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Should humans colonize other planets?

It's a worthwhile goal to pursue colonization of other planets.

  • Strongly agree

    Votes: 78 75.7%
  • Somewhat agree

    Votes: 16 15.5%
  • Neutral/Maybe

    Votes: 2 1.9%
  • Somewhat disagree

    Votes: 4 3.9%
  • Strongly disagree

    Votes: 3 2.9%

  • Total voters
    103
What about the survival of the poor? Does anyone care about that?

I guess I don't see how colonizing another planet with some tiny colony will improve the lives of 6 billion people. Sorry but you haven't made any kind of successful argument for colonizing.
The survival of the species isn't a strong enough argument for you? Pray tell, what would be strong enough?
 
Blah, blah, blah. Forget a few hundred (or thousand) details did you?

1. We keep humans in close NEO orbit only 400 Km away. They are completely dependent upon ground resources - for energy, transport, air, food, water, replacement parts (iow - everything). How successful have these orbitting space stations been? Marginal at best.
Not sure what your point is here. Are you denying that humans have survived for over a year in zero-gravity?
2. For my second time (and along with drkitten), I will mention the utter failure of Biosphere 2 which showed conclusively that we cannot even maintain a biosphere ON EARTH! let alone on a cold, dead, desolate planet far away.
Sorry, I'm not up to speed on this giant disaster. In what way did this attempt fail and how does it conclusively show anything at all?
3. We DO NOT have the necessary resources for colonization of Mars. We have them for a limited exploratory trip tp and return from Mars (at a huge financial and resource cost). We have no tenable solutions for air, water, food, and sufficient energy. For colonization, you can't bring it with you. You must be able to create, recycle, renew.
Of course we have the resources. We may not have the finished blue-print but that is why the endevour needs to begin now.
So, no, we don't have 'everything now'. There are quite a few missing things from your simplistic formulization. As drkitten said, this is like the AI folks who at one time kept chanting, "Almost there. Almost there." Such an endeavor will be tenable when it is tenable. We do not have the technological resources to make the endeavor tenable - not now and probably not for a hundred years.
What exactly is the breakthrough which you seem to think is missing?
Naive optimism is just as bad as woo-wooism. Again, I'm a realist. When we can 'really' do such a thing, then we can discuss doing it.
Why continue to delay? Let's decide to go, look at what technologies are "missing" and put dedicated effort into finding these technologies.
 
And the capacity!
We don't have the blue-prints now, but we will only get those by dedicating effort to that effect.
Yes, we can find idiots who will volunteer for almost anything.

Including reality shows.

What we do not have is the basic capacity, or even any promising leads about hw to get there.
You'll need to expound on that last sentence. What major new breakthrough in physics is needed in your opinion?
Right now (2005), we don't even have the capacity to go to the moon. The old Saturn V's are junk, rusting away in museums, and no one knows or remembers how to build them any more. If we wanted to re-start the Apollo project, we would need to essentially re-engineer everyting from scrach -- and I hope that with modern technology and materials we would do a much better job of it the second time around. But it would still be a major research undertaking just to do what we've already done.
Of course it would be a major undertaking. But even you can't claim that it would be an almost insurmountable task given that it was done almost 40 years ago. And how was it done? By having set a goal and funding it not just monetarily but politically. In short, by having the political will.
In broad terms, we have the capacity to put multi-tonne objects into low Earth orbit, and we have the capacity to put small objects (Pathfinder was about 250kg) essentially anywhere in the universe we like if we're willing to take long enough.
Yes, and when the "land a man on the moon" endevour was initiated, you barely had the capacity to but people in LEO.
Do you have any idea how long it would take to deliver Biosphere 2 to Mars in 250kg loads? And Biosphere 2 didn't work!
Why would you think that colonizing Mars might require sending a Biosphere2 there?
We can deliver 250kg to Mars. Okay, that's two (2) dead human bodies.

