So, Who's The Democratic Candidate in 2016?

Brainster

Penultimate Amazing
Brainster
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Win or lose in November, it won't be Obama. And it looks like he's going to repeat Bush's mistake of 2004 and run again with a VP who cannot take up the mantle himself; Biden (despite his obvious desire for the presidency) will be 74 in 2016.

Looking at the bench, it's pretty weak. Hillary has apparently ruled out another run, and she'd be 69 anyway. John Edwards may be the "hair" apparent, but his approval rating was 3% the last I heard.

Governors of major states? Jerry Brown is running California, but he's four years older than Biden. Andrew Cuomo? I'm sure he'll be running, but I don't see him firing up the electorate. Jay Nixon? He does run a battleground state, but, well, there is the matter of that last name.

Senators? The Senate Leader is Harry Reid, who is also older than Biden. The #2 is Daniel Inouye, who's old enough to be Biden's dad and who I believe is now the only living member of Congress who served in WWII.

So who's the frontrunner today for 2016? I'm not posting this to mock the Democrats, and in a way, they are fortunate in that their candidate does not have to be a name today. After all, who had heard of Barack Obama at this point in 2004?
 
Mooseman said:
Assume romney loses, who will be the Rebuplican choice?
Click to expand...

The corpse of Ronald Reagan.

I would like to see Hillary run in 2016 myself. I don't believe her statements saying she has ruled it out and I think the idea of the first woman president will override the potential issue of her age. We'll see as 2016 gets closer.
 
Brainster said:
Win or lose in November, it won't be Obama. And it looks like he's going to repeat Bush's mistake of 2004 and run again with a VP who cannot take up the mantle himself; Biden (despite his obvious desire for the presidency) will be 74 in 2016.

Looking at the bench, it's pretty weak. Hillary has apparently ruled out another run, and she'd be 69 anyway. John Edwards may be the "hair" apparent, but his approval rating was 3% the last I heard.

Governors of major states? Jerry Brown is running California, but he's four years older than Biden. Andrew Cuomo? I'm sure he'll be running, but I don't see him firing up the electorate. Jay Nixon? He does run a battleground state, but, well, there is the matter of that last name.

Senators? The Senate Leader is Harry Reid, who is also older than Biden. The #2 is Daniel Inouye, who's old enough to be Biden's dad and who I believe is now the only living member of Congress who served in WWII.

So who's the frontrunner today for 2016? I'm not posting this to mock the Democrats, and in a way, they are fortunate in that their candidate does not have to be a name today. After all, who had heard of Barack Obama at this point in 2004?
Click to expand...

I am a pretty big political junkie, so YMMV, but I didn't hear about Obama in 2004 until his speech at the convention. Therefore, I would suggest waiting a few months and watch the conventions. You will most likely see next cycles candidates in those speeches.
 
I wouldn't be surprised if Clinton tries to be, despite claims to the contrary.

Alternatively, Romney. :)

Mooseman said:
Assume romney loses, who will be the Rebuplican choice?
Click to expand...
I'd guess Santorum would be the most likely at this point.
 
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Good question.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Hillary go for it, though I'm not wild about her.

Doubt Rahm would try it.

Jerry Brown already ran a half-dozen times. He's done.

I can see a push for Elizabeth Warren, but it would probably be too soon, and be contingent on her winning this year.

Maybe Villaraigosa?? Can't imagine he'd win, but he's crazy enough to try.

Somebody must have better ideas...
 
Even though Hillary is disavowing it now, I would expect her to disavow even if she fully intended to run. You don't want to throw your hat in the ring too early. It looks desperate.

Could it be Debbie Wasserman Schultz?
Maybe Andrew Cuomo.
I don't see Biden generating any excitement; if he runs he'll just embarrass himself.
 
Three years ago, I would have said that Hillary wouldn't again run for any elective office. But it's pretty clear that if she runs, it's overwhelming odds she will be elected. It's hard to pass that up.
 
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