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Schrodinger's Rapist: When is uncritical thought ok?

All winky-face jokes aside, if you're so self aware about how insensitive you are, maybe you should make more of a concerted effort to not be a dick when talking about rape since there's a pretty definite chance that some of the participants and readers of this thread have been victims of sexual abuse. That's really all I was saying. I hope I don't need to impress upon you how awful being a victim of sexual abuse is and the lasting effects it can have on a person. That's all. The only argument I was making is that the hyperbolic way you dismissed the possibility of rape by a woman is potentially extremely hurtful.

Except for the fact that it's still a non-sequitur for what I was trying to say there, and a mis-representation of what I was actually saying. I answered it with a joke at my own expense the first time, but ultimately I could have just called it a non-sequitur in the first place and moved on.

Basically, you do have my sympathy, but I still don't have to address a refutation of a point I wasn't actually making.

Still, sorry to hear about that.

I don't have the numbers on hand. Feel free to look them up. I'd assume that they reflect the fact that men are overwhelmingly more likely to commit a violent crime (especially against a stranger) than women are. Sexism doesn't enter into it until you start trying to explain the numbers with gender-based assumptions.

Except, again, that's not what I was doing.

I think all you need to adjust is your attitude. Your risk assessment seems accurate enough.

Except for the fact that a risk assessment was all I was doing.
 
Actually, let's use the real numbers in a risk assessment.

The baseline of a guy being a rapist is 1/60.

Applying the above modifiers, for a black guy it becomes 1/60 x 16/12 = 1/45. For a white guy it becomes 1/60 x 50/60 = 1/72.

Both are frankly in a range where exercising caution is wise. Both are in a range where you shouldn't automatically trust either as far as you could throw them.

So, no, racism still wouldn't be justified with those numbers. Because automatically giving the other guy more trust is still the wrong assumption.

Look at your own numbers. An average black guy has a 60% greater chance of being a rapist than a white guy. So, would you agree if she said she was more cautious around black men? Wouldn't she be justified in doing so by the logic so far?

"Racism still wouldn't be justified" and "automatically giving the other guy more trust" are semantic dodges. Answer the simple question of whether she could justify being more cautious around black men (as she certainly felt justified in being more cautious around face tattoos).
 
Right. Out of all the brouhaha and people calling it man-hating and god knows what else if a woman even is aware that someone could possibly be a rapist, and 8 pages of my pleading for the woman's defense and against trying to legitimize rape, I'm relieved to know that I came across as the most deserving to be called out for insensitivity. No, really, it makes my day to know that I topped one guy's calling it "misandry" if the woman actively tries to avoid being raped, and another one calling her "anti-social" for the same risk avoidance, and another guy's calling it "bigotry, prejudicial and uncritical" based on a gross strawman of what the author was saying, and yet another one's apparently thinking there's any imaginable situation when it's the woman's fault if a man accosting her in a dark alley "needs" to get aggressive and shout at her more, and God knows what else, _I_ singlehandedly topped it all and deserved to get called insensitive for... saying her approach to avoidance is not sexist. Even though it matches even your assessment of risks. But me saying it? Man, that's topping the insensitivity scale.

Bah, humbug, why am I even trying?
 
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Because "rape" is a powerful word. Applying the brush as broadly as possible is a potent weapon against one's detractors -- and why care about what it does to cheapen victims?

I'm thinking about writing an article on how 1 in 4 women suffer from a mental disorder and men should treat any woman they meet as unstable and a potential problem. They could possibly allow their mental disorder to confuse them, and since they already consider you a potential rapist, there's a possibility they could falsely accuse you of rape for just about anything.

Best to avoid them all together, I mean 1 in 4? You're playing with fire. :rolleyes:
 
Look at your own numbers. An average black guy has a 60% greater chance of being a rapist than a white guy. So, would you agree if she said she was more cautious around black men? Wouldn't she be justified in doing so by the logic so far?