That's one live human body, and about 100 days worth of food and water. The launch windows are about 26 months apart. So you get to eat for the first three months of your stay, and then the next 23 months are an intensive weight loss program.
If we can deliver 250 kg to Mars, we can do so multiple times. While we continously build up a depot to build a base, we can work on how we deliver the humans themselves.
Ooops, and I forgot to account for breathable air, too..... Well, we'll send some of that in two years, too.

Actually, since it takes six months flight time --- we ran out of food halfway to Mars.

Here's a simple question for you. Using technology we have available today, explain to me how we could get a single living human to the surface of Mars.
By deciding that we need to and then allocating the necessary funds to do it.

And if you still feel that a major breakthrough is necessary, please explain where.
 
Not sure what your point is here. Are you denying that humans have survived for over a year in zero-gravity?
My point is that in LEO, they are not far from home and receive everything via transports (ever here of those shuttle and rocket launches to 'resupply' the ISS?). This is not how a self-sustaining colony on another planet could possibly work.

To your comment, it is that micro-gravity (there is no 'zero-gravity') has deliterious effects. Each of these astronauts require many hours every day put aside for exercise to maintain bone and muscle integrity. The longest space station attendant (a Russian cosmonaut) took years to recover from his stint. And this isn't even mentioning the increased risk of cancer from long exposure to radiation outside of the atmosphere.

Sorry, I'm not up to speed on this giant disaster. In what way did this attempt fail and how does it conclusively show anything at all?
What it says, publicity stunt or not, is that we are not prepared to sustain recyclable resources on another planet. If you like, we'll send you to Mars first and you can figure out where to get your air, water, and food from the vast amounts there (that is sarcasm). None of our current technologies are sufficiently efficient (some aren't even tested beyond small trials).

Of course we have the resources. We may not have the finished blue-print but that is why the endevour needs to begin now.
We don't even have a started blue-print! No one has ever even researched in a meaningful way how such a thing would be accomplished. I've already mentioned using the Moon as a research platform for colonization. Here's one even closer to home. We could 'colonize' the oceans. Many of the same issues exist and they could be normalized by setting up some of them to be self-sufficient (to develop the technologies and remove the problems). We haven't even done this yet and you want to go to another planet this unprepared?

What exactly is the breakthrough which you seem to think is missing?
The ability to recycle air and water, renew food supplies, renew/create energy, mine for raw materials to maintain and expand, manufacture of those materials for same reasons. Do you really think that it would be possible to continuously supply a distant colony from Earth resources? If so, then you really are insane. That would also defeat the entire "the Earth is about to explode, thankfully we have that Mars colony" point wouldn't it?

Why continue to delay? Let's decide to go, look at what technologies are "missing" and put dedicated effort into finding these technologies.
Because of bureaucratic nonsense, popular lack of interest, distractions, you name it. One person (or a million) isn't enough. You need an internationally funded, long term R&D, planning, and execution architecture for something like this. I just read an interesting message from Robert Zubrin. Since the former NASA Administrator O'Keefe was replaced, Griffin, the new one, is trying to implement realistic plans. But the plans for an HLV (heavy launch vehicle capable of 125 metric tons as compared to the shuttle's measely 20 tons) have been pushed off until the end of the shuttle program - in 13 years. That means no start of such an endeavor for over a decade. That's over 40 years since the last Moon landing. And who knows what will occur in that intervening time to further reduce our will and capability to perform such plans.

Humans are very good at thinking about doing things. Our problem is actually doing them - and there are almost always differences in our conception of how things need to be done (in our thinking) and the reality of how they are actually to be done.
 
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My point is that in LEO, they are not far from home and receive everything via transports (ever here of those shuttle and rocket launches to 'resupply' the ISS?). This is not how a self-sustaining colony on another planet could possibly work.

