Merged Skeptics vs. Knowers/Believers

OK. I am in telepathic contact with Ashtar Sheran from planet Ummo. He says there are no hidden civilizations on Earth. All "real" UFO sightings are from alien ships, both from the good (like the good-looking folks from the Pleiades) and the bad guys (like the ugly greys and reptiloids). Following your logic, you should take my fully anecdotal evidence (I can also provide pictures of Ashtar Sheran's ships and even pics of the aliens themselves if I have enough motivation) and conclude -or at least take seriously in to account- based on the compelling evidence I provided, that your UFOs-from-unknown-terrestrial-civilizations pet speculation must be thrown in the garbage bin.

Are you 'alone' in these claims, or is there corroboration with other witnesses to the same?

Moreover, is there any historical corroboration to your claims.

THIS would be the 'difference' between your proposed argument and mine.
 
Are you 'alone' in these claims, or is there corroboration with other witnesses to the same?

Moreover, is there any historical corroboration to your claims.

THIS would be the 'difference' between your proposed argument and mine.
Oh, a quick googling can provide you with other witnesses of the reality of Ashtar Sheran, the greys and the reptiloids.

And I have pictures of their ships. Some are way better than the blurred stuff usually seen around as UFO evidence.

Define 'historical corroboration'. would that be the myth-twisting commonly spreaded around as evidence for ancient astronauts (ex.: ufoartwork)?

"Looks like an UFO for me"...

Sorry. Not enough. Myths -and art- are special types of mirrors. Quite often they reflect the image we want to see.

What about addressing these points?
me said:
Every now and then someone says we should decrease evidence quality standards for their own pet beliefs down to court standards and give eyewitness reports a higher credibility. In our current legal system, according to these claims and reasonings, its all it takes to put someone in jail or worse.

Now, this completely ignores the facts that hard, scientific data will in theory beat anecdotal evidence in court and that at court, emotional appeals and weaseling of the law code carefull law interpretation are powerfull weapons. Weapons capable of changing the ballance and invalidating hard data.

Now KotA wants to lower the standards even more!

And
me said:
The emotional attachment to certain data points (a given sighting, a given picture) or speculations (aliens, hidden civilization, etc.) is just too big for some people. They just can't let it go. The easy escape route? Blame it on skeptics. Complain about how close-minded they are, how their belief system avoids them from accepting the reality. Its easier than presenting reliable evidence, its easier to blame someone else.


Oh, and please, don't forget to back your claim that I am not looking at the evidence.
 
The answer lies in one word -methodology.

Skeptics want reliable evidence, evidence able to withstand critical evaluation. Skeptics want conclusions created after sound reasonings based on the type of data mentioned above. Skeptics want science. Skeptics have no problems dumping data points, hypothesis and theories in the garbage bin as soon as they are found flawed, despite on how compelling or attractive they might find them. Trust me- it may hurt.

Believers, on the other hand, are willing to accept all data points which they think can somehow be used to reinforce and/or back their beliefs. They see no problems building wild speculations over this shaky foundation and presenting them as theories. Quite often they are not really willing to examine evidence contrary to their beliefs. The believers' emotional attachment to questionable evidence and speculations is obvious; they will not dump them, regardless of their flaws being exposed over and over again. They will ask for special pledges such as keeping an open mind, suspending disbelief and set yourself free from the chains imposed by mainstream science. Its not uncommon for them to present or consider themselves as the bold pioneers of a new knowledge, fighting the old status quo. Convolute conspiracy theories quite often are raised at this point. And when it fails, there are two course of actions -one is to blame skeptics for their pet beliefs being considered as a fringe subject, the other is to consider him/herself as a "knower" instead of a proponent. He/she knows fringe subject X is real. This is the very last ditch- the ultimate special pledge. I know X is true because I experienced it and I can't possibly be wrong.

You are probably noticing this happening at this and other threads.

