Skepticism and The Normal

Yes, or no; have you ever posted on these forums using any of the following usernames: Iacchus, Interesting Ian, Christophera, or Killtown?

It's not Interesting Iain. Not unless he has had some anger management therapy and coughed up that thesaurus.

I thought for a while that it was, but the style is just not the same - less verbose, and less belligerent, and a lot less aggressive.

I would like to thank zaaydragon and JohnnyFive for helping me get to a point of understanding here. When I started reading this thread I was confused because the concept of true/false/don't know seemed logical to me; so I didn't understand why everyone was arguing about it. So I gave up the thread for a bit because I am no mathemetician, and found some of the posts heavy going.

A while later I spotted that the thread is still going on, and also that there has been a bit of controversy (saw threads in forum mgt about it). So I took another look. I have slogged my way through this as best I could, and I now think I understand why bubblefish is wrong. Even if I do not know whether something is true or false, doesn't change the fact that it is either true or false. In the example about whether Al'Sadr is in Iraq, I may not know if this is true or false, but my not-knowing doesn't change the fact that he either is or isn’t. So the value is True or False, and not some other 3rd value. Is it really as simple as this? I'm happy to have it explained to me further if I am still wrong.

Bubblefish, you have said:
I dont have to demonstrate it, it's irrelevant to me that you believe me or you dont, I'm not here looking for believers, I am here looking for anti-thesis.
And
I'm not trying to convince people, I'm here to determine if there is any truth to your anti-thesis.

But it seems to me that this is untrue. You have come with a preconception and absolute conviction that you are correct and everyone who disagrees is wrong. I don't see you honestly weighing up the dissenting arguments against your own beliefs.
 
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Thought experiment.


One honest man, and 100 liars, cheats, and thieves, all in one room negotiating.

Do the 100 liars notice that the honest man is honest?


How can they tell?

Thought experiment:

One deluded half-wit and 100 sages, all in one room discussing ... something.

Does the deluded half-wit notice the wisdom of the sages?

How can s/he tell?
 
It's not Interesting Iain. Not unless he has had some anger management therapy and coughed up that thesaurus.

I thought for a while that it was, but the style is just not the same - less verbose, and less belligerent, and a lot less aggressive.

I would like to thank zaaydragon and JohnnyFive for helping me get to a point of understanding here. When I started reading this thread I was confused because the concept of true/false/don't know seemed logical to me; so I didn't understand why everyone was arguing about it. So I gave up the thread for a bit because I am no mathemetician, and found some of the posts heavy going.

A while later I spotted that the thread is still going on, and also that there has been a bit of controversy (saw threads in forum mgt about it). So I took another look. I have slogged my way through this as best I could, and I now think I understand why bubblefish is wrong. Even if I do not know whether something is true or false, doesn't change the fact that it is either true or false. In the example about whether Al'Sadr is in Iraq, I may not know if this is true or false, but my not-knowing doesn't change the fact that he either is or isn’t. So the value is True or False, and not some other 3rd value. Is it really as simple as this? I'm happy to have it explained to me further if I am still wrong.

That's about the sum of it. But Bubblefish's concept absolutely requires a subjective POV in order to function: that is, his concept is wholly related to YOUR individual knowledge base, not to any objective point of view.

Hence, when a question is posed, the answer is either true TO YOU, false TO YOU, or unknown TO YOU.

In a dialogue setting, he claims that OS012 can be used for two participants to parse out whether any given believe is True, False, or Mystery, through application of the Mystery value.

Unfortunately, this still only involves subjective points of view. So between you and me, Al Sadr is in a Mariotte hotel in Saudi Arabia. Is that true? False? Mystery?

Rome would claim that it's mystery to both of us. But the very simple fact remains that the statement is either true or false, regardless of what we know or don't know. Claiming that a statement is 'mystery' is NOT a resolution, and is therefore NOT a truth value.

