I have to apologize because I have been dragging my feet on a placebo effect presentation.
Basically, sol invictus and fls have identified the problem: there's some misunderstanding about what is being referred to by the phrase 'placebo effect,' and this is understsandable because the term has different colloquial and clinical uses, depending on context.
As a consequence, many conversations about whether the placebo effect is 'real' get conflated in miscommunication and participants end up talking past each other a bit.
Beecher was referring to the overall improvement in the placebo group, which we know could have many origins, not the least of which is the natural progress of the illness since the trial selection. ie: baseline recovery regardless of whether the patient is being treated. I believe he concluded that this could be around 30% of positive response. Some people call this the placebo response.
Since then, we've come up with explanations for a good portion of this positive response that are present even when the patient is untreated.
The slice of this postitive response that remains unexplained is also sometimes called "the placebo response". It's not 30%. It's transient (meaning it shows up in one study, but doesn't get replicated). It's not present in binary outcomes ("are you better yes or no?") It's very rarely present in independently verifiable outcomes, and appears limited to things that have to be reported by or dependent on the opinion of the patient.
Interpreting the original post's use of the word "proof" as really meaning "evidence," I do think that in light of the body of research there
is evidence of a placebo effect from suggestions made by the practitioner. I call this a placebo
response.
The more recent line of investigation has been to determine if it's simply a reporting bias (eg: is the patient convincing themselves that no change in pain is actually a change in pain - poor evaluation of perception and memory is not a controversial skeptical assumption), or if there could be a genuine improvement reported accurately.
We are all familiar with an unrelated but relevant study that showed that swearing reduced the perception of pain. This is just a natural consequence of what we already know: our reporting of pain has a component that depends on how much we are paying attention to the signal.
Nevertheless, I feel that this line of research has produced a body of literature that suggests one type of placebo response to practitioner suggestion may have a legitemate and relevant underlying mechanism: placebo analgesia.
On the other hand, I believe that the specific types of experiment that generate placebo analgesia through conditioning are a dead end.
What is in debate are more vague questions:
- does the evidence suggest that the effect could be exploited to obtain meaningful clinical outcomes (ie: can placebo analgesia be used to treat pain?)
- does the evidence suggest that the effect could be exploited to obtain meaningful clinical outcomes for complaints that the body of literature currently shows are unaffected? (ie: can placebo response be used to treat cancer?)
Dr. Hall did produce an article in the recent Skeptic magazine, but I think she has made an error in the way she interprets the body of literature on the subject. Specifically, she dismisses a comprehensive literature review with negative findings because there are a handful of unreplicated studies with positive findings. (When homeopaths do this, we consider it bad science.) Dr. Hall is quite bright and I'm not a doctor, so I'm sure I'm missing something. I was hoping she could explain her reasoning at some point.