Desert Fox
Philosopher
- Joined
- Feb 4, 2014
- Messages
- 6,147
For those wondering, in case of a tie vote in the SCOTUS, the lower court ruling stands without a new precedent being set (meaning a similar issue could be appealed to the SCOTUS at a later date). So even if the Republican party does its obstructionism and prevents Obama from nominating someone, it is likely that it won't hurt much in terms of current cases before the court. Most controversial issues would end up 4-4 now that Scalia isn't there anymore. Long term it could be bad if a republican is elected to president, but I see the odds of that happening are pretty poor at this time.
I'd put a bet down that Obama won't get a nominee selected before he leaves.
I still think that without Scalia's voice, Kennedy might be easier to persuade.