It's much like saying, 'Solve for X in the equation X-2XY+4Y+3Z=99', when you're not given Y or Z. Sure, you can manipulate the equation to discover an equation that equals X, but you still haven't solved X. And if we say, "Does X=3", we don't know whether that's true or false, but it definitely is EITHER true OR false. Sometimes we can eliminate values of X as being not possible, though, but only if we REALLY pay attention to what's going on.

Rome would have us believe that we can resolve the equation to equal X=(99-4Y-3Z)/(1-2Y) and that this is meaningful and resolved; yet we haven't resolved anything at all. We've simplified a bit, maybe even determined what we need to solve for X, but we haven't actually gained a value for X yet.

Now, keep in mind I'm not saying that from time to time, analysing one's values isn't a good thing. It's definitely good IF you can make someone admit that what they THINK they know, they really don't know. But to claim that this amounts to a third option in a true/false system is ignorant.

God exists. >>Definitely a true or false statement. Consider from the opposite case: If 'God exists' is not true, what is it? False. If 'God exists' is not false, what is it? True. At no point is it BOTH true and false; and no point is it NEITHER true or false.

Yet he would claim that the truth value of this is 'mystery'. "Maybe God exists, and maybe God doesn't exist..."

Which makes the third value meaningless.
 
Anyone care to speculate why Bubblefish seems to have so much time on his hands???


To speculate why Blowfish has so much free time one only has to know something about spoilt, selfish, rich kids from idiot showbiz families!
 
Zaay,


You apply tit for tat, which I appreciate, but you're tit for tat deconstructs down to the person, where as my tit for tat deconstructs down to the idea.


I'm not intereseted in your belief system, nor am I concerned with changing your belief system. This discussion is regarding the third value. If you're not into Open Source, P2P, the 'human network', Buckminister Fuller, i'm not here to convert you.

You mentioned your own belief systems on a thread a few pages back, you mention that you are 'man of faith' who will discard reason on a 'whim' if it suits you. You can keep your own contradictory and internally conflicting belief systems. I dont care to argue them at all.


My research on dialectic, truth values, and the possible outcome of applying them has been going on for four years now, I can assure you I can spot a misinformed opinion when I see one.

Statements like...

And I know more what goes on in people's heads than you might think possible.

reek of mysticism and beliefs, and you can keep those to yourself.


So, I am going to strip away the irrelevant tit for tat of ours that simply pits your contradictory and inner conflicting belief systems, and focus on your arguments regarding the third value, which is what this discussion is about.


you have said repeatedly that OS012 is about creating an environment in which discussion becomes win-win, where conflicts of ideas are resolved to the satisfaction of both sides.

Yes, I have.

So far, that hasn't happened.

sure it has. Jonny and myself found agreement on the hard nuts, we both learned from each other. This discussion is regarding the third value, period. It's not a discussion regarding our perceptions of each other, conflicting belief systems, or anything else.



I am distinguishing and deconstructing ideas down to their 'core', which in most cases, is founded in philosophy. Reductionism is philosophy

It also works as the foundation of proper science.

this is another misinformed opinion. The foundation of proper science is not the philosophy of reductionism! I'm sure reductionists would like to think so. I think you mean science is the foundation of the philosophy of reductionism.


You're right - I'm not following OS012. It is meaningless.

so why bother with all of these discussions. Bored?

again, posting your belief systems about the internet, which I find utterly boring, are irrelevant to this discussion.

So ideas you have such as..

The Internet is interesting in many, many ways; but as a forum to move and shake the world, it is still largely irrelevent.
Because the Internet is a place where people choose to remain anonymous; where heated discussion only occurs because identity remains obscure; and where actual action is pushed aside. The Internet is the lazy man's path to 'doing something' - precisely because you can come here, post your piece, and disappear, never having actually done anything. The Internet is filled with lies, with false philosophies, with false prophets. Internet resources are always considered suspect until independantly verified. Internet sophists like you are a dime a dozen. In five years, all this discussion will be moot. In ten years, OS012 will be a forgotten chapter in the history of the internet. Maybe even less.

are certainly not pushing the envelope! I don't care to argue the other way. I'm already joined by many brilliant thinkers, futurists, humanists, philosophers, scientists, entrepuners who have vision. I'm not interested in the belief systems of cynics and those caked in resignation.



