• Quick note - the problem with Youtube videos not embedding on the forum appears to have been fixed, thanks to ZiprHead. If you do still see problems let me know.

Romney on intrade

Where will Romney bottom out on Intrade

  • 31-32%

    Votes: 6 14.0%

  • 30-31%

    Votes: 3 7.0%

  • 29-30%

    Votes: 4 9.3%

  • 27-29%

    Votes: 1 2.3%

  • 25-27%

    Votes: 4 9.3%

  • Less than 25%

    Votes: 25 58.1%
  • Total voters
    43
JoeTheJuggler said:
Have you got any evidence for this beyond your memory? I'm pretty skeptical of that claim.
Click to expand...

No I do not, I'm just remembering the general tenor of BBC coverage which tends to be non-committal until the last moment if the contest is close.
 
zeggman said:
Romney's creeping back up on light volume, now 30~31.
Click to expand...

Time and sales chart indicates some humorous bits: look at 1:08pm, 1:28pm, and 1:48pm. Sharp vertical spikes followed by an immediate reversion right afterwards. Right now it's doing pingpong between 30.x and 32.

Candlestick chart is nice to watch this with.
 
When should we expect the Intrade pendulum to begin it's final swing one way or another?

After the first exit polls or preliminary results are broadcast, regardless of which state is reporting?

After the battlegrounds put out preliminary results?
 
Conservative talk radio seems to be succeeding in getting people to discount the polls, if nothing else. Hannity had a guy on talking about how the long lines in Republican strongholds meant that Obama couldn't possibly win in Ohio. Romney's up to $3.30 -- my guess is that this represents Hannity selling the last of his shares to one of the suckers who listens to him.
 
6% now.

And up to 7.5%.

And 9.8%.
 
Last edited:
It was on 0.5% a moment ago!
 

Attachments

  • Screenshot from 2012-11-07 13:37:08.jpg
    Screenshot from 2012-11-07 13:37:08.jpg
    31.7 KB · Views: 5
Looks like it's fluttering around $0.50 - $0.75 right now. The cliff held out longer than I thought it would, but...
 
I came in, popped over, saw it at 8, thought $8.00, panicked for a minute, then realized...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Back
Top Bottom