Skepticism and The Normal

Just out of curiosity, Rome, what would have to happen in your online discussions, for you to consider tit for tat was *not* an effective strategy?
small or insignificant discussion, one or two pages in length, insignificant number of participants.
So you would regard a brief discussion in which an exchange of ideas results in the parties reaching agreement as a failure as far as "tit for tat" is concerned? This suggests that, as far as you are concerned, "tit for tat" is a means of prolonging rather than resolving conflict.
 
I really can't be bothered with this much more. This whole sorry thread has just been one long saga of bubblefish evading, ignoring, equivocating, obfuscating, using language bizarrely and inconsistently, and generally being deliberately vague about what he's saying. Now we appear to be going through another phase of bubb jumping on the bandwagon of any philosophical or scientific theory mentioned and claiming that it supports OS012. I can see why bubb is a creative writer: his writing is certainly creative in the same way the creative accounting is creative i.e., it is inaccurate and dishonest.

Most depressingly of all I still haven't got him to stick to a meaning of "objective". Didn't JonnyFive go through all of this about 15 pages back?

An objective and true idea contains information that is mutually observable to be true to it's value relative to 0, 1, and 2.
By saying "objective *and* true" you are implying that statements can be objective *and* something else.

If i say "The earth is ruled by repetians", is that not objectivly FALSE? Yet, would you honestly say that is an 'objective' statement?
And yet here you are denying that a statement can be objective and false.

Objective is a truth value, it relates to TRUTH.
No, no, no, no, no. Objective is not a truth value! The possible truth values are "true", "false" and (if you're using trivalent logic) "unknown" or (some other value). Please check the wikipedia entry for “logical value”, I can’t post URLs yet.

You have implied before that "objective" means the same thing as "true" (and then blathered on about it actually having things in common... sharing values with... relative to the false... blah blah blah). If that is the case, why bother qualifying statements as "objective *and* true"?

"Objective" describes the referentiality of a statement and its confirmability/falsifiability. Objective statements are those that refer to the real world in concrete (i.e., non-subjective) terms and whose truth value can (in principle) be discovered (identically) by anyone. Furthermore the truth value of an objective statement is independent of the stater.

OS 012 is a metalogical system.
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Objective is a truth value, it relates to TRUTH. It only relates to false and mystery when the objective truth is that a statement is either FALSE or MYSTERIOUS.
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well, it's [your summary is] as close as saying 'the earth circles the sun' when describing the elliptical orbit in newtonian physics.
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OS 012 distinguishes three limits to truth values in our perception of reality, i.e we percieve reality through our ideas. This is a logical assignment, not a hueristic. It is actual, mathematical, and reasonable.
Ok, so from all of this I gather that I was reasonably close to the mark in saying that OS012 is meant to be a metalogic that ascribes levels of reference (objective, subjective, mystery, unknowable, whatever...) to statements. This appears to be the main content of your problem with Randi referring to Steorn or Bush and WMD's, that basically they said something was true (objective) when they didn't actually know (mystery).

Fair comment, people should be honest about declaring their level of certainty. But we have to live with the fact that we know nothing for certain except "I exist" and we have to live our lives through induction and the balance of probability. Far from giving you real "certainty at the base of your knowldge tree" (as you put it) all mystery does is make you certain that you are uncertain. This doesn't solve anything and, as many people have said before, is just a celebration of ignorance. The fact remains that if you want to respond to any statement other than by waiting and seeing you need to get more evidence or take your best guess, and you have not overcome that problem.


However, the idea is potentially a useful tool for discussion and I can see why you'd want it as a dialectic. If you could logically prove that a statement that someone thought was objective was actually subjective or unknowable it could help discussions progress. As someone (drkitten, zaay?) said before, reassessing your level of knowledge is a good thing and should be encouraged. However your system suffers from several fatal weaknesses, all of which have been brought up before:

(i) It is not intuitive, I think that all the rejections that you have received on this and other threads are enough proof of that.

(ii) It relies on people actually agreeing to use it. This would depend on people initially being open to the possibility that what they think they know they only actually believe and could be wrong. The cases where this would be really useful (fundamentalists etc.) are precisely the cases where people will refuse to use this system for this very reason. You earlier said that unreasonable people will not reach a resolution using OS012 but reasonable people will. I'm sorry to break this to you bubb, but if reasonable people sit down to discuss something they will probably reach a resolution regardless of what discussion technique they use. In fact this is a pretty good working definition of "reasonable people"!