"Racism still wouldn't be justified" and "automatically giving the other guy more trust" are semantic dodges. Answer the simple question of whether she could justify being more cautious around black men (as she certainly felt justified in being more cautious around face tattoos).

I'm saying it's stupid to even pretend that a situation where group B is only 60% more likely to be dangerous than group A, and caution is advised for both, is even remotely equivalent to a situation where group Y is something like 100 _times_ more likely to be the danger than group X.

I get it that some people just need to pretend it's somehow equivalent to racism, but no banana.
 
I'm saying it's stupid to even pretend that a situation where group B is only 60% more likely to be dangerous than group A, and caution is advised for both, is even remotely equivalent to a situation where group Y is something like 100 _times_ more likely to be the danger than group X.

I get it that some people just need to pretend it's somehow equivalent to racism, but no banana.

Clearly caution is scalable; it is not a switch that is either on or off. Consequently, as the author makes clear, there are situations or progressions that increase her caution. I am asking if the actual crime statistics based on ethnicity may be used to justify her increase in caution. You continue to dodge. You are also the only one who has mentioned racism thus far.
 
I think we all have enough experience to know that you can be a jerk in a lot of ways that don't involve sexually assaulting someone.
For example: you could tell men they're out of line wanting to talk to others in public because they're all potential rapists. That would be an example of being a jerk.
First, nobody is saying don't talk to men in public. She outlines specific situations where a woman may be uncomfortable (alone, at night, without an easy exit) or when a woman is clearly uncomfortable with a man's advances. Nobody is suggesting that women start screaming "Potential rapist!"

So....what do you think about men telling women that they can't speak to them at church? Are they being jerks?
I can say that EVERY woman I know has many stories that, at best, make you cringe, and at worst turn your stomach.

For every sexual assault there are countless instances when a woman is left wondering if something terrible is going to happen.
Every woman I know too. It's a part of life that you are going to be groped or approached in a lewd and creepy way. It happens even in daylight on busy roads, but it's always worse when you're in a more vulnerable state.

There's nothing wrong with what she's doing or what she's saying, she just doesn't word it properly. Then her talking about guys with tattoos not approaching anyone, that seems a little odd???
She's saying that some guys need to know that they may not be as appealing to a broader group of women. If you have poor hygiene habits, most women won't want to chat you up. If you're a guy with tattoos, it's probably okay to approach women who seem to be of a similar mindset. If you start hitting on older, more conservative women, they may be a little warier of you. Yes, most guys with tattoos are super nice guys, but it would make my antenna go up if one approached me for something.
 
So, everybody's agreed then? Me trying to kiss Natalie Portman after, say, a very friendly lunch and a lingering handshake at the car, is perfectly acceptable?

As long as someone films it so we can laugh at the slap, followed by the beatdown by her bodyguard on YouTube.
 
I don't see it that way at all. The author mentions all sorts of criteria she uses to assess the danger level: where are we, is it light or dark, who else is around, how is this man dressed, what is his demeanor. And she adjusts her level of caution accordingly. Much of the article is pointing out to men how these variables affect women's attitudes, fears, and receptiveness to being approached.

Yes, but her predication is still "This man is a threat." As opposed to "This man is likely not going to try to hurt me." Her conclusion doesn't exclusively follow from her premises. I'm not saying that it's necessarily any worse than my proposal, her's just isn't the only possible conclusion and I don't see that she's given convincing reasons to accept her viewpoint as the most reasonable.

I've come to realize that perhaps the most fallacious thing of all was ever treating this article as a cogent logical argument to begin with. There are far too many enthymemes to be able to ascertain whether or not she's being reasonable. I think it's incredibly difficult to defend her specific conclusion, logically over a less conservative approach or "The best way to avoid being raped by men is to cut off contact with men altogether. " (Or numerous others.) It's a matter of ideology and while any of these conclusions may be subjectively valid, they're far from being objectively true.


