jets on light side and dark side, stark relief, and is dry.
LINK
Ah, yes. Wikipedia, the ultimate source of science scholarship. You should try broadening your reading horizons.
Modeling the Nucleus and Jets of Comet 81P/Wild 2 Based on the Stardust Encounter Data; Sekanina,
et al., Science 304(5678): 1769-1774, June 2004.
Abstract:
We interpret the nucleus properties and jet activity from the Stardust spacecraft imaging and the onboard dust monitoring system data. Triangulation of 20 jets shows that 2 emanate from the nucleus dark side and 16 emanate from sources that are on slopes where the Sun's elevation is greater than predicted from the fitted triaxial ellipsoid. Seven sources, including five in the Mayo depression, coincide with relatively bright surface spots. Fitting the imaged jets, the spikelike temporal distribution of dust impacts indicates that the spacecraft crossed thin, densely populated sheets of particulate ejecta extending from small sources on the rotating nucleus, consistent with an emission cone model.
Yes, Wild 2 has jets on the dark side, but only 2 out of 20. That's quite sufficient asymmetry to show that solar heating is the primary driver. Simple thermal inertia in the nucleus easily explains the dark side jets as being the ones which still have enough energy to continue outgassing. And note that 16 out of 20 emanate from areas where insolation is maximized, once again showing that solar power dominates jet activity, not "sputtering".
Water Production of Comets 2P/Encke and 81P/Wild 2 Derived from SWAN Observations during the 1997 Apparition; Mäkinen,
et al., Icarus 152(2): 268-274, August 2001
Abstract:
The water production rates of comets 2P/Encke and 81P/Wild 2 during their 1997 apparitions have been estimated from Lyman-α observations of the SWAN instrument and compared to previously published values. 2P/Encke was detected 28 times from few days preperihelion to 1.4 AU postperihelion with a perihelion water production rate QH2O of 2×1028 s-1. This is the first observation of perihelion QH2O of comet Encke. 81P/Wild 2 was detected 56 times from 1.64 AU preperihelion to 1.74 AU postperihelion with a perihelion QH2O of 1.3×1028 s-1.
The production rate numbers given here are in molecules/second. So "dry" has to be seen in context; it does not mean "no water", it means only "less water" than other comets, lime 2P/Encke. But even still, this is not a major point. There are plenty of ices around besides water, and all of them are far less dense than rocks, and all of them sublimate and form jets. Smaller amounts of water could indicate an older comet which has already outgassed a substantial fraction of its water, or it could indicate that the comet formed in a dryer environment.
Meanwhile, we still have the question of mass, density and non-gravitational forcing to talk about. So, since you bring up comet Wild 2 ...
Non-gravitational force modeling of Comet 81P/Wild 2. I. A nucleus bulk density estimate; Davidsson & Gutiérrez, Icarus 180(1): 224-242, January 2006.
Abstract:
The nucleus of Comet 81P/Wild 2 is modeled by assuming various smooth triaxial ellipsoidal or irregular body shapes, having different rotational periods, spin axis orientations, and thermophysical properties. For these model nuclei, a large number of surface activity patterns (e.g., maps of active and inactive areas) are studied, and in each case the resulting water production rate and non-gravitational force vector versus time are calculated. By requiring that the model nuclei simultaneously reproduce certain properties of the empirical water production curve and non-gravitational changes of the orbit (focusing on changes of the orbital period and in the longitude of perihelion), constraints are placed on several properties of the nucleus. The simulations suggest that the mass of Comet 81P/Wild 2 is M≲2.3×1013 kg, resulting in a rather low bulk density, ρbulk≲600-800 kg/m3 (depending on the assumed nucleus volume), and that the nucleus rotation is prograde rather than retrograde. The active area fraction is difficult to constrain, but at most 60% of the nucleus is likely to have near-surface ice.
The mass is determined dynamically (you did not tell us why you think Kepler's Laws are unreliable), and last I heard, density was still mass/volume. The bulk density of Wild 2 is 0.6 to 0.8 gm/cm
3, less than the density of water ice. Whatever the nucleus is, it certainly is not "rock", so if we have to choose between "ice" and "rock", "ice" wins every time.