Tell that to UFOlogists and UFO buffs. The evidence quality standards are already available. The problem is- once you apply the standards, few if any data points survive. Again, you probably are noticing this at this very thread.

The emotional attachment to certain data points (a given sighting, a given picture) or speculations (aliens, hidden civilization, etc.) is just too big for some people. They just can't let it go. The easy escape route? Blame it on skeptics. Complain about how close-minded they are, how their belief system avoids them from accepting the reality. Its easier than presenting reliable evidence, its easier to blame someone else.

Note that this is valid for all woo.

It all boils down to - bring me reliable evidence and I will gladly dump my position regarding a certain subject (say, UFOs as product of some advanced civilization, terrestrial or not) in the garbage bin. Recycling the old, inconclusive at best, stuff or adding some more material of the same quality will not work.

Since you raise the issue Correa Neto (and borrowing from jakesteele’s earlier post and extending on the ideas), let's see if any of the following rings true…

Debunker tactics at work

Rat Packing or Piling On:
This is where a UFO proponent makes a post and suddenly finds multiple debunker posters burying that post under a stream of derision and mostly off-topic generalisations. It becomes practically impossible for the original poster to answer such an ill-focussed and massed debunking of the original idea.

Anecdotal Rejection Syndrome:
This is where the debunker’s anecdotes count but yours don’t. On your side of the anecdotal fence you have many highly qualified military/commercial pilots, radar people, engineers, etc. But none of those count, because they are all wrong. They are either innocently mistaken, lying or deluded.

For example on the debunkers side of the fence you have things like the two amateur astronomers in the Phoenix Lights who ‘allege’ that they saw planes. Debunkers consider that golden and beyond reproach. Another example is Jimmy Carter, who ‘alleged’ he saw a UFO. Debunkers labeled him woo until he recanted and said he saw Venus. Then he became golden.

It CAN be: therefore it IS:
If you take 100 people who witness a UFO sighting and 99 say it was a for real UFO and 1 person says it was a weather balloon, then in the debunker’s mind the 1 is right, proof positive, and the 99 are either woos, innocently mistaken or deluded, etc.

Here is link that is a list of “possible” UFO explanations compiled by Donald Menzel, a noted debunker of the 50s and 60s. They fall under the below listed main headings. Each heading has a number of variations on the same theme, but they’re too numerous to list here. For the complete list go to:
http://www.cufon.org/cufon/ifo_list.htm

A. MATERIAL OBJECTS
B. IMMATERIAL OBJECTS
C. ASTRONOMICAL
D. PHYSIOLOGICAL
E PSYCHOLOGICAL
F COMBINATIONS AND SPECIAL EFFECTS
G PHOTOGRAPHIC RECORDS
H RADAR
I HOAXES

My personal favorites that are embedded in the list include the following. I’m having them bronzed so I can prominently display them on my mantle.

*paper and other debris
*leaves
*insect swarms
*moths
*seeds (milkweed, etc.)
*feathers
*tumbleweeds
*spider webs
*matches
*smoker lighting pipe
*cigarettes tossed away
*ghost of the Brocken (I don’t know what that is, but it sounds pretty cool. Kind of like one of those low budget movies you see on The SyFy channel)

This tactic also has many variants, such as:
1. Since a thing can be faked, it must be a fake.
2. It cannot be, therefore, it is not.

...and this in turn is a variant on the…

All Crows are Black fallacy:

I have seen only black crows, therefore all crows are black.
Translated into debunker speak:
Most UFO reports I have seen have mundane explanations, therefore all UFO reports will have mundane explanations.

It is also related to:

The Law of Forced Plausibles:
Trying to make something fit where it doesn’t fit. Every explanation MUST be a plausible and mundane one, even when it doesn’t fit, it fits.

For a classical example of this and for a good belly laugh, go to this site. It is a History Channel special on Human Levitation. Go to: (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwvEPeGPxeU). Go to the 1:15 mark and hear shamless Joe Nickell give the most ridiculous, ludicrous, pathetic attempt of a Forced Plausible I’ve ever seen. Any debunker worth his salt would denounce him and tell him to get out of town.