If you were only assessing the validity of the argument, that would be true. But you were also making consequence-based arguments, claiming that her attitude is bad because it is antisocial. "Antisocial" is not a logical flaw in an argument, it's an assessment of consequence. So I think you're moving the goalposts here, unless you'd like to state that you're not claiming any negative consequences.

It's definitely tangent from the OP. It wasn't my intention to use consequence-based arguments as support against the validity of her argument. You demanded, in several posts, what some potential consequences where and I said consequences were irrelevant to the validity of the argument, but attempted to give an answer anyway. As it's just conjecture and not really the issue anyway, I'm happy to drop it.

I've dealt with the racial analogies repeatedly in this thread. I don't find it a persuasive argument, mainly because it seems to rely on just citing the magic words "racism" and "discrimination" without giving thought to why we consider racial discrimination a bad thing, and whether or not those same considerations apply here.

I don't really feel as though you've 'dealt' with racial analogies. You've dismissed them and said they're not convincing, but you haven't shown they're fallacious.

Even if you don't agree with what I've said above I think that my contention that she's "judging the likelihood of an individual's actions based on the actions of a minority, some of whom belong to the same group as the individual." still stands. If it's acceptable to judge the potentiality of an individuals future actions based on actions which were committed by another person in the past, is there not a logical pathway to taking action against those future actions? Wouldn't that be removal of individual rights, and, ergo, discriminatory?

(I acknowledge that this is still on the 'consequences' side of the discussion.)

Should sex-separated bathrooms be banned? If your answer is "no," then does it follow that you support racially segregated bathrooms? I assume not.

Having sex-separated bathrooms is, in theory, due to physiological differences between the sexes. (Although, the sex-separation is largely a social tradition, there's no real objectively valid reason to have them, it's just for mental comfort.) The intention to rape, and therefore the threat to others, is a psychological one - an area where men and women are the same. The mental differences between men and women are not inherently significant, just as the differences between races are not inherently significant. ie. Men's brains and women's brains essentially function the same way; all human DNA is essentially the same. The comparison between sexual difference and racial difference for bathrooms isn't analogous to comparison between sexual discrimination and racial discrimination. For bathrooms, one is actual difference vs. perceived difference, whereas for discrimination, they're both perceived differences.

Saying that it's justifiable to see men greater threats than women doesn't stand to reason. Unless you're appealing to statistics, but then we get in to that whole thing again.

Fine, it's explicit. I wouldn't call it a fallacy; at most it's a claim. And if you want to insist that the author is claiming that every woman on the planet thinks the way that she does, then I will agree with you that it would be an inaccurate claim. But I think interpreting remarks that literally is taking things a little too far. When you write about rape or dating advice or any other gender-related topic, you either end up making some generalizations along the way, or making your article unreadable because you're constantly inserting disclaimers like "most" and "many" and "of course, this may not apply to you."

I would still call it a fallacy. I don't think it would render the article any less intelligible to have said "Because, for many women, it is." instead of "Because, for women, it is."

I also take what she's written literally because it's what she wrote. I'm not interested in conjecturing about how literal she was being. If she didn't mean it, she shouldn't have wrote it. I think good writers can be articulate and unambiguous without sacrificing entertainment value. (Another tangent, I'm really not trying to start an analysis of her writing style.)

"Increased" from what? From what you think is appropriate? Well, yes, for you that would be inadvisable. I'm not quite getting what your point is here. We all decide what precautions we feel are reasonable for ourselves, and there are subjective factors that affect that. This woman seems quite familiar with the relevant data, so it's not an issue of her being uninformed or ignorant.

Increased from the individuals normal, day to day, perception of threat. She says her threat level is lower when at church with her mother, (seems odd to me, but it's her prerogative,) than it is in a dark alley by herself. It seems, she's advocating making the increased "dark alley" state the baseline and then tempering it when appropriate. Why not make the "church with mom" state the baseline and increase it as necessary. Is there a logical reason to adopt one over the other?

