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President Obama and Afghanistan: Speech Critiques

What does that have to do with anything?
We agree that Karzai is a liability, and we agree that Taliban not in power is a US goal. What you asserted is that Karzai is in office indefinitely due to US desire that he remain so. If that wasn't your position, then please clear that up, given what you wrote that I responded to. Post #97. And I ask you again, why did the US put so much effort into supporting the election that Karzai was at risk of losing?

DR
 
The Taliban should be negotiated with, or simply ignored.

The Taliban do not negotiate in good faith (and what do you think we could offer them anyways?), and since they continue to attack us, ignoring them is not an option.
 
Question, not answered. Are you okay with imposing what you think is correct morally at the edge of a bayonet?
If it were about invading Afghanistan in the absence of 911, probably not. But if it is about walking away knowing the Taliban will re-emerge the same way they did when we walked away after the Soviets left, then yes, I think we need to stay militarily. The reason is we contributed a significant amount to the creation of the Taliban in the first place.

We supported the militant uprising when they were a thorn in the side to the Soviet occupation. When the Soviets pulled out, the Taliban in all their horrendous cruelty to women emerged.

But as to the focus of our soldiers in Afghanistan, it has to be an effort to build up the society so that there is no vacuum for the Taliban when we leave. This is what I have a little hope Obama has recognized though I am not certain. Currently the Taliban both within Afghanistan and Pakistan are recruiting and brainwashing young boys via the Madrassas. Poverty stricken kids get an education and food while being indoctrinated. (Similar to the missionary model mind you.) If we don't address that root, we will just be wasting our time.



I dunno. An objection that Obama didn't acknowledge the truth is.. um.. sure, valid. But your way of saying it.. isn't.
My way of saying it? Is there some taboo against honesty here? I'm evil for speaking the truth about America's history? Wow!
 
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If it were about invading Afghanistan in the absence of 911, probably not. But if it is about walking away knowing the Taliban will re-emerge the same way they did when we walked away after the Soviets left, then yes, I think we need to stay militarily. The reason is we contributed a significant amount to the creation of the Taliban in the first place.

We supported the militant uprising when they were a thorn in the side to the Soviet occupation. When the Soviets pulled out, the Taliban in all their horrendous cruelty to women emerged.
This is true, but it isn't why we went to war with them in 2001. We went to war with them due to their giving safe haven to Al Qaeda, and providing them material aid and support, and telling us to screw off. Bill Clinton shot a few Tomahawks into Afghanistsn, at Al Q training camps. At that point, any vestige of us/them connection from the Soviet era was pretty much dead. A pity that attack didn't find Bin Laden at home.
But as to the focus of our soldiers in Afghanistan, it has to be an effort to build up the society so that there is no vacuum for the Taliban when we leave.
Got it, nation building, which is a part of what's been going on since 2002. The President's speech suggests, in his "civilian surge" sound byte, that such activities will become more robust. You like, right?
This is what I have a little hope Obama has recognized though I am not certain. Currently the Taliban both within Afghanistan and Pakistan are recruiting and brainwashing young boys via the Madrassas. Poverty stricken kids get an education and food while being indoctrinated. (Similar to the missionary model mind you.) If we don't address that root, we will just be wasting our time.
True enough, but that was going on before Obama's time, and will be going on most likey after his time, and he probably hasn't a tool to stop that. Also not part of his speech. Pakistan policy has become the 800 pound gorilla in this room. I'll find you a link to a nice article on that, and India's influence. It's very interesting. Here: http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14984901
Is there some taboo against honesty here? I'm evil for speaking the truth about America's history?
No, your objection to Obama's rhetoric on that score is a reasonable critique of his speech.

DR
 
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This is true, but it isn't why we went to war with them in 2001. We went to war with them due to their giving safe haven to Al Qaeda, and providing them material aid and support, and telling us to screw off. Bill Clinton shot a few Tomahawks into Afghanistsn, at Al Q training camps. At that point, any vestige of us/them connection from the Soviet era was pretty much dead. A pity that attack didn't find Bin Laden at home.
The question was about military intervention solely for reasons the Taliban were so atrocious. My answer was about if it were hypothetical and we were not there yet, or based on the fact we are there. So the fact we invaded Afghanistan for another reason is not relevant to my answer.