The Law of Immaculate Perception:
Debunkers are the only ones who see reality exactly as it is, unhindered by any cognitive biases. So therefore, to disagree with them is to disagree with reality itself.

Related to:

Objective Reality Rejection Syndrome:
The debunkers reality counts but yours doesn’t. In other words. Debunker reality is objective: everyone else’s reality is not objective. This has a parallel in: Physics is a dead science. All that can be discovered has been discovered. No new discoveries are possible. We know everything there is to know about reality.

The Law of the “Official Story”:
The Official Story is always right. If the “Official Story” says it was a weather balloon, then by God, it WAS; proof positive, case closed.

Absence of evidence is evidence of absence:

Because there is no evidence that “proves” ET, then ET does not exist.

Cherry Picking the Evidence:
This is a “selection bias” toward “favourable” evidence. There exist many reports and scientific studies, both for and against various UFO activities. The debunker will choose only those reports that agree with their own conclusions and totally ignore the reports which disconfirm their beliefs (or otherwise misrepresent, ridicule, or belittle the findings of contrary reports along the lines of the Objective reality rejection Syndrome).

The Law of Endless Repetition:
This is a simple matter of the debunker ignoring whatever their opponent has to say and then to repeat your fallacious contention over and over, no matter what, until your opponent becomes frustrated and hopefully makes an unwise or otherwise ill-considered move, or simply becomes sick of your implacable obtuseness and goes away.

The Law of the Sweeping Generalisation:

A Debunker should use sweeping generalisations wherever possible. For your opponent to point out the fallacy of such statements will force them to consume many precious resources, in hours of research and many pages of text to explore and dispel the many unfounded assumptions and misconceptions contained in a single throwaway line. You on the other hand have wasted no resources, merely a single line of text and no research necessary.

The Law of the Rational Opponent:
As a debunker, you realise that your opponent is committed to logic and rationality and thus cannot use any of your own spurious tactics against you. This confers an enormous advantage to you. You can use charlatanism and legerdemain with impunity, knowing your opponent cannot.

The Law of the Avoided Question:

If a UFO proponent asks a question the debunker should answer a question they would have liked to have been asked - rather than the one that was asked. Who cares what the original question was, answer a question that you have prepared an answer for regardless (any question will do, as long as it is related to the subject… and sometimes not even then). This has a twofold effect. First it distracts and frustrates the questioner from their original line of attack, hopefully permanently, and second, it forces them to open another front to deal with the new fallacy you have just thrown into the battle – thus putting them on the defensive and dispersing their resources, hopefully into ineffectualness.

The Law of Transposed Sin:
The debunker should accuse an opponent of committing your own sins, then let them try to justify themselves. This immediately turns their attack into defence. It deflects attention away from you and works particularly well if you get the accusation in before your opponent realises you are not here to engage in a logical debate. For your opponent to then turn around and legitimately accuse you of those very same sins they will make them seem at the very least churlish and they will also be deemed not to have denied the accusation.

Then of course there are the tactics of misrepresentation, misdirection, etc. but they are obvious and need no explanation here.:D
 
Did you notice the similarities between my last post, and yours?

I transposed U.F.O's for O.J.

Until you change the rules of evidence, and or accept other evidence, the verdict will remain the same.

I think you missed understanding by a tiny amount. So very close.
If and when there is 'other evidence' then the decision can be changed. Unlike the OJ case, double jeopardy is allowed here. We can change our verdict when the DNA evidence arrives.
No need to change the rules of evidence.
 
Rramjet, thanks for your reply!

It seems I have to elaborate a bit, for my words were typed in somewhat a haste and were easily misinterpreted.

Yeah, My great grandfather was a “pioneer” and “created” a farm from the forest in the mountains in the 1870s - and our family has been there ever since…

That is something I respect from all my heart. Have you seen the wonderful documentary "Alone In The Wilderness"? Your grandpa sounds as someone quite similar to Dick Proenneke (although he didn't raise a family).