I think we're back to semantics, because you seem to be interpreting "is a threat" with "is a rapist." A "threat" is something that has potential to harm you. From her point of view, every man has that potential. Every dog I see on the street is a threat to bite me. The vast majority are probably well-trained, well-behaved dogs, but while there may be clues, I can't tell for certain which. I personally might choose to stop and pet some of them (with their owner's permission), but someone else -- either because he doesn't like dogs as much as me, or considers a dog bite a more serious harm than I do -- might choose to give every dog a wide berth because they're all threats to bite, and I can't say that's faulty reasoning.

I agree, this is semantics. Unfortunately, it has repercussions on the validity of the argument. Even people on this thread who are on the "good article" side of the fence have difference perceptions of what she meant by 'threat'. How are we to know? Saying my criticism isn't valid because I'm not using a specific definition of 'threat' doesn't do anything to the integrity of my criticism, unless you can show unequivocally that your definition is correct.

With your dog analogy - which is your default stance? Do you automatically cross the street unless the dog looks especially docile, or is your default stance to assume the dog is probably safe unless you see evidence otherwise?

I don't get your point here. Some guys (claim to) misinterpret body language, and try to claim it as justification for rape, so therefore trying to interpret body language to decide whether and how to start a conversation with a woman is bad? That seems to be throwing an entire nursery of babies out with the bathwater. I'm sure you don't mean that, so I'll wait for you to clarify.

I'm saying she's suggesting that is possible to subjectively generate an objective interpretation of ambiguous behaviour. Just because a women is reading, doesn't mean she doesn't want to be disturbed. I've had times where I'm reading on transit, but would welcome an interruption. Just because a women is facing me and looking me up and down, doesn't mean she wants to talk to me. This happened to me three or four times coming home yesterday. They were likely looking at the large, irregularly shaped object I was carrying, but it took me a minute to realize it, as I carry it all the time and don't think of it as anything out of the ordinary. I'm offering the anecdotes only as examples of how signals could be misinterpreted.

And what's wrong with that? That's what considerate people in a society do. Those who don't are regarded as inconsiderate.

In this situation, there are a wide range of considerate actions that are available. The author is suggesting to extrapolate, based on subjective interpretation of ambiguous data, which one is correct, before any interaction begins. In the absence of convincing data, all men should assume that all women share her particular point of view.

If you replace "all" and "universal" with "many" and "general tendencies regarding" then I think that's probably accurate. She's making some claims about how women generally perceive and react in particular situations, and asking that men avoid putting women in fear.

That's a fairly moderate interpretation. I think if you take what she's said literally, the language is stronger than that and she's putting the responsibility of preventing women from being frightened on men.

Perhaps the generalizations bother you a lot more than they do me. Again, I defy you to write any article on this or a related subject that doesn't employ either the occasional express or implied generalization, or bogs down in disclaimers

What bothers me is that she presents the article as giving practical advices and then muddles the whole thing up by citing extreme examples of poor behaviour by men.

Specifically, if you have truly unusual standards of personal cleanliness, if you are the prophet of your own religion, or if you have tattoos of gang symbols or Technicolor cockroaches all over your face and neck

There’s a man with whom I went out on a single date—afternoon coffee, for one hour by the clock—on July 25th. In the two days after the date, he sent me about fifteen e-mails, scolding me for non-responsiveness. I e-mailed him back, saying, “Look, this is a disproportionate response to a single date. You are making me uncomfortable. Do not contact me again.” It is now October 7th. Does he still e-mail?

Yeah. He does. About every two weeks.

These, to me, are not indicative of the normal behaviour of otherwise balanced men and don't contribute anything to the supposedly informative natural of the piece. I certainly hope she doesn't actually think that the average man can't tell that these behaviours are unattractive to a [insert qualifier here] of women.
 
