It sounds like you just recently came across the concept of limits and are trying to apply it to the topic at hand but are failing.
Jabba said:P(H|E)=P(E|H)P(H)/P(~H) = (7,000,000,000/ ∞)*.99/.01 = Δx→0
I think that he's written this hash of pseudo-math as a way to look important and technical to fool the mathematically disinclined, as you're saying here, but when people ask him what it means, he's then able to switch right over to the wishy-washy, pseudo-philosophical nonsensical language he's also been deploying here.Yes, for certain values of "recently." Jabba's most recent comprehensive fringe reset contains this gem:
Lots of howlers in there, of course, but the latest clause is somewhat telltale. Δx→0, if course, is a snippet of the fundamentals of differential calculus. The rate of change in a function f:X→Y can be estimated over some interval [xi,xj] in X by calculating
f(xj)-f(xi)
________ .
xj - xi
In this formulation the quantity xj - xi may also be notated Δx to denote a general case instead of our determined interval above. Sir Isaac Newton derived the functional algebras of differential calculus by observing the behavior of
lim Δx → 0: Δf(x) / Δx
for different f. For well-defined, well-behaved functions and compositions of functions, the limit converges to a closed form that is a new function f':X→Y representing the rate of change as a function of x, valid for all x.
The symbol x appears nowhere in Jabba's formulation, and the notion of Δx or the limit as Δx → 0 has no meaning in Jabba's formulation. Just as he confessed he doesn't understand Bayes' theorem (as is evidenced by his inability to reproduce it correctly above), it is obvious he doesn't understand the notion of a limit or its role in mathematics. He's apparently just copy-pasted some phrase he may have seen or heard somewhere in hopes that it will convince the mathematically illiterate that he has made a case. It's a very cargo-cult approach to the problem: throw up enough obscure notation and someone who doesn't know what he's looking at may be convinced you've proven the existence of an immortal soul, or that 0 = 1.
Jabba -
This hurts your argument.
A single run of a universe is, at least vaguely, analogous to a single lotto drawing. Maybe nobody has the winning numbers that time around. But the more universes there are, the more likely that the combinations necessary for life will eventually arise.
An infinite number of universes may in fact guarantee that you will, at some point, exist. The fact that you find yourself in such a universe is as meaningful as a goldfish finding itself in a particular bowl at a carnival game.
False.
A specific brain exists in a specific spacetime continuum, occupying a specific set of spacetime coordinates.
This is the scientific definition of identity. Identical objects are differentiated by their spacetime coordinates.
In fact, your argument Supports Jabba's immortality contention, suggesting that any human brain, produced by any universe, which is identical to your brain, is you. That could happen a zillion times in an infinite multiverse.
Which would be literal hell for people who are mentally impaired, such as chemically imbalanced schizophrenics. There would be no mercy or respite for them.
suggesting that any human brain, produced by any universe, which is identical to your brain, is you.
If you can use zero or infinity in a fraction, you can literally prove anything.
Dave,
- It is not any non-zero number, but it is teeny.
False.
... occupying a specific set of spacetime coordinates. This is the scientific definition of identity...
Can we calculate the probability of Jabba's arguments ever convincing anybody?
Based on the sample of people in this thread, the standard frequentist probability would be 0, while under just about any reasonable Bayesian model it would be 1 (or nearly 1). Interesting case of frequentist and Bayesian inference leading to opposite conclusions.
Based on the sample of people in this thread, the standard frequentist probability would be 0, while under just about any reasonable Bayesian model it would be 1 (or nearly 1). Interesting case of frequentist and Bayesian inference leading to opposite conclusions.
And as usual caused by a sampling bias not accounted for in a frequentist model. In this case, that you're sampling from a thread on a skeptics forum.
Dave,
- It is not any non-zero number, but it is teeny.
this is the scientific definition of EVENT, as far as I know. Can you point me to the documentation of the scientific definition of identity you are referring to? Thank you in advance
Define "you" as you're using it.
This is incorrect, barring all predictably effete attempts to subjectively quantify 'impaired', 'mercy', 'imbalanced' , or 'respite' objectively.
That would be the "you" that you can distinguish from an identical doppelganger in another universe.
That would be the "you" that you can distinguish from an identical doppelganger in another universe.
Or two identical Volkswagens?
False.
A specific brain exists in a specific spacetime continuum, occupying a specific set of spacetime coordinates.