Ahhh… now THERE’S the rub! Objective reality! Who has a monopoly on “objective reality”? I don’t believe you can claim to know objective reality to any greater or lesser extent than I (or anyone else).

As you know, this has been a subject of great debate among thinkers throughout the ages. At the moment I'm inclined to think there is an 'objective reality' of some kind. Meaning something that would exist without any of us observing it. I think mathematics is the closest thing to a 'language' we have to describe this objective reality.

Because this objective reality is something existing without human beings (or beings of any sort), I feel nobody can have a 'monopoly' over it. That's exactly why every person's observation regarding they're own experience of this reality is as valid. And now we come to:

Why is it that debunkers (and I am NOT saying that you are one Tapio – just a general observation) seem to want to say MY reality is objective, YOUR reality is NOT. What is WITH that?

First, I am not a 'debunker', right about that. I'm simply interested in expanding visions and discussing different points of view, with an occasional focus on confronting sheer fraud and malice I sometimes find lurking in the woods of woo. Regarding UFO's and/or extraterrestrial life I'm way too uneducated to make a definitive case pro or against. But I can say some subjective thoughts about critical thinking, though.

If you read my previous post again, you might notice I was interpreting your claiming to KNOW things as exactly what you are now opposing to. It might be semantics, but I feel when you claim to KNOW something (without adding a disclaimer where you explain this to apply only to your subjective reality) that you are claiming to hold 'monopoly of objective reality'.


It is as if they missed out completely on the millennia old philosophical discussion concerning the nature of reality (and recent advances in quantum physics). Have they ever heard of Bishop Berkeley? Do they not realise the utter hypocrisy when they propose that human perception is fallable and prone to delusion - and yet proclaim … “Well. Except MY assessment of reality of course… THAT is objective”. Ha! It’s antirational. It takes us back to a time before the “enlightenment”.

To my eye most, if not all, skeptics in this discussion have constantly stated that they do not claim to KNOW anything else than that which can truly be 'objectively' known -> plain human eyewitness and/or 'subjective' inner experience can not be counted as evidence of 'objective' reality. However, as with KoftA, you also claim to KNOW something which (at least by your words) applies to US ALL.

I might be wrong, please correct me if so, but it seems like you are actually the one claiming a 'monopoly' over reality when asking us to accept your 'feelings' as something definitive of the reality we all share. Don't get me wrong. I'm a very open person and I'd be fine to accept you being a person actually giving us information relating to us all, if it only were you had something more conclusive to back up your view than unexplained eyewitness accompanied with a feeling. Am I making myself clear? I know someone with more experience, education and a better hold on the English language could certainly explain this better...

Human experience is not evidence? What are you talking about? Human experience is the beginning and the end of evidence. It is the ONLY evidence we have. There is NOTHING BUT the evidence of human experience.

I hope you're not talking here of, say, a person looking through a microscope and seeing bacteria...and that his/her experience of the bacteria is evidence...if you're talking about this kind of stuff, we're talking about a completely different definition of experience.

When I say 'experience', I mean 'inner experience', a reaction to an external or internal stimulus. I'm not talking about sensory perception. Bearing that in mind, I feel human experience definitely is evidence, OF HUMAN EXPERIENCE. That's all. Do you understand?

However, when it comes to UFOs, people seem to link unexplained sensory data with powerful inner experience and come off explainig this mess as evidence for extraterrestrial intelligence.

Let's say you witness, through your senses, something beautiful, strange, even frightening. Let's also say you experience, in your 'inner world', something unique and profound at the same time. Awesome, great, no problem with that. The problem arises when you fail to discern your sensory perception from your inner experience and critically assess them seperately. Even if what you witnessed through your senses could actually be verified to have happened in 'objective' reality, the experience of witnessing is something confined only to your inner world. As are the experiences which follow your sensory witnessing. They can not be counted as evidence of 'objective reality'.