She's saying that some guys need to know that they may not be as appealing to a broader group of women. If you have poor hygiene habits, most women won't want to chat you up. If you're a guy with tattoos, it's probably okay to approach women who seem to be of a similar mindset. If you start hitting on older, more conservative women, they may be a little warier of you. Yes, most guys with tattoos are super nice guys, but it would make my antenna go up if one approached me for something.

Is this a problem? Nobody I know would ever try to talk to a girl if they weren't bringing their "A" game. And I've never seen a circus freak go after a super model you know what I mean. Men aren't oblivious to how things work.

This is the type of thing you see on TV. The punks get on a bus and start harassing an innocent woman, then Robo Cop shows up. "Hit on this citizen".

I'm not saying it doesn't happen or can't, but this is something you see all the time on TV or in movies. It's like she's talking to woman's fears and not reality.
 
Her 'advice' gives insight into one woman's perspective--that is all. It does not apply to men that want to approach women.

She cannot speak for all women, so to give a circumstance and say never approach is invalid. All you can say is that in some circumstances women will be less receptive to an approach. The bottom line for the man is that it doesn't really matter. If you are a rapist, that article means nothing. If you are not a rapist, you aren't going to rape...so don't worry about it. Focus on making yourself attractive.
 
Yes, but her predication is still "This man is a threat." As opposed to "This man is likely not going to try to hurt me."

Ok, I think we're going in circles, so rather than repeat myself I'm going to step out of this discussion now.
 
Is this a problem? Nobody I know would ever try to talk to a girl if they weren't bringing their "A" game. And I've never seen a circus freak go after a super model you know what I mean. Men aren't oblivious to how things work.

This is the type of thing you see on TV. The punks get on a bus and start harassing an innocent woman, then Robo Cop shows up. "Hit on this citizen".

I'm not saying it doesn't happen or can't, but this is something you see all the time on TV or in movies. It's like she's talking to woman's fears and not reality.

This would be one of those situations where you need to actually listen to what women tell you. Once again, no woman I know who lives in a major city has less 15-20 stories of strange men approaching and harassing them in situations where they felt incredibly vulnerable.

I can't tell if you're still in a trolling mood or if you're legitimately incredulous about the testimony that the woman in the OP (as well as many, many who responded in the comment section) offered.

They passed laws in New York to keep groups of men from harassing women as they walk by construction sites. This was dismissed as just stopping the workers from whistling, but the abuse was much more intense and frightened a sizable number of women.

So now you're claiming that all of these women don't know what they're talking about because those sorts of scenarios seem unlikely to you. You don't have any evidence or anything substantial, just your personal doubt founded on pure ignorance.

And you're surprised that women would be insulted by that arrogant dismissal of their perspective?
 
This would be one of those situations where you need to actually listen to what women tell you. Once again, no woman I know who lives in a major city has less 15-20 stories of strange men approaching and harassing them in situations where they felt incredibly vulnerable.

I can't tell if you're still in a trolling mood or if you're legitimately incredulous about the testimony that the woman in the OP (as well as many, many who responded in the comment section) offered.

They passed laws in New York to keep groups of men from harassing women as they walk by construction sites. This was dismissed as just stopping the workers from whistling, but the abuse was much more intense and frightened a sizable number of women.

So now you're claiming that all of these women don't know what they're talking about because those sorts of scenarios seem unlikely to you. You don't have any evidence or anything substantial, just your personal doubt founded on pure ignorance.

And you're surprised that women would be insulted by that arrogant dismissal of their perspective?

No, were considering the actual statistics compiled over decades to come to the conclusion that rapists don't approach women on the bus.

What don't you understand?

ETA: I might add that you're the one trolling this tread. You came in late and have only derailed the real discussion. Perhaps you should read both threads and get a clue as to what is being discussed?
 
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No, were considering the actual statistics compiled over decades to come to the conclusion that rapists don't approach women on the bus.