(iii) It appears to only allow objective and true statemements into the first category. Which means that in the second category you get objective false statements (e.g., "the moon is made of mozzarella") and subjective statements (e.g., "Betty is hotter than Wilma") into the second category. These are such different types of statements that to conflate them is just weird and potentially scuppers your system. Similarly the third value conflates unknowable statements (e.g., "there is life after death") and statements that can be known in the future (e.g, "tomorrow bubb will explode") and some others. I think zooterkin brought this all up over at badscience.net

(iv) You have provided no detail as to how it works i.e., you have not provided any information on how it logically proves that a statement falls into a particular category. You've hiden behind claims of it being copyright protected and not wanting to put it in the public domain yet (very much like Steorn!), but then why did you bring it here if you're not prepared to provide the details that will allow people to critique it properly (more shades of Steorn). Most people can assess the objectivity/subjectivity/unknowability of a statement anyway, even if they have to be pushed to do so. So how would OS012 help?

(v) Finally and most damningly you have provided absolutely no evidence that it works. You have provided no examples of logically proving statements to be objective/subjective/mystery/whatever. And please do not say "this thread" because we've come almost 30 pages, which is pretty much as far as I think most people are prepared to go and we still fundamentally disagree: you maintain that your system is useful, everyone else "knows" with about 99.9% certainty that it is not.
 
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Just a playful tease, jonny, are these okay? I gotta have a little fun....it's fun, right? Oh come on will someone please laugh with me!


bubblefish, you're just off suspension, and you're already back to your old tricks? You're not joking - and you're not fooling anyone here - so keep it impersonal and civil going forward.
Replying to this modbox in thread will be off topic  Posted By: jmercer

I still fail to understand how insulting people that disagree with you is "fun" or "playful". I think it seriously undermines any argument that you try to make when you attack the people instead of their arguments.

Speaking of which, I would also like to know what it would take for you to consider your theory incorrect or redundant. As you are no doubt aware, falsifiability is one of the central elements of the scientific method, so in what ways is your "master meme" falsifiable?
 
what do you mean 'we'? your hardly contributing anything of value, please do so before considering yourself a member of this set of intelligencia.


BF

ps
Just a playful tease, jonny, are these okay? I gotta have a little fun....it's fun, right? Oh come on will someone please laugh with me!


bubblefish, you're just off suspension, and you're already back to your old tricks? You're not joking - and you're not fooling anyone here - so keep it impersonal and civil going forward.
Replying to this modbox in thread will be off topic  Posted By: jmercer

I really think this insult is too mild to justify a warning. I've certainly done worse, I admit, without being warned (maybe I didn't have fifty people reporting me?).

As to bubbafish's complaint that I'm not adding anything of value, I admit that as well. This would be throwing pearls after swine, as far as I'm concerned.

And..."intelligencia"? Please.
 
"Tit for tat", according to Dawkins, is NOT a "win-win" strategy. It is a strategy that optimizes wins and/or minimizes losses for both sides in which the competition involves mindless, mechanical processes. One side is hard-wired to take a certain approach, another side simply mimics what the first side does. If the opponent uses a "nasty" strategy, in which he attacks without provocation, then "tit for tat" simply minimizes the losses. It could hardly be called "win-win".

It could be said that this happens in nature, since organisms competing for resources are doing so according to instinct, not as part of some well-designed strategy. The best strategies survive because the best strategies survive, not because some organism was "smart" enough to come up with the best strategy.

Human conflict is not analogous. There is a certain amount of mindlessness, yes, due to the fact that there are subconscious processes going on in each participant. However, human interaction is by no means mechanical. It is extremely non-deterministic, and therefore, simplistic game strategy does not work.
 
(iv) You have provided no detail as to how it works i.e., you have not provided any information on how it logically proves that a statement falls into a particular category. You've hiden behind claims of it being copyright protected and not wanting to put it in the public domain yet (very much like Steorn!), but then why did you bring it here if you're not prepared to provide the details that will allow people to critique it properly (more shades of Steorn). Most people can assess the objectivity/subjectivity/unknowability of a statement anyway, even if they have to be pushed to do so. So how would OS012 help?

(v) Finally and most damningly you have provided absolutely no evidence that it works. You have provided no examples of logically proving statements to be objective/subjective/mystery/whatever. And please do not say "this thread" because we've come almost 30 pages, which is pretty much as far as I think most people are prepared to go and we still fundamentally disagree: you maintain that your system is useful, everyone else "knows" with about 99.9% certainty that it is not.

These two things are of central importance. Every one of those threads I found seem to talk a lot about, really, very little. OS 0 1 2 is amazing, it solves conflict, it's a master meme, it uses the "third value", etc. etc.

But very, very lean on how exactly it all works. How are things sorted and categorized? How is the system applied? How does it do anything useful (like solve conflict)?