What truth? I've advanced my ideas quite successfully. It is you who refuse to accept that.

I dont see anyone supporting your four value logic!


You're including the subjective as a primal part of the basis for this system; yet, ultimately, subjective experience is a secondary phenomenon.

Secondary to what? In what order and value? the subjective and the objective are not in competition, we need both of them to get both of them. If your placing a value of one over the other, your simply not thinking objectivly, and using YOUR own subjectivity as your PRIME argument.

Zaay, your inner beliefs are contradictory and internally conflicting. You go on tirades about the 'whims' of others, yet you yourself using nothing but 'whim' to dictate your actions, and even your own philosophy!

Your argument in text states that you think the primacy of the subjective experience is secondary. You fail to consider the 'primacy' of objectivity in unison with subjectivity in my explainations. You then go on to de-evaluate the primacy of subjectivity using soley your own subjectivity!

Those are you own inner conflicts and your own contradictions you have to sort out on your own. I'm not here to work those out with you.

Where is your mystery, before life arose? Where is your mystery, after it dies?

That's another mystery, eh?

Al-Sadr is definitely somewhere.

in iraq or iran?

Dark matter is a concept created by astrophysicists to compensate for an apparent lack of mass.

There is now evidence of dark matter's existence. But what is it if it can't be observed or recorded directly?

You are definitely feeling something.

But what am I feeling?

Osama is definitely somewhere. Osama is definitely feeling something.

hehe, you really dont like 'unknown' do you? Other that stating the obvious assumptions of neccesary truths that are assosciated with everyone's existence (we are all somewhere, we all are feeling), your four value logic here didnt tell us anything regarding the actual inquiery, nor the scenario surrounding them.

From the objective viewpoint - the only viewpoint that matters - all of these questions have true answers. Not one of these questions is mystery.

If you dont have the answer, then it's mystery. Period. Mystery is 'unknown'.

That I don't have those answers is irrelevant.

It most certainly is relevant when we are discussing the neccesity of the third value and the unKNOWN answer! You four value logic system can't address these issues. Period. To address this issues using certainty, not faith, you need a three value system.

With appropriate resources, I could give you all the true answers.

so? so could anyone. If I had the appropiate resources and could time travel, I could tell you what abraham lincoln was doing alone in his bedroom. Til then, it's an unknown.

All you have demonstrated here is that you value ignorance as a truth value. It isn't.


you have a very subjectivly dominant (again, you're own personal primacy is in the subjective world) definition of ignorant. To you it's a value of a person. the word actually means 'not knowing', lacking in information. That's it. I'm ignorant when it comes to partical physics and marine biology, I'm not when it comes to dialectic, philosophy, and media.

Those are unknowns, versus known values such as what is the value for Pi? Where is the Eiffel Tower? How much does an M16A2 weigh, fully loaded? Where is the hypothalamus?

But all of those questions have true answers.

ALL QUESTIONS have true answers in princaple. That's irrelevant. You clouding this argument with your own subjective primacy. Unknown or mystery is a truth value, it means that something is 'unknown', it is 'true' that it is unknown, it is 'true' that we do not know. When you do not know, then the only 'true' answer is 'I dont know'.

Tell me, how do you disable an MLRS launcher prior to missile launch, and stop it from firing, from the exterior?

I dont know

That question, too, has a definite true answer. That you don't know it is irrelevant. But under your system, from what I can tell, you'll accept 'unknown' as a valid answer.

It's an 'honest' answer, and the only place to begin to come to know. If I am delusional and think I know the answer when I don't, I wont ask the appropiate questions to come to know.