This website, Holla Back New York collects stories of women being harassed on the street, on the bus, on the subway to various degrees - Yelling, inappropriate touching, public masturbation, groping. Go read a few. There are hundreds to choose from.

Sure, very few end in penetrative rape but how is any woman who is approached by one of these creeps supposed to know that?
 
@3bodyproblem: But if you think that no guy ever would approach a woman in less than perfect hygiene or manners or while wearing something offensive, then why is it such a crime if she tells people not to do those faux pas? I mean, if you think it doesn't happen, then nobody trips her alarms, and everyone is happy, right?

Although in reality, I only have to remember high school and college for some very public cases of guys who... well, I don't know if they intended to bring their D game or it was a fine example of Dunning-Kruger Effect and grossly overestimating how A-class their game is, but it was a heck of a lot less than A game in any case. And that's putting it mildly. Ditto if you don't think the local circus freak ever thought he's got not only a right to go after the prom queen, but some kind of entitlement.

Plus, really, if both she and a bunch of other women tell me that they have been accosted by people putting up something a lot less than A game, why would I distrust them?

And, sure, maybe it wouldn't be anyone you know. I mean, obviously you have well mannered and cultivated friends, and all that, and it's commendable that you keep such company. But the real world is a bit more diverse than that. The IQ curve does go both ways from the average, and the Hare Psychopathy Checklist scale does go all the way to 40, although the average guy from your friend list probably scores 2 or 3.

Even that factor alone, well, is enough for me not to doubt a priori than 1 in 60 can be a rapist. We're not all built the same, believe it or not. As I was saying, we're not clone troopers. About 1 in 30 guys is a sociopath, and 1 in 100 is a full blown psychopath. Even though the other 29 in 30 are likely nice and considerate people. (Not saints, mind you, but you get the idea.) That only 1 in 60 rape, well, it already means that half the sociopaths find other passtimes.

At any rate, we're talking outliers there, not something representative for every male that ever lived. You don't have to take it as being threatened by _you_ specifically. Some people are very different from you, and probably from most your friends. Is it that difficult to believe that some would actually do things you or your friends wouldn't?
 
This website, Holla Back New York collects stories of women being harassed on the street, on the bus, on the subway to various degrees - Yelling, inappropriate touching, public masturbation, groping. Go read a few. There are hundreds to choose from.

Sure, very few end in penetrative rape but how is any woman who is approached by one of these creeps supposed to know that?

You obviously don't understand the difference between rape and inappropriate behaviour.

The author's premise is that women live in constant fear of being raped or killed, not the subject of lewd or inappropriate touching and comments.

Nobody has suggested this isn't a problem, but what has been suggested is that "RAPE" is an inflammatory word that isn't supported by the data.

If you are a 40 year old woman saying that for every 6 men that approach you 1 is a rapist you are wrong. You are absolutely wrong.

The author doesn't seem to believe that because she acknowledges their are situations where the probability drops, but she doesn't clarify to what extent.

That's what seems to bugging the OP about how the article is written. She doesn't give examples appropriate to the stats she cites. The examples she gives have a much much lower probability than 1 in 6.

If you don't understand what I'm telling you then so be it. I don't believe you have any intention of listening, you just want to push your agenda, and that's fine. But don't expect anyone to believe 1 in 6 men on the bus are potential rapists to the strangers they meet.
 
@3bodyproblem: But if you think that no guy ever would approach a woman in less than perfect hygiene or manners or while wearing something offensive, then why is it such a crime if she tells people not to do those faux pas? I mean, if you think it doesn't happen, then nobody trips her alarms, and everyone is happy, right?

I never said that. I said her fear that this man intends to RAPE her is unwarranted.

If a woman pulls out a gun and shoots a man intending to rape her, AFAIC, she is only engaging in self defense.

If a woman pulls out a gun and shoots a man because she doesn't like his tattoos she is a sadistic murderer.

Got it? Do you understand how the threat of rape differs from the threat of being approached by a man with less than perfect hygiene?
 

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