Passing Peak Trump?

Well in the current Cavanaugh thread someone just predicted we just now passed Peak Trump, I'm sure this time it'll be correct.
 
Brainster said:
Trump is a classic "never going to happen" candidate, albeit with a little more name recognition than Herman Cain, who was leading in the polls at a similar point in 2011. Fiorina is another.
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In case I ever get a swelled head about my predictions in politics, please feel free to bring this up.
 
AnonyMoose said:
Three years have passed and Rah Rah Trump™ is still going strong.

I'm starting to think it's not Trump that's the problem afterall...

*cough*
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I agree with Barack Obama, who said recently that Trump was not a cause of the problem, but a symptom.


Until the cause is removed, the symptom will persist.
 
We have passed peak Trump.
But unfortunately, the required peak for re-election might be very small if the Democratic vote gets spoiled by a 3rd party candidate.
 
I didn't read the whole thread, but here is what I think will kill the Trump phenomenon:

The Fed raising interest rates.

This will set off the next bear market and will start a stock market decline that might be more severe than 2008.

Trump has publicly claimed again and again that the current economic climate is his doing and he has tied his reputation to it.

If this decline happens before the next election, we'll be rid of Trump. If the stock market success carries beyond that date, I have some bad news for you; a second term.

Of course, he could get the US into a war, but I've been happily surprised that he seems to stick to his isolationist leanings.

But my bet is that the economy will do him in.
 
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The Great Zaganza said:
Trump supporters will always praise him for a good economy and blame Democrats for a bad one.
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Which is stupid. The "Economy" is a mixture of countless factors many going back decades very few of which the President has some sort of 1:1 direct control over and near none he has some sort of ability to make quick chance with. At best a President can make changes that might improve/lower the chances of the economy improving or declining at some in the mid to far future.

The President does not sit with a real time Economy Up/Down dial on his desk.
 
The Great Zaganza said:
Trump supporters will always praise him for a good economy and blame Democrats for a bad one.
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He'll blame the Fed. A large portion of right-wing nuts thinks the Fed is a conspiracy anyway (something, something Rothschilds).

But the number of people who bought gold via Alex Jones' website is not big enough to save Trump when the market takes a 40% nosedive.
 
Eddie Dane said:
Trump has publicly claimed again and again that the current economic climate is his doing and he has tied his reputation to it.

If this decline happens before the next election, we'll be rid of Trump. If the stock market success carries beyond that date, I have some bad news for you; a second term.
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"Bad news?"

Stock market success and Trump's re-election is bad news? Only if you are opposed to jobs and prosperity.
 
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