You haven't actually said much about what to do with these unknown answers. Most people, even if they don't know, realize there is a true answer, and would seek it if they needed to know. On the other hand, if they didn't need to know the true answer, they wouldn't bother.

exactly. You're confusing the third value as a piece of knowledge, instead of a piece of understanding. Three values is for understanding the knowledge we have, and the certain acknowledgement of the knowledge we dont have.

That's all your third value amounts to -it's an unresolved first value, and that's all it is.

it could be a first value, or a second value, we dont know because it is NOT KNOWN to be either true, or either false.

There are no objective unknowns. All questions have a true answer, and innumerable false answers. That we may not know those answers is irrelevant to the answer itself.

an objective unknown is an objective unknown. What is going on inside of a black hole, or what will occur in the future, are NOT KNOWN to anyone! Thus, an objective unknown.

Okay, now lets explore more of your inner contradictory values.
A proper logic system, which contains many appropriate values on many scales. You're attempting to cram a four value system onto a two value scale, and attempting to toss aside one of the four values. I'm simply demonstrating that any use of multiple scales - like known/unknown - is done a serious disservice by attempting to compress scales together.

zaay, your four value system you just made up last week!

Sorry, but the world simply cannot be broken down into binary, ternary, or quadranary systems. The world is a truly complicated place. Your oversimplifications are meaningless. Your 'third value' is nothing of the sort.

taoism gives a perfectly non contradictory philosophical map of nature, using two values for the basic distinctions and a third value for when they are indistinguishable.

The entirety of western religion and philosophy is based on either bivalent logic or dualism.

We only have dualistic, bivalent, or ternary maps to integrate knowledge. Now your saying it's all really a mystery and our own maps can't properly define it!

Oh the inner conflict......

Here comes another contradiction..

Truth values, in reality, are binary. Knowledge values, in reality, are binary.

wow, you contradict yourself within TWO PARAGRAPHS!

Sorry, but the world simply cannot be broken down into binary, ternary, or quadranary systems.

We know when something is true
we know when something is false
and we know when we do not know.

ANd that's all we need to know;-)

here comes another contradiction...


But using both scales, you have an honest complete picture.

sheesh!

Sorry, but the world simply cannot be broken down into binary, ternary, or quadranary systems.

are you going to make up your mind and resolve your inner conflicts or what?

In ternary, you don't, and no, you can't analyze a false idea any better than you can in any and every other logic system.

more subjective primacy.

Then you're deluding yourself.

the projection is all yours, my friend. Most of your posts are simply trying to argue the primacy of your own subjective philosophy, and to me, they simply are not valuable as they once were.

BF
 
some corrections

Hence, when a question is posed, the answer is either true TO YOU, false TO YOU, or unknown TO YOU.

this is an utter mistake in relating these values.That's only one side of it, the truth values to the point of view. Sure, I either already know it or dont know it. But the answer when given by ANYBODY, including our collective resources, is either OBJECTIVLY TRUE, OBJECTIVLY FALSE, or an OBJECTIVE unknown.

like I said, you're not including the objective side to the analysis because of y our own subjective primacy of your philosophy which clouds you from simply honestly stating " I dont know how OS 012 works yet" and deludes you into thinking you do.

Please dont think you can lecture on this system to others, you have your own problems relating your own philosophy, I dont need you corrupting this one.



BF
 
Their most recent post, btw, about the content of their contract with their jury, reveals even more succinctly that they intend to engage in fraudulent behavior. I believe I can predict their next moves: they are about to engage in publicity moves, in which they will release indistinct photos of their panel at work, discuss the extensive qualifications of their panel, and release short 'sound bytes' showing the awe and wonder expressed by their mystery judges.
.

You keep rockin' that mysticism, Zaay. You keep making the errors that your own subjectivity is the primal OBJECTIVITY sought after.

Eventually, people will stop paying attention to you on this thread. That is a prediction.