It seems to me you are trying to do exactly this. You're experience of KNOWING is true, no doubt about that. But you have forgotten to discern your experience from the 'outer world' which initially triggered your experience. You can KNOW things of yourself and how you feel about things, but I say you CAN NOT KNOW if those things apply to us all. Btw, not talking about laws of thermodynamics etc. here. Talking only about human experience.

Descarte didn’t say “I think… but because my perception is fallible we can draw no conclusions from that!

No, but maybe he could (not saying he should) have said: "I think...but what I think doesn't necessarily have anything to do with anything else than my thinking."
 
Rramjet, thanks for your reply!

Well thank YOU for your graciousness.

I have had a quick read through your post and there a few things I would like to say but don't have time right now.

I DO want to say that on my reading of your latter post I think you commendably approach the topic with a true "critical thinkers" eye (if that's not mixing metaphors). You raise some issue that are well thought out. I will reply in more detail later, but I just needed to let you know that I appreciate the thinking behind your writing here.
 
- O.J. would be sitting in prison right now if it weren't for the fact that the Bill of Rights protects citizens from double jeopardy. It is not that the burden of proof is flawed, but rather that the evidence available at the time was incomplete coupled with the fact that he cannot be brought back to trial for the same crime.

Ya know, I think he IS sitting in prison right now, just not for this. Lovelock Nevada Correctional Center inmate # 1027820. The juice is no longer on the loose.

Of course, none of this makes this particular train of thought particularly relevant to flying saucers and space aliens (or advanced secret residents of this planet already here). Burden of proof in a courtroom and in science are two very different things. Burden of proof is set artificially high in the courtroom, since there are so many reasons why someone could look guilty as sin, but be factually innocent, and depriving a citizen of their freedom is something that we don't do lightly. Proof in science is set a lot lower. Science proof is often a progressive process. Theories can often be incorrect or partially correct for years as data is collected, hypotheses proposed and discarded or supported, until the proper interpretation of data comes out. Even the most well supported theories are subject to revision, if there's well documented, consistent data to prove them false or support another explanation. You can always go back and revise a theory. You can't yet un-execute someone or give someone back the missing years of their life you took away by falsely casting them in jail.

A.
 
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- O.J. would be sitting in prison right now if it weren't for the fact that the Bill of Rights protects citizens from double jeopardy. It is not that the burden of proof is flawed, but rather that the evidence available at the time was incomplete coupled with the fact that he cannot be brought back to trial for the same crime.

Ya know, I think he IS sitting in prison right now, just not for this. Lovelock Nevada Correctional Center inmate # 1027820. The juice is no longer on the loose.

Of course, none of this makes this particular train of thought particularly relevant to flying saucers and space aliens (or advanced secret residents of this planet already here). Burden of proof in a courtroom and in science are two very different things. Burden of proof is set artificially high in the courtroom, since there are so many reasons why someone could look guilty as sin, but be factually innocent, and depriving a citizen of their freedom is something that we don't do lightly. Proof in science is set a lot lower. Science proof is often a progressive process. Theories can often be incorrect or partially correct for years as data is collected, hypotheses proposed and discarded or supported, until the proper interpretation of data comes out. Even the most well supported theories are subject to revision, if there's well documented, consistent data to prove them false or support another explanation. You can always go back and revise a theory. You can't yet un-execute someone or give someone back the missing years of their life you took away by falsely casting them in jail.

A.
 
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I DO want to say that on my reading of your latter post I think you commendably approach the topic with a true "critical thinkers" eye (if that's not mixing metaphors). You raise some issue that are well thought out. I will reply in more detail later, but I just needed to let you know that I appreciate the thinking behind your writing here.

Wonderful! I feel there's a lot to learn from you. Don't rush on my account, I'll also be away for a day or two...