Also, nothing showing it will, in fact, work. In fact, you don't seem to have really altered the core theory at all based on your internet discussions. As you haven't really published anything, it's impossible to tell.

I'm not exactly sure what's up with the confidentiality. Are you afraid others will take credit for your work? Are you afraid you've designed something that can be patented that others will steal?

ETA: I actually read through most of this thread and notice that you have used personal insults as a means of argumentation in the past on this very forum. By the way, are you still convinced of the existence of "qi"? If so, what evidence do you have for it?
 
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I'm not exactly sure what's up with the confidentiality. Are you afraid others will take credit for your work? Are you afraid you've designed something that can be patented that others will steal?
Interestingly, in one of the threads you linked to in Post #1116, Bubblefish described OS 012 as "free, in the public domain, and open source", which makes his concern about intellectual property rights expressed in this thread look a little on the late side. He might say it wasn't him but one of the other people who he says he "tried to encourage [...] to use the 'bubblefish' moniker and spread it around a bit", but there are enough of Rome's characteristic verbal tics (for example the references to himself as "ol bubblefish" and the missing apostrophes, not to mention the spelling mistakes) for us to be reasonably certain it's him.
 
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Interestingly, in one of the threads you linked to in Post #1116, Bubblefish described OS 012 as "free, in the public domain, and open source", which makes his concern about intellectual property rights expressed in this thread look a little on the late side.

I thought I saw something about that, but I wasn't scanning those threads very thoroughly.

I'm too new here to remember the old BF thread, or else that would've stuck a big red flag up. Anyway, my above questions and comments stand, if BF feels like answering them.
 
No, I can only explain how tit for tat works and is a strategy in online discussions,

Except you demonstrably can't.

The number of factual inaccuracies in what you've posted so far makes that clear.


If your curious about Tit for Tat and game theory in biology, read The Selfish Gene, or take a course at university.

Done both. Heck, I've taught that class.

You would have failed.
 
These two things are of central importance. Every one of those threads I found seem to talk a lot about, really, very little. OS 0 1 2 is amazing, it solves conflict, it's a master meme, it uses the "third value", etc. etc.
...

Also, nothing showing it will, in fact, work. In fact, you don't seem to have really altered the core theory at all based on your internet discussions. As you haven't really published anything, it's impossible to tell.
Sadly Jonny both of these statements point to a conclusion, which many people have come to from reading these threads, namely that Bubblefish/TM is a troll.

If he genuinely had any interest in refining his ideas or making them usable and popular then he would have presented them in much more detail, and, actually responded to criticisms rather than just claiming that he has. An alternative is that he has a vested interest in promoting OS012 and is simply taking a scattergun approach to the web either so he can claim that his idea has been widely discussed (ignoring the fact that it has been uniformly panned), or in the hope that it will get a gushing acceptance somewhere to which he can direct people from his website.

Either way there's an increasingly strong probability that he is simply stringing out this and other discussions for as long as possible simply for the pathetic malicious pleasure of it, or to boost his ego and/or bank-balance.

Which I guess raises the question of why I bothered continuing to post. Well, logic is always interesting and over the course of this discussion I've learnt quite a lot from other posters (JonnyFive particularly, zaay and drkitten, thanks!) and researching elsewhere. Notably, I've not learnt a damn thing from bubb other than how to obfuscate. Having tried to put all the obections to/refutations of bubb's ideas in one place and clarified my own ideas on why his theories are bunk I think I'll leave it unless he *actually* presents his ideas clearly enough to critique and then *actually* engages in proper discussion. However, even if he can bring himself to do that, and he isn't actually a troll, I suspect that his ideas will be frighteningly banal.
 
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Just to clarify, apparently OS012 is what is meant to be open source etc. When bubba starts talking about not being able to discuss something because of intellectual property rights, he is talking about something he has supposedly developed using OS012 (something to do with file sharing that he says results in a win win situation for both the user who wants free music etc, anf the record companies who want to make a profit. It is just very handy for him that the one example he claims where his system has actually resolved conflict with a win-win result, is also something he can't talk about... Just a coincidence I am sure....
 
While we're talking about memes in general, I'd love for Bubblefish to address this:

Wiki list of criticisms of memes

In particular, it's always seemed to me that memes aren't a particularly useful analogy. They're a cute little comparison, but they don't appear to actually increase our understanding or abilities at all.

It's like the concept of "viral marketing", which makes the obvious comparison to biological viruses... except the comparison is highly superficial, and really biological viruses operate in a whole different way. Things like so-called "viral videos" are passed because people like them, ideas are passed on for a variety of complicated reasons, and viruses are passed on through a complex biological process that isn't really all that analogous to the spread of ideas, beyond that very superficial level.

