Palin's Popularity Dropping Even Among Conservatives

[MattusMaximus]

Dingdingding! If there's one thing I've learned paying close attention to the last 11 presidential elections, it's that the US is a 40-20-40 nation, where 40% of the population will vote for the Republican even if he's a red-headed dwarf albino, and 40% of the population will vote for the Democrat even if he's an inbred alcoholic wife-beater. It's that 20% in the middle that determines things.

Bingo, on the nosey, Brainster. The more extreme folks from both parties would be wise to remember this fact.

That's not to say that Palin has no chance; but she'd have to have a terrific tailwind. Let's face it, ten years ago if I'd said the president today would be a black man with only 4 years experience as a US senator, everybody would have laughed.

Agreed. I think if the GOP wanted to have any real chance of beating Obama in 2012, they'd have to go with someone other than Palin. The only trouble is that she's the one on the Republican side getting all the attention & press, so by default she's like the public face of the GOP. Kind of a sticky situation, if you ask me, but then it's a long way until November 2012.

Btw, if you'd told me three years ago that we'd have a black president I'd have said you were crazy.

 

[MattusMaximus]

Looks like the democrats better come up with a game plan for dealing with a real candidate.

Yup, if they rest on their laurels and count on the GOP having a crappy candidate in 2012, they're asking for trouble. Hubris has toppled more than one politician... I think the most recent example was in... Massachusetts, perhaps?

 

[MattusMaximus]

Hypothetical scenario: Palin loses in the GOP primaries, and decides to run for POTUS as the "Tea Party" independent candidate. Plausible?

After seeing how she's been received by the TP-movement, I think it's entirely plausible.

 

[Thunder]

Hypothetical scenario: Palin loses in the GOP primaries, and decides to run for POTUS as the "Tea Party" independent candidate. Plausible?

now THAT....would be my dream come true!!!

in fact, ANY Tea Party candidate would be beautiful.

Orly Taitz would be even better.

 

[Skeptic]

Not likely. Remember Nader essentially getting Bush into office?

 

[Skeptic]

This is the thing that will really kill her in the GOP primaries or, if she makes it, the 2012 general election. The "quitter" meme is going to be a major deal-killer for a lot of people.

Agreed. Once again: Sarah Palin would make a bad president, probably, since she's simply not qualified enough for the job. This is no insult to Palin -- 99% of people don't have the qualification for the job. But "Sarah Palin would be a bad president" is one thing; "huh huh, stupid hick bitch!!!" face-twisting foam-spitting criticism quite another.

I'm not talking about merely making fun of her -- any candidate that can't take that surely shouldn't run (and obviously, whatever you say about her, she can take being made fun of). I'm talking about professors claiming that Palin is "deceiving" people into thinking she is a woman, or people on this very forum admitting they'd like to violently murder her (h'm -- there's no such thing as a non-violent murder, now is there?).

 

[Tebtenri]

Hypothetical scenario: Palin loses in the GOP primaries, and decides to run for POTUS as the "Tea Party" independent candidate. Plausible?

After seeing how she's been received by the TP-movement, I think it's entirely plausible.

Oh well all the Dog Whistling, not bad at it either, one way to go as a "Nu Revolutionary" but will have to stage a coup on all those hangers or better yet arrest the entire legislature or both.

 

[DJW]

I wonder if the country is ready for a Mormon, moose killing ticket? Even by 2012, Sarah isn't going to be ready to be president, but she'll be ready for the VP position. Romney is ready now. If the TP backs Palin in the primaries, then Romney may be forced to align with her. The TP won't select its own candidate IMHO (Perot and Nader pretty much assure that).