Looking forward to your comments! :)
 
still lying then
:rolleyes:


And I'm glad to hear that you still think YOU are infallible, in manners of artistic interpretation.

:rolleyes:


I posit that judgement of the veracity of the vast majority of the material in your posts so far is not variable subject to artistic interpretation; rather it reflects a cognizance that certain truths are self-evident, your protests notwithstanding.

I also am infallible, so this must be true.


Re-Horakty etc.
 
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A bunch of stuff I clipped out, since I wrote the damn thing, and it's right there.

Ya know, I was reading this, and I though I should clarify a few things. I think I'm going to give the wrong impression referring to the burden of proof in the courtroom and science as higher and lower respectively. What I'm trying to emphasize is that they're really really different.

Court: all the evidence might be second hand. There might not be anything at all concrete or verifiable. There's a fixed quantity of evidence, with no guarantee that anything new will be found that will be more convincing of guilt or innocence. It's judged by a group of people chosen for thier impartiality, based in part on their ignorance of the situation. The penalties for an incorrect judgement, ESPECIALLY a guilty judgement, are high. Given this, it's reasonable to artificially manipulate the standard of proof to slant in the direction of a verdict of not guilty.

Science: If the evidence is weak, we expect to see lots and lots of it. If there isn't enough, we expect that we can make more. Science isn't as much about explaining something you saw only once as it is about explaining why things work the way they do. We can always try to replicate the experiment, go prospecting for more fossils, spend more time watching the sky, try more combinations of chemicals, try new technology, brainstorm new models and new experiments, etc. We expect that things that really exist will be observable, and be repeatable. I think that's the big reason why science has such trouble with UFO reports. We've already established, through physiology, psychology, optics, meterology, astronomy, and such, that there are lots of ways that there are lots of things that look like flying saucers, and lots of ways that people can be fooled. At this point, there would have to be an immense body of repeatedly observable, unexplained sightings, and they would have to be well documented in a manner that showed that they weren't the result of poor observation and confirmation bias. If a large enough body of work of this sort came to exist, then there would be reason to re-evaluate current theories. So far, we have a large body of explainable sightings, coupled with a large body of inconsistent stories about sightings. The burden of proof is low, but it has not been met.

I think it's important to point out that even rare events occur often enough to be observable. Events that don't occur in an observable manner, and are reported anecdotaly, aren't observations, but anecdotes.

A.
 
Since you raise the issue Correa Neto (and borrowing from jakesteele’s earlier post and extending on the ideas), let's see if any of the following rings true…

...snip...
Yeah, I read it all the first time you posted.

But thanks for providing more evidence backing the points I exposed at
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=5182999&postcount=274

UFO proponents have been failing to provide reliable evidence to back their claims since 1947.

When they had the lights in Phoenix
Back in ninety-seven
They said that ol' aliens
Were up to their old tricks
That's the story that went around
But here's the real low-down
Put the blame on skeptics, boys
Put the blame on skeptics
One night he started to drop some flares
That brought on the Phoenix lights
So you can put the blame on skeptics, boys
blameskeptics.jpg
 
Ya know, I think he IS sitting in prison right now, just not for this. Lovelock Nevada Correctional Center inmate # 1027820. The juice is no longer on the loose.

Of course, none of this makes this particular train of thought particularly relevant to flying saucers and space aliens (or advanced secret residents of this planet already here). Burden of proof in a courtroom and in science are two very different things. Burden of proof is set artificially high in the courtroom, since there are so many reasons why someone could look guilty as sin, but be factually innocent, and depriving a citizen of their freedom is something that we don't do lightly. Proof in science is set a lot lower. Science proof is often a progressive process. Theories can often be incorrect or partially correct for years as data is collected, hypotheses proposed and discarded or supported, until the proper interpretation of data comes out. Even the most well supported theories are subject to revision, if there's well documented, consistent data to prove them false or support another explanation. You can always go back and revise a theory. You can't yet un-execute someone or give someone back the missing years of their life you took away by falsely casting them in jail.