To your comment, it is that micro-gravity (there is no 'zero-gravity') has deliterious effects. Each of these astronauts require many hours every day put aside for exercise to maintain bone and muscle integrity. The longest space station attendant (a Russian cosmonaut) took years to recover from his stint. And this isn't even mentioning the increased risk of cancer from long exposure to radiation outside of the atmosphere
Yes, those with experience of zero-gravity (or micro-gravity if you like) were in LEO. Why is that of interest as far as our experience of such conditions are concerned?
What it says, publicity stunt or not, is that we are not prepared to sustain recyclable resources on another planet. If you like, we'll send you to Mars first and you can figure out where to get your air, water, and food from the vast amounts there (that is sarcasm). None of our current technologies are sufficiently efficient (some aren't even tested beyond small trials).
Sorry, but my question was: "In what way did this attempt fail and how does it conclusively show anything at all?" I look forward to your reply.
We don't even have a started blue-print! No one has ever even researched in a meaningful way how such a thing would be accomplished. I've already mentioned using the Moon as a research platform for colonization. Here's one even closer to home. We could 'colonize' the oceans. Many of the same issues exist and they could be normalized by setting up some of them to be self-sufficient (to develop the technologies and remove the problems). We haven't even done this yet and you want to go to another planet this unprepared?
No, I want to launch the effort now.
The ability to recycle air and water, renew food supplies, renew/create energy, mine for raw materials to maintain and expand, manufacture of those materials for same reasons. Do you really think that it would be possible to continuously supply a distant colony from Earth resources? If so, then you really are insane. That would also defeat the entire "the Earth is about to explode, thankfully we have that Mars colony" point wouldn't it?
We already know how to recycle air and water, create energy and mine new resources. I was asking what the major breakthrough in physics, not technology, is?
Because of bureaucratic nonsense, popular lack of interest, distractions, you name it. One person (or a million) isn't enough. You need an internationally funded, long term R&D, planning, and execution architecture for something like this. I just read an interesting message from Robert Zubrin. Since the former NASA Administrator O'Keefe was replaced, Griffin, the new one, is trying to implement realistic plans. But the plans for an HLV (heavy launch vehicle capable of 125 metric tons as compared to the shuttle's measely 20 tons) have been pushed off until the end of the shuttle program - in 13 years. That means no start of such an endeavor for over a decade. That's over 40 years since the last Moon landing. And who knows what will occur in that intervening time to further reduce our will and capability to perform such plans.
My highlighting. As I said early on, the only thing missing is the political will.
Humans are very good at thinking about doing things. Our problem is actually doing them - and there are almost always differences in our conception of how things need to be done (in our thinking) and the reality of how they are actually to be done.
I agree.
 
Yes, those with experience of zero-gravity (or micro-gravity if you like) were in LEO. Why is that of interest as far as our experience of such conditions are concerned?
We have the experience of keeping humans in space for over a year now. - Your quote.

In response, I said that we can keep humans in space for a long time but that they are completely dependent on Earth resources being rocketed up to them and that there are deliterious effects of prolonged micro-gravity which have not been sufficiently abated (by the way). That's why it has no real bearing on planetary colonization (you mentioned it) but some real bearing on the difficulties of transporting humans to said planets (for colonization or not).

Sorry, but my question was: "In what way did this attempt fail and how does it conclusively show anything at all?" I look forward to your reply.
It showed that a manmade self-sufficient habitat (very much like what will be needed for a planetary colony) was untenable at the current time. It failed since the air levels dropped to near fatal and food dwindled - the naive system didn't work. Can you show references to other research into self-sufficient habitats wherein the occupants went for years without any external support? Thought not. I believe NASA or similar has done preliminary researches like this, but only for a month or so at a time. That ain't going to cut it for a permanent colony. We are ill prepared.

No, I want to launch the effort now.
Quote: One person (or a million) isn't enough. You need an internationally funded, long term R&D, planning, and execution architecture for something like this.

When you can get everybody to work on plans, to agree on a plan, put the plan into motion, then the effort will be launched. Expect a tad resistance.

We already know how to recycle air and water, create energy and mine new resources. I was asking what the major breakthrough in physics, not technology, is?
We can recycle air and water on Earth. We're talking about recycling air and water on a much larger scale than a bathosphere or space station and since air and water are not abundant commodities on other planets, we'll either need processes to make them and have very efficient systems to recycle them (99.99%) or you'll run out of them. How about taking the raw materials and turning them into components for the colony? How are you going to smelt ores, form plates and beams, make electronic components, mold plastics? Are you going to send entire manufacturing facilities to Mars? I think you underestimate the complexity of what a 'permanent colony on Mars' actually entails.