Non-gravitational force modeling of Comet 81P/Wild 2. II. Rotational evolution; Gutiérrez & Davidsson, Icarus 191(2): 651-664, November 2007
Abstract:
In this paper, we have studied both the dynamical and the rotational evolution of an 81P/Wild 2-like comet under the effects of the outgassing-induced force and torque. The main aim is to study if it is possible to reproduce the non-gravitational orbital changes observed in this comet, and to establish the likely evolution of both orbital and rotational parameters. To perform this study, a simple thermophysical model has been used to estimate the torque acting on the nucleus. Once the torque is calculated, Euler equations are solved numerically considering a nucleus mass directly estimated from the changes in the orbital elements (as determined from astrometry). According to these simulations, when the water production rate and changes in orbital parameters for 1997, as well as observational rotational parameters for 2004 are imposed as constraints, the change in the orbital period of 81P/Wild 2, ΔP=P˙, will decrease so that P¨=‑5 to ‑1 min/orbit2, which is similar to the actual tendency observed from 1988 up to 1997. This nearly constant decreasing can be explained as due to a slight drift of the spin axis orientation towards larger ecliptic longitudes. After studying the possible spin axis orientations proposed for 1997, simulations suggest that the spin obliquity and argument (I,Φ)=(56°,167°) is the most likely. As for rotational evolution, changes per orbit smaller than 10% of the actual spin velocity are probable, while the most likely value corresponds to a change between 2 and 7% of the spin velocity. Equally, net changes in the spin axis orientation of 4° 8° per orbit are highly expected.
This is significant because sputtering does not push, but jets do. If we were seeing sputtering or "machining", we would not see a significant dynamic reaction from the nucleus. But in fact we do see the nucleus pushed & torqued. And that is exactly what we expect from jets; they act like little rockets and push the nucleus. We see here that the observed jets and the observed pushing are mutually compatible.
In all cases the standard model works very well, but the alternate "electric" explanation is not compatible with the observed behavior of the comets.
and how does the sun sublimate ice when the comet is 7.2 astronomical units (AU) from the Sun?
Is that the best you can do, 7.2 AU. I can beat that ...
Cometary Activity at 25.7 AU: Hale-Bopp 11 Years after Perihelion; Szabó, Kiss & Sárneczky, Astrophysical Journal 677(2): L121-L124, April 2008
Abstract:
Eleven years after its perihelion, comet C/1995 O1 (Hale-Bopp) is still active. Between 2007 October 20 and 22, we detected a diffuse coma of 180 × 103 km in diameter with a slight elongation toward the north-south direction. The integrated brightness was 20.04 mag in RC, implying Afρ=300 m and albedo × dust surface aRC=4300 km2. The coma was relatively red at V-R=0.66 mag, which is consistent with that of the dust in other comets. The observed properties and the overall fading in brightness between 10 and 26 AU follow the predicted behavior of CO-driven activity. This is the most distant cometary activity ever observed.
Note from above:
The observed properties and the overall fading in brightness between 10 and 26 AU follow the predicted behavior of CO-driven activity. As explained in the paper, cometary activity at large distances from the sun is dominated by sublimation of CO ice, as opposed to water ice (which stops sublimating at about 3 AU). As also explained in the paper, the observed activity of Hale-Bopp at 25.7 AU from the Sun is completely consistent with model based predictions published in 2002 for CO driven activity.
So what we see is that none of the issues raised so far are critical problems for the standard model of comets; the answers might not be perfect, but the physical picture is completely self consistent and completely consistent with observation. On the other hand, the "electric" explanation has major problems, and is easily inferior to the standard. The "electric" model cannot explain the forces applied to cometary nuclei by jets, and the "electric" model makes predictions for jet distribution over the surface of the comet which are contradicted by observation (jets are
strongly correlated with insolation). The "electric" model cannot explain any of the narrow line X-ray emission from comets, whereas the standard model not only explains, but in fact
requires such emission. And of course, the "electric" model is not even self consistent to begin with, as there is no energy source available to drive it in the first place.
Standard model wins big, electric model loses big. Nice try, Sol88
