jj said:
Otherwise, accuracy through the atmosphere at 200 miles is going to be, well, nonexistant.
I agree, but the specification calls for suborbital re-entry... arc up, out of air, curve down, nose to target... all you really need is solid aerodynamics that will keep the projectile from wandering.
Guidance systems wouldn't be impossible, of course... but heck, the old battleships with their 16 inch guns had some pretty darned good ballistic accuracy.
Here's some statistics.
They fired shells slightly at a target slightly over 19 miles away, and 14 out of 15 shells landed within 250 yards of the target... 8 within 150 yards.
Now, there are inherent issues with this type of weapon... one is that the explosive charges being used aren't exactly the same, although they're as humanly close to identical as possible. This causes some variation in the trajectories.
Another issue is that the ship rocks during firing... so even when 5 shells are fired at a time, there's some variation between shells. Then, of course, the barrels are hot after firing... which changes the weapon characteristics slightly.
So in the end, you get a shotgun spread pattern effect. (Still, 14 shells within 250 yards from 19 miles away is amazing for an unguided ballistic attack!)
A rail gun would be a lot more accurate. No explosives... no "rocking" of the ship due to explosive firings; and lastly, no changes in characteristics from heating.
If you add to that an almost verticle launch with a suborbital parabola, I'll bet you could land an unguided kinetic weapon within 100 feet of a target 50 miles away or more.
And if launched from space, the calculations would be even easier.
