Poll Vault

[Pookster]

The national polls out this morning ...

National	Marist			Obama 52, McCain 43	Obama +9
National	Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby	Obama 54, McCain 43	Obama +11
National	IBD/TIPP		Obama 52, McCain 44	Obama +8

 

[Undesired Walrus]

A sign that religion does not always control who goes to the White House:

Obama gets 71% of the Jewish vote and 71% of those without religion.

Protestants prefer McCain (59-33), as do Catholics (48-40).

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/11/mccain-obama-1.html

 

[Pookster]

Rasmussen's final poll has Obama by 6 (52%-46%) ...

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ial_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 shows Barack Obama with 52% of the vote while John McCain is six points back at 46%. One percent (1%) of voters say they’ll select a third-party option while 1% remain undecided.

 

[aerosolben]

Yup, that's it.

On the subject of exit polling, Nate Silver (of fivethirtyeight.com) has promised "A primer on why you should absolutely, positively ignore exit polls" sometime today or tomorrow. Should be interesting, I think.

And here it is.

Note it also links to a 2006 Poolster critique by Pollster of RFK Jr's (in?)famous Rolling Stone article about the 2004 election.

 

[chipmunk stew]

Anecdotal evidence that predictions of record high youth turnout are real:
Over (edit: or almost, depending on who's counting) a thousand students lining up to vote at Penn State--

The line goes on and on and on and on...

 

[not_so_new]

Anecdotal evidence that predictions of record high youth turnout are real:
Over (edit: or almost, depending on who's counting) a thousand students lining up to vote at Penn State--

The line goes on and on and on and on...

Anecdotal at best but yes that is really encouraging.

 

[David Wong]

Early voting totals:

CO: 1,704,280; 79.3% of 2004
NC: 2,623,838; 73.9% of 2004
NM: 192,229; 73.2% of 2004
NV: 561,776; 67.6% of 2004
GA: 2,020,829; 60.9% of 2004
FL: 4,377,774; 57.3% of 2004
MT: 184,632; 40.5% of 2004
IA: 481,179; 31.6% of 2004
IN: 668,868; 26.6% of 2004
OH: 1,456,364; 25.2% of 2004
ND: 76,496; 24.2% of 2004
WV: 166,353; 21.6% of 2004
VA: 465,962; 14.5% of 2004

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/how-early-voting-changed-game-in-2008.html