Got it, nation building, which is a part of what's been going on since 2002. The President's speech suggests, in his "civilian surge" sound byte, that such activities will become more robust. You like, right?
As for nation building since 2002, we weren't doing the kind of nation building under the Bush Presidency that was useful until almost the end of his term when it was obvious he had failed so miserably and he changed course. A civilian surge has to be Afghan or Iraqi civilian surge. Just bringing in foreign civilian contractors will not be helpful.

True enough, but that was going on before Obama's time, and will be going on most likey after his time, and he probably hasn't a tool to stop that. Also not part of his speech. Pakistan policy has become the 800 pound gorilla in this room. I'll find you a link to a nice article on that, and India's influence. It's very interesting. Here: http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14984901
I'm not sure why it is relevant that the Madrassas were an established Taliban recruitment tool before Obama was elected. And I don't believe they are inevitable after we leave. If they are, in their current state anyway, we should leave now and not lose any more soldiers. You cannot change the problem if you do not address the roots of it.

So I ask you, were you aware of how much worse the Taliban were treating women from the usual regional poor treatment of women? Were you aware of Mavis Leno's campaign and/or had you seen the film, "Beneath the Veil" before 09-11-01?
 
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So I ask you, were you aware of how much worse the Taliban were treating women
Yes, it was one of the reasons Afghanistan attracted attention as a failed state, and as an HR disaster, during the Clinton administration. The political climate in America didn't support doing much about it. There were other fish to fry, in the Balkans for example. I'd need to go back and check, but my memory tells me that the US was getting shirty with Pakistan at the time, over their HR issues among other things, and thus delayed the sale of F-16's to them. Also tabled transfer of some second hand frigates. Congressional block of an executive branch program.
http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/pakistan/aircraft/f-16.htm
ETA: On the F-16 issue, it looks like Congress initially blocked in during Bush 41, and Pres Clinton was not able to move it forward, so they worked on a different deal. The frigates (Knox Class and Perry class) I recall being a sticking issue during early Clinton administration. My notes are not in electronic form, so it may not be worth digging up. I recall some of this due to the "failed states" research project I did during staff college. We addressed Afghanistan, Haiti, Mozambique, and Bangladesh. I focused on Haiti and Mozambique, my partner on the two in South Asia.

Seems the failed states list changes from time to time ... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Failed_States_Index

That once again raises my question to you: do you feel it is a good use of our blood and treasure to pursue women's rights in, for example, Afghanistan?



DR
 
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And as for Osama Bin Laden, someone thinks they know where he is, but they don't. Finding and killing him seems a good idea, still. This clipped from an AP story that cites Jones (Nat Sec Adviser) as having said Obama has been in and out of Afghanistan, basically moving between Afghanistan and Pakistan at various times.
During a visit to Pakistan in late October, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton caused a stir by chiding Pakistani officials for failing to press the hunt for al-Qaida inside their borders. She said she found it "hard to believe" that no one in Islamabad knows where the al-Qaida leaders are hiding and couldn't get them "if they really wanted to."

Gates said he could not confirm recent news reports that bin Laden had been seen in Afghanistan earlier this year. BBC News reported last week that a Taliban detainee in Pakistan claimed to have met in January or February with an unidentified associate who said he had seen bin Laden just days earlier in Afghanistan, possibly in Ghazni province.
Oddly enough, Osama Bin Laden was reported to be moving in and out of Pakistan and Afghanistan in 2004, when I was more involved with such things.

Trying not to be seen, and doing well.

If tomorrow morning he gets found and waxed, does that change anything in re the Taliban, and thus President Obama's chosen strategy?

DR
 
And as for Osama Bin Laden, someone thinks they know where he is, but they don't. Finding and killing him seems a good idea, still. This clipped from an AP story that cites Jones (Nat Sec Adviser) as having said Obama has been in and out of Afghanistan, basically moving between Afghanistan and Pakistan at various times.

Oddly enough, Osama Bin Laden was reported to be moving in and out of Pakistan and Afghanistan in 2004, when I was more involved with such things.

Trying not to be seen, and doing well.

If tomorrow morning he gets found and waxed, does that change anything in re the Taliban, and thus President Obama's chosen strategy?

DR

I wouldn't expect it to make much difference. He's one man. Surely what we're up against is bigger than that.
 
It would be a PR victory and a morale booster for our troops.

Agreed.

As others have noted, its change in re strategy for Taliban suppression, and dealing with Al Qaeda globally (they are not constrained to base themselves in Afghanistan) probably doesn't change much.

I'd still be pleased as punch for that waxing to occur.
 

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