jsfisher
ETcorngods survivor
- Joined
- Dec 23, 2005
- Messages
- 24,532
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Jabba,
Please address the recent questions put to you rather than attempt yet another fringe reset.
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8. That’s because the likelihood of what it is being compared to, weighed against (my existence, given OOFLam) is virtually zero.
12. The obvious answer is “~OOFLam”…
15. I don’t know what I am -- but, I know I am.
24. So, we don’t know what we are, but we do know we are.
26. But further, if I didn’t exist it would be as if there were nothing – there might as well be nothing.
27. And, if I never existed, there might as well never be anything.
28. And, what if you never existed?
32. There’s something wrong here…
33. There’s something “magical” here.
34. Science seems to be missing a serious piece of the puzzle…
35. Again, there’s something magical here…
Or immortality either.Alright guys we've taken the dice analogy far enough and we're losing people with it.
You still can't prove immorality with statistics.
WTF? That's completely wrong.
Yes, while Toontown appeals to solipsism to tell us we should also appeal to solipsism to see why his solipsism works.He's literally appealing to solipsism to show that science might be wrong.![]()
1. Toontown doesn’t agree with me, but I think I, basically, agree with him…
2. Why my existence isn’t just dumb luck:
3. Whereas, very unlikely things do happen (e.g. winning the lottery), they are unlikely given (based upon) specific hypotheses, or models.
4. And -- re the lottery -- were it not for the rules, the oversight, the results and the media (including the Internet), we wouldn’t be so sure that luck was the answer.
5. If, for instance, we discovered that the winner was secretly the 2nd cousin of the person most in charge of the lottery, we’d have 2nd thoughts…
6. Which is the point -- if we have a reasonable alternative to luck, we don’t have to assume that it's luck…
7. And here, what can be counted as “reasonable” doesn’t need to be very probable at all – in fact, it can be extremely improbable.
8. That’s because the likelihood of what it is being compared to, weighed against (my existence, given OOFLam) is virtually zero.
9. IOW, we have an alternative hypothesis which is much more probable – given my existence – than is OOFLam.
10. The posterior probability of OOFLam – given me -- is much smaller than the posterior probability of ~OOFLam.
11. But, the ultimate question is, “In which case am I more likely to be here – OOFLam, or ~OOFLam?”
12. The obvious answer is “~OOFLam”…
13. And then,
14. I’m the only “thing,” “process” or “illusion” that I know exists.
15. I don’t know what I am -- but, I know I am.
16. Everything else could be my imagination
17. We humans take our personal existence (selves) totally for granted.
18. We act as if we had to exist.
19. Though scientifically speaking, that’s the very last thing we should take for granted.
20. Again, according to modern science, the likelihood of my (and your) current existence is virtually zero.
21. Yet, I’m the only thing, process or illusion that I actually know exists.
22. And, you’re the only thing, process or illusion that you actually know exists (if you’re not a robot)).
23. The rest could be our imagination.
24. So, we don’t know what we are, but we do know we are.
25. And again, we know we are – even though the scientific likelihood of each of our current existences is hardly more than zero…
26. But further, if I didn’t exist it would be as if there were nothing – there might as well be nothing.
27. And, if I never existed, there might as well never be anything.
28. And, what if you never existed?
29. And then, if you think about it, nothing really makes sense, anyway.
30. Once there is something, reductive materialism (the basic axiom of science) just doesn’t work…
31. Now, if there were nothing, that would make sense!
32. There’s something wrong here…
33. There’s something “magical” here.
34. Science seems to be missing a serious piece of the puzzle…
35. Again, there’s something magical here…
And this, after you've already demonstrated that you are probabilistically challenged by arguing that I'm wrong because it isn't an absolute certainty that the (3) was rolled with the 6 sided die...
Clue: If there is enough information to establish absolute certainty, then you don't need probability.
Hint: Think before you post. Read before you think.
1. Toontown doesn’t agree with me, but I think I, basically, agree with him…
3. Whereas, very unlikely things do happen (e.g. winning the lottery), they are unlikely given (based upon) specific hypotheses, or models.
But doesn't this apply to every brain, and indeed every object in the universe?One organization, one place, one time, one universe, one Jabba-brain.
No and yes. His arguments so far boil down to two options, both of which are fatally flawed.But doesn't this apply to every brain, and indeed every object in the universe?
I've genuinely been trying to follow your argument. I freely admit I'm not a statistics or probability person, but I get lost at this point. I still can't see why this make any brain (or any object) including my own different from any other, or any more or less likely.
Dave,Jabba, when you say the original and duplicate Jabba selves would be different, do you mean they would experience differently, or they would feel differently, or think differently, or react to experiences differently?
I understand that each self would have its own subjective perspective. I just don't understand how they are different from each other.
Dave,
- I doubt this will help, but as you know, I'm pretty stubborn.
- To me, that's how they are different -- they have different subjective perspectives. They have different consciousnesses.
- That difference is the result of being physically different entities. Certain physical "things" have consciousness. Maybe, all animals have some sort of consciousness. Maybe plants do also. I guess it's possible that even rocks are somehow conscious. Mt Rainier?
- Whatever, it seems to me that any bit of consciousness would inherently bring with it a "self" of some kind... And different entities will naturally have different selves -- different awarenesses.
No and yes. His arguments so far boil down to two options, both of which are fatally flawed.
As it stands, the answer to your question is no, because Toontown's argument implicitly requires not only an awareness of self but an awareness that is something separate from self. As such, it is exactly the same "special snowflake" circularity inherent in Jabba's argument.
Toontown is talking about particular brain, and the probability of that particular brain is 1 in a gajillion.And, in a bid to head off the next misunderstanding: Loss Leader may not have been talking about a specific brain. But I was
[A]s you know, I'm pretty stubborn.
To me, that's how they are different -- they have different subjective perspectives. They have different consciousnesses.
That difference is the result of being physically different entities.
Certain physical "things" have consciousness. Maybe...
Whatever, it seems to me that any bit of consciousness would inherently bring with it a "self" of some kind... And different entities will naturally have different selves -- different awarenesses.
But if we could somehow exactly duplicate you, then both “yous” would think the same thing. They would both think they were not only the only Jabba, they would both think they were the original Jabba, and they would both think that the other Jabba was wrong.Dave,
- I doubt this will help, but as you know, I'm pretty stubborn.
- To me, that's how they are different -- they have different subjective perspectives. They have different consciousnesses.