BF
 
A perfect example of the bivalent delusion, which eventually must appeal to mysticism.

I refused to answer a yes or no to ARkan's question if I was a member of a set of posters he mentioned.

I refused to answer yes or no for two reasons. One, showing him that although you can frame a question into a bivalent query, your answer may not neccesarily be one or the other!

Secondly, to give a direct example to how two values SUCK for philosophy, trouble shooting, and what have you.

So ARkan, when given a chance to survery the unknown honestly, does he stay honest in the face of the unknown? No! He appeals to mysticism, intuition, and responds....

Fine, then a non-answer from you will be taken as an admission of sock-puppetry, and will be reported to the mods as such.

Your as predictable as a blind man walking a plank.



BF
 
A perfect example of the bivalent delusion, which eventually must appeal to mysticism.

I refused to answer a yes or no to ARkan's question if I was a member of a set of posters he mentioned.

I refused to answer yes or no for two reasons. One, showing him that although you can frame a question into a bivalent query, your answer may not neccesarily be one or the other!

Secondly, to give a direct example to how two values SUCK for philosophy, trouble shooting, and what have you.

So ARkan, when given a chance to survery the unknown honestly, does he stay honest in the face of the unknown? No! He appeals to mysticism, intuition, and responds....



Your as predictable as a blind man walking a plank.



BF

And you've been reported to the Mods as a possible sock. I'll leave it to their tools to determine if you are or not.

ETA: And refusing to answer a yes/no question does not mean their is a third possible answer, it means that you have refused to answer and are being contrarian.
 
If they only thing standing in between the woos believing in the supernatural is this bunch, I'm afraid we are going to be world wide practioners of witchcraft in no time......

I wanted to add to this, that the example put forth by BF demonstrates a shortcoming of his "third value" and displays it to be little more than the same God of the Gaps argument used by ID'ers.

Your making an episteminologically ignorant statement. The belief in God's existence is founded in the bivalent thinking of ancient greece. Ternary thinking does not succumb to higher authority or beliefs in the supernatural. Taoism produced no 'God'. Aristolain logic, however, proved 'God' for the west.


The factual accuracy of the claim of Al Sadr's location, as made by either country, is completely independent from that claiming country's intent.

Right, it's either BS or it's not, right? And public statements by governments are a reflection of public policy. The claims of WMD by the US government certainly have shown the manipulation/ineptitude and delusion of the US Government, right?


It is either an accurate factual representation of Al Sadr's objective geographic location, or it is not.

exactly, and until we know, we dont know where Al Sadr is, period. It's an unknown because the governments have no integrity. We know the Bush admin doesnt because of the WMD claims, right?

Any intent at falsity by the claiming country is a seperate claim, or statement, which can be analyzed seperately from the claim of geographic location and, is itself, a true/false value.

exactly, but we dont know who is lying or telling the truth. So if you build your OP/ED piece on the assumption that the US is correct to support invading Iran, then we have some problems, right?

Now, more information my be derived by having evaluated both statements; and/or the probability of the validity of one may be influenced by having evaluated the other; but at the end of the day they are both binary evaluatable statements.

Probability addresses the third value, unknown. Probablity does not give us certainty, if it did, it woulnt be probability. Probability itself is a third value craft. If there was no third value, there would be no need for probability.

Rather than treating the meta-statement about the country's lying or truthtelling as a seperate binary evaluatable statement, BF would rather treat it as a mystical "unknown" "third value".

again, your confusing your mysticism as my objectivity. The certain answer is we dont know where Sadr is because niether party can be trusted. Simple.

By doing such it is actually removing value from the analysis, rather than adding it.

wrong. by stating we cant tell it's truth or falsity, we naturally will enquire more information to determine further certainty.

And is little different from a IDer biologist looking at the eye of a fish, not seeing how it could have evolved, throwing up his/her hands and saying, "Goddidit!"

Not quite, for the ID'er is using TWO VALUES, not THREE, and making the same logical error you are!