So this concept of a "master meme" needs something to prop it up.
 
While we're talking about memes in general, I'd love for Bubblefish to address this:

Wiki list of criticisms of memes

In particular, it's always seemed to me that memes aren't a particularly useful analogy. They're a cute little comparison, but they don't appear to actually increase our understanding or abilities at all.

It's like the concept of "viral marketing", which makes the obvious comparison to biological viruses... except the comparison is highly superficial, and really biological viruses operate in a whole different way. Things like so-called "viral videos" are passed because people like them, ideas are passed on for a variety of complicated reasons, and viruses are passed on through a complex biological process that isn't really all that analogous to the spread of ideas, beyond that very superficial level.

So this concept of a "master meme" needs something to prop it up.

Isn't it just a modern take on 'grass roots', since 'grass roots' has become more refined to mean a 'movement' rather than just a bottom-up occurance?
 
Isn't it just a modern take on 'grass roots', since 'grass roots' has become more refined to mean a 'movement' rather than just a bottom-up occurance?

It seems that way. Of course it also seems like some people have extended the concept a little further than is practical.
 
I'd just like to add my voice to that of flim-flams in appreciation of the stuff that I've learnt from, as said, the likes of Jonny, zaay and Dr.Kitten.
I appreciate that I'm new here and started straight off on personal stuff with Bubba, but he'd incensed me (and others) over at BS. My mind was already made up about him, and he's shown nothing here to change it. This discussion has followed exactly the same trajectory as everywhere else he posts.
Apologies to all (except TumbleMan, Bubba, Rome) for any offence taken by my rudeness, but this is one troll who deserves it.
 
Neither of these suggest a violation of the laws of thermodynamics.

There seems to me to be plenty of chatter about magnetic monopoles violating the second law here.

http://www.google.com/search?client...oles+violate+the+second+law&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8

And 'mirror matter' doesnt violate the second law, but we still get perpetual motion on 'this side'.

Suggesting, as you did, that the laws of thermodynamics could "theoritically[sic]" be wrong is very different from suggesting that Steorn may have proven a hypothesis of other means to extract energy that do not violate the laws.

Either the laws of thermodynamics are incomplete in relationship to phenomenon, or 'experimental' physics has found an anomaly which appears to violate the second law, or there is no violation of the second law, just a phenomena that is not accounted for in experimental physics, or Steorn is mistaken and made some critical error.

And that is why it is called provisional agreement.

I'm sorry, I dont understand here.

Yes, I am familiar with the Hawking Paradox, and am anxiously awaiting his newest paper on the subject. However, if you will recall, the reason he is putting so much work in to it is not because he thinks thermodynamics are wrong, it is that he thinks he is missing something about black holes.

Yet blackhole thermodynamics was devised because of the logic of the second law, if black holes have entropy, then there is a violation of the second law, so therefore, black holes must not have entropy, and in comes Hawkins with black hole thermodynamics. That's my only point here. Black holes are probably one of the most mysterious things in the universe, I dont think anyone can rule out that the laws of the universe as we understand them hold up perfectly 'inside' of black holes.

His bet was to whether or not Cygnus X-1 was a black hole.

Really, I thought the bet was over violet radiation being detected from black holes, or something like that.

Cripes! Now your dragging unified field theory into this? What other subjects do you think you understand?

I'm not claiming I undersand String Theory or unified field theory the way a scientist does, that would be an absurd claim. I just note the value philosophically and study science and consider the points of view of scientists on the matter. I can understand that if we dont have a unified field theory, then we dont have a comprehensive understanding of how the universe works. "Comprehensive" understanding in particular is something I do understand from reading Bucky Fuller.

By the way....

No True Scotsman fallacy.
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what is a scotsman fallacy?


BF
 
Steorn is compensating scientists that they hand pick to review their product.

so? What does this prove other than they are paying the scientists for thier time to conduct the experiments?

That's like saying we can't trust academic grants or biotech funding for cancer research because the money is for researching thier product.

I dont see how this implies anything other than buisness as usual. It is evidence of buisness and commerce, not fraud.


BF
 
We can't because they are hand picking who gets to do the review. What do you not grasp about how this is direct contradiction to standard scientific methodology?


rigourous science is rigourous science. I dont see how them handpicking the scientists proves or gives evidence of anything. They wanted to find 12 of the most highly qualified and skeptical scientists to verify their claim. They found them. The 'science' of what they do can be held in the same scrutiny of any scientist, what difference does that make?
 

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