portlandatheist
Illuminator
- Joined
- Jun 9, 2007
- Messages
- 3,725
For those watching the speech (it is starting as I type) I thought I'd start a thread. Since he hasn't said anything quite yet...I have no commentary.
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act will be carried out with full transparency and accountability -- and Recovery.gov is the centerpiece of that effort. In a short video, President Obama describes the site and talks about how you'll be able to track the Recovery Act's progress every step of the way.
His ambition is admirable, but whether he can deliver is yet to be seen.Decent speech, and I think he is doing the right thing to try to fix the structural problems in our economy like health care and energy, but I worry that he has bitten off more than he can chew.
In 1990, would you have thought that the country could eliminate the deficit entirely by the end of the decade?
Anybody got the speech on video? Youtube?
You mean we didn't really run a budget surplus in the late '90s?It was fiction then, it is fiction now. Clinton rode the dot com bubble, then it burst.
Obama's speech was good as usual, but Jindal's response was what really interested me. From his "Hi, I'm Troy McClure!" introduction to his Kenneth-from-30-Rock delivery, it was fascinating to watch even apart from the content (which, to be fair, was nearly as sucky). People like him and Palin are supposed to be the future of the GOP?![]()
A couple of comments:But to truly transform our economy, protect our security, and save our planet from the ravages of climate change, we need to ultimately make clean, renewable energy the profitable kind of energy. So I ask this Congress to send me legislation that places a market-based cap on carbon pollution and drives the production of more renewable energy in America. And to support that innovation, we will invest fifteen billion dollars a year to develop technologies like wind power and solar power; advanced biofuels, clean coal, and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks built right here in America.
Obama sees cap-and-trade as a source of revenue for Uncle Sam, much as indulgences were once revenue for the Roman Catholic church. Maybe he should check with Europe's finance ministers to see how that's working out for them.Instead, it's bolstering the business case for fossil fuels.
Understanding why is easy. A year ago European governments allocated a limited number of carbon emission permits to their big polluters. Businesses that reduce pollution are allowed to sell spare permits to ones that need more. As demand outstrips this capped supply, and the price of permits rises, an incentive grows to invest in green energy. Why buy costly permits to keep a coal plant running when you can put the cash into clean power instead?
All this only works as the carbon price lifts. As with 1924 Château Lafite or Damian Hirst's diamond skulls, scarcity and speculation create the value. If permits are cheap, and everyone has lots, the green incentive crashes into reverse. As recession slashes output, companies pile up permits they don't need and sell them on. The price falls, and anyone who wants to pollute can afford to do so. The result is a system that does nothing at all for climate change but a lot for the bottom lines of mega-polluters such as the steelmaker Corus: industrial assistance in camouflage.
"I don't know why industrials would miss this opportunity," said one trader last week. "They are using it to compensate for the tightening of credit and the slowdown, to pay for redundancies."
A lot of the blame lies with governments that signed up to carbon trading as a neat idea, but then indulged polluters with luxurious quantities of permits. The excuse was that growth would soon see them bumping against the ceiling.
Instead, exchanges are in meltdown: a tonne of carbon has dropped to about