I agree with you that for most consumers an extended warranty is, indeed, a waste of money. Statistically, most critical flaws in electronic devices will become evident well within a 90 day, or even a 30 day, guarantee period.
Yet I disagree that placing the onus of fall-over insurance on the provider of critical equipment to a business, for a reasonable fee in the form of an extended warranty, is "never worth it".
Horses for courses.
That's my view as well. Never is a big word. I consider extended warranties highly suspect, but in some cases they might be worth it.
To clarify, around here there are no official Apple stores, only certified resellers. They almost all use the same independent repair shop, which - ideally - is the one of several such shops with the best bid. Whether that involves specializing in Apple machines or giving the stores high-volume discounts, or whether it's handled completely through Apple Denmark, I don't know.
In any case, with Applecare, there are considerations about call-in-support, worldwide ease of use, and resale value on top of the statistics. Then, on top of that, I'm not convinced that I'm especially statistically challenged for wanting to see some numbers to convince me that a company like Apple can't offer such a warranty at a profit
and have competitive or near-competitive prices. In short, I wouldn't get the same deal at the repair shop as a single individual as Apple and its thousands of transactions gets.
But the conclusion is as always with insurance, do I want or need the benefits and drawbacks of pooled risk? In some cases, the answer could be yes. For a small company like mine, one person and one computer, the hard- and software I use represents a significant investment. I also do not have the cash flow or reserves of a big company. If I deem the worst-case scenario of the computer completely failing to be me having to cover it with my rent money, maybe that insurance is worth it.