BF
 
Those of you that think ternary truth values cancel out bivalent logic operations are deluding yourself. I use bivalent logical operations when they are appropiate, to the 'KNOWN'. They are not useful to the unknown, and must evolve into probability when in the face of the unknown.

Thus, as someone once claimed about myself "Bubblefish, your using Aristolian logic to show where aristolian logic doesnt work!"

Indeed. Logic is logic.


BF
 
And you've been reported to the Mods as a possible sock. I'll leave it to their tools to determine if you are or not.


oh I'm so worried and scared! Since I know who I am and you dont, I have certainty and you dont.

Since your appealing to intuition and mysticism to resolve your truth values, you have UNCERTAINTY when you could have had certainty.

ETA: And refusing to answer a yes/no question does not mean their is a third possible answer, it means that you have refused to answer and are being contrarian.

It means I gave you the answer that I wished to, and nothing more. Stop trying to apply the courtroom Socratic method to a ternary updated and refined dialectic, it will get you no where.
 
A perfect example of the bivalent delusion, which eventually must appeal to mysticism.

I refused to answer a yes or no to ARkan's question if I was a member of a set of posters he mentioned.

I refused to answer yes or no for two reasons. One, showing him that although you can frame a question into a bivalent query, your answer may not neccesarily be one or the other!

Secondly, to give a direct example to how two values SUCK for philosophy, trouble shooting, and what have you.

So ARkan, when given a chance to survery the unknown honestly, does he stay honest in the face of the unknown? No! He appeals to mysticism, intuition, and responds....




BF

I have come up with a new version of OS012 that leaves out the third value entirely. I don't want to oversell it, but this will definately revolutionize civilization as we know it.

How does it work? Well, for every proposition, there will be two boolean variables: One representing whether the proposition is true or false, one representing whether or not sufficient information exists to assign a value to the first variable. Both variables are false by default.

If the value of the second variable is true, then the value of the first is evaluated and a decision is made based on the result. If the second value is false, then the decision-making process branches to another proposition.

The advantage this has over the three-value system is that boolean algebra can be employed to simplify the various arguments. (On the other hand, Bubba might see this as a disadvantage, for when it comes to convincing people that OS012 is a good idea, clarity is not your friend. )

In terms of the number of operations required, it is exactly the same as the three-value system, it's just that branching occurs at different places. Also, it could potentially be more economical in terms of information stored, as no value need be assigned to the first variable until the second one is true.

How about it? Do I win the Nobel prize?
 
You have come with a preconception and absolute conviction that you are correct and everyone who disagrees is wrong. I don't see you honestly weighing up the dissenting arguments against your own beliefs.[/SIZE]

ChillZero, this is an argument, an intellectual tit for tat regarding truth values. Jonny5 provided the only logical rebuttals, and it's clear that there was agreement on the mathimatical distinctions used, and uncertainty (in Jonny's eyes)on how they are useful in dialectic (which I am not here trying to convince anyone of, I dont care if you dont accept OS 012 based on the argument, that's your own choice).

I point out contradictions in my opponents arguments. Please dont expect me to consider contradictions as truth values!


BF
 
Probability addresses the third value, unknown. Probablity does not give us certainty, if it did, it woulnt be probability. Probability itself is a third value craft. If there was no third value, there would be no need for probability.

So did you just admit that OS012 provides nothing that isn't provided in greater detail, representational accuracy, usefulness, and mathematical rigor by elementary probability theory?
 
I have come up with a new version of OS012 that leaves out the third value entirely. I don't want to oversell it, but this will definately revolutionize civilization as we know it.

al, if you have what you say you have, and it's more refined and easier than what I have, I will work to support you, and change OS 012 to reflect your argument!

And I mean that. I'm not interested in being right, I'm interested in truth. If you have a greater truth, I will glady lose mine and join you on your side.

That's how OS 012 works. Does your new OS work the same way?


BF
 

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