A.



Hey Chief

Sounds like your saying that there are no absolutes and interpretation today can be different tomorrow.


P.S. and on another matter,

Oh and thanks for the promotion to my OP -much appreciated - when people ask, I will be able to show them where my 1% came from.
 
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Hello King
Going from your original post. If I understand what you are looking for, you are looking to see if there is a definite winner or loser among debates. If this is correct...

On some things, I have yet to make up my mind on, so you could call me a fence sitter. But I will listen to what I feel are reasonable arguments. Reasonable, to me, consists of people trading what they consider facts. Some peoples facts are scientific proof that can not be reasonably argued with. Other peoples facts are their own experience that has no scientific backing, but what they feel is real in any case. It doesn't make it less real to them because they can't prove it, it just makes it harder to substantiate, therefore making it harder for other people to believe them.

I don't believe that there is a clear winner or loser in general. There are some threads in this forum are I feel are complete bupkis, and some are generally well thought out. I am more inclined to give serious thought to the ideas that are presented well and honestly thought out, regardless of the amount of available facts.

I'm currently following a number of threads, a few of which are just stupid and I get a kick out of it. One such is a thread specifically designed to get another member to comment. Since the intended member has yet to comment, the original poster of the thread is getting their butt handed to them. I find it amusing. But I digress...

I am willing to listen to reasonable theories. I'm not going to be going into any forum and say "You're wrong", on the basis of whether I "believe" or not. This is a forum specifically designed to challenge. If you can't handle challenges, either find more proof, or back down gracefully. Kicking and screaming adds validity to the idea that you are nuts.

So I would say that neither side is winning. Both have their protectors and their protagonists.

Hope that is what you were looking for.

Mira
 
The answer lies in one word -methodology.

Skeptics want reliable evidence, evidence able to withstand critical evaluation. Skeptics want conclusions created after sound reasonings based on the type of data mentioned above. Skeptics want science. Skeptics have no problems dumping data points, hypothesis and theories in the garbage bin as soon as they are found flawed, despite on how compelling or attractive they might find them. Trust me- it may hurt.

Believers, on the other hand, are willing to accept all data points which they think can somehow be used to reinforce and/or back their beliefs. They see no problems building wild speculations over this shaky foundation and presenting them as theories. Quite often they are not really willing to examine evidence contrary to their beliefs. The believers' emotional attachment to questionable evidence and speculations is obvious; they will not dump them, regardless of their flaws being exposed over and over again. They will ask for special pledges such as keeping an open mind, suspending disbelief and set yourself free from the chains imposed by mainstream science. Its not uncommon for them to present or consider themselves as the bold pioneers of a new knowledge, fighting the old status quo.

It all boils down to - bring me reliable evidence and I will gladly dump my position regarding a certain subject (say, UFOs as product of some advanced civilization, terrestrial or not) in the garbage bin. Recycling the old, inconclusive at best, stuff or adding some more material of the same quality will not work.

I would counter that sometimes (say, in the case of the Global Warming debate) some people are more inclined to view things with the broad brush, and some people love to dwell on the minutiae of any given subject.

Sometimes the 'science' which you claim skeptics want is inconclusive using the broad brush, but appears most conclusive when looked at on a smaller scale. Or vice versa.

The point I am really making here is that reliable evidence may be equally compelling pro or con depending on perspective (as in the case of global warming), and vilification of someone looking at trends versus specifics is patently unfair. Just because someone is intrigued by where a seeming 'trend' may lead, suggested by a loose link or an emerging 'gut feel', doesn't mean they have any less regard for 'reliable' evidence. They just look at things a bit differently.

Are we willing to consider the possibility that too narrow a definition of 'skeptic' or 'believer' is possible?

Shouldn't skeptics welcome the speculation of the 'believers' as a product of the attempt to understand events in the larger framework -that broad brush, as it were?

I think we dissuade responsible speculation at our peril.
 

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