My highlighting. As I said early on, the only thing missing is the political will.
And the R&D and experience and proper technologies. Technologies are not impossible, but most of them currently don't exist or are in their embryonic states.

Why is there a need for new 'physics' to invalidate the idea that we are prepared? We could build flying/hovering cars and floating cities in the sky. They aren't beyond physics. Why don't they exist yet? So, stop bringing up the silly argument, thank you!!
 
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Just out of interest:-

If we assume that another superlifter is buildable, capable of putting, say 100 tons into orbit and giving it the necessary push tto get it to mars. and that we have the technology to recycle air, food, water etc. once there, how much would the colony weigh? i.e. how many lifts would be required? I suspect that it's an awful lot of fuel, but would it be enough to seriously impact the economy in terms of rising oil prices (would the laws of supply and demand come into effect?)

Just this consideration alone would seem to make it tricky. I'm no expert, but I'm guessing we have to wait for some sort of orbital tower or skycrane before we can even think about putting enough hardware into orbit to push off to Mars. And we can't make materials strong enough for that yet.
 
I must say I'm not too bothered about the survivial of the species past a few generations of my own children. What happens in 100,000 years doesn't seem worth bothering about

Seeing as Mars will be swallowed up when the Sun blows we'd need to develop intergalaxial travel which seems very unlikely. Also, it's hard to forsee a situation where the Earth's environment gets so bad that it's worse than Mars'.
 
The survival of the species isn't a strong enough argument for you? Pray tell, what would be strong enough?
Jay wants the survival of the poor. I think Jesus put it best; "The poor will always be with us." Jay, people are poor for reasons that have very little to do with money. There are poor in the richest of counties. Rest assured in the coming centuries when the questions of colonization becomes moot, there will be poor people on those colonies.
 
I must say I'm not too bothered about the survivial of the species past a few generations of my own children. What happens in 100,000 years doesn't seem worth bothering about
Well, I'm sure not to you. But any people living 100,000 years from now may be a little concerned.

Seeing as Mars will be swallowed up when the Sun blows we'd need to develop intergalaxial travel which seems very unlikely. Also, it's hard to forsee a situation where the Earth's environment gets so bad that it's worse than Mars'.
Earth's environment does not need to get as "bad" as Mars to make life extremely difficult for us. But then, there's always Soylent Green.

Well, we got roughly four or five billion years (if our species is still around, which I seriously doubt. Evolution and all) to come up with alternatives. Though I'm sure that there still will be "people" who will say that it's a waste of time.
 
Just out of interest:-

If we assume that another superlifter is buildable, capable of putting, say 100 tons into orbit and giving it the necessary push tto get it to mars. and that we have the technology to recycle air, food, water etc. once there, how much would the colony weigh? i.e. how many lifts would be required? I suspect that it's an awful lot of fuel, but would it be enough to seriously impact the economy in terms of rising oil prices (would the laws of supply and demand come into effect?)

Just this consideration alone would seem to make it tricky. I'm no expert, but I'm guessing we have to wait for some sort of orbital tower or skycrane before we can even think about putting enough hardware into orbit to push off to Mars. And we can't make materials strong enough for that yet.
An off world colony would have to be something that would be built slowly over time. Although if something like the space elevator ( http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2000/ast07sep_1.htm ) ever gets built, things would go much more cheaply and smoother.

I don't think that any space colony would ever be truly self-sufficient. Just like countries today, they would be reliant on international commerce. Every country on the planet does some form importation. We will overcome issues of recyclable air, water, agriculture and even energy. But no colony would be without something being imported.
 
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I don't think that any space colony would ever be truly self-sufficient. Just like countries today, they would be reliant on international commerce. Every country on the planet does some form importation. We will overcome issues of recyclable air, water, agriculture and even energy. But no colony would be without something being imported.
A "colony" on Mars would depend on a great deal of sophisticated equipment. Although repairs could be made locally, spare parts and new equipments could not. Such a colony would never be even half way self sufficient.

Perhaps, in a hundred years or so, that outlook may change. But for now it is a waste of resources to persue such fantasies. Developing ever more capable robotic craft for near earth and interplanetary exploration is a far better use of our limited resources. Robotic craft are RIGHT NOW exploring Mars, comets, asteroids, and providing breathtaking infrared views of the cosmos. Manned flight sucks dollars away from such useful projects. The Voyager spacecraft are at the edge of the solar system and reaching into interstellar space, but dollars to continue monitoring them has been diverted to manned programs that don't advance science.

Since powerful robotic modules are a key to even a short term human presence on Mars, it makes more sense, and advances the technology, to concentrate on robotic exploration for now. It will provide valuable knowledge and expertise should a manned presence become more feasible in the future.
 
A "colony" on Mars would depend on a great deal of sophisticated equipment. Although repairs could be made locally, spare parts and new equipments could not. Such a colony would never be even half way self sufficient.

Perhaps, in a hundred years or so, that outlook may change. But for now it is a waste of resources to persue such fantasies. Developing ever more capable robotic craft for near earth and interplanetary exploration is a far better use of our limited resources. Robotic craft are RIGHT NOW exploring Mars, comets, asteroids, and providing breathtaking infrared views of the cosmos. Manned flight sucks dollars away from such useful projects. The Voyager spacecraft are at the edge of the solar system and reaching into interstellar space, but dollars to continue monitoring them has been diverted to manned programs that don't advance science.

Since powerful robotic modules are a key to even a short term human presence on Mars, it makes more sense, and advances the technology, to concentrate on robotic exploration for now. It will provide valuable knowledge and expertise should a manned presence become more feasible in the future.

Ok has no-one ever played Sid Meiers Civilization? The way research works is you find out something, this leads to something else, which in turn leads to something else. If you stop researching in Civilization, then when you start again it still takes you the same amount of time to get to the next discovery. If you wait 100 years, then your research will be 100 years behind when you start it up again. It's not a resource you can store. Robotic probes are brilliant, the voyager probes just keep on going, but if we want to send people to Mars then we need to develop craft that can carry people, hence manned missions are important.

Edited to remove sexism
 
Nah, don't colonize other planets, let's just go extinct with this one when the sun fries it. :dig:
http://www.aavso.org/observing/programs/pep/pepnewsletter/may2001.shtml

Mind, we do have a few more billion years to quibble over this.

Probably not even that long. Some new dark age could send us back to the neolithic period until extinction, so society never again reaches our level of sophistication. And then there are plenty of cataclysms that could wipe us out long before the sun starts to expand.

Ok has no-one ever played Sid Meiers Civilization? The way research works is you find out something, this leads to something else, which in turn leads to something else.

The way research works is you switch to a Fundamentalist government and steal all the tech as you conquer your foes.
 
You know as well as I that humans cannot live without citric acid (i.e.: otherwise developing scurvy).
Vitamin C is Ascorbic acid, actually; and there are sources that are higher in vitamin C than citrus fruits. Peppers are much higher in vitamin c (the first large-scale isolation of ascorbic acid was done using Hungarian paprika peppers), and they can be easily grown hydroponically.
 
Vitamin C is Ascorbic acid, actually; and there are sources that are higher in vitamin C than citrus fruits. Peppers are much higher in vitamin c (the first large-scale isolation of ascorbic acid was done using Hungarian paprika peppers), and they can be easily grown hydroponically.

Thank you for the correction... :)

Though I think that this is minor compared to the other hurdles.
 
It showed that a manmade self-sufficient habitat (very much like what will be needed for a planetary colony) was untenable at the current time.

Actually, what it showed was that a manmade self-sufficient habitat designed by idiots was untenable.

I would advise whoever is in charge of the Planet X Colonisation Program not to hire idiots in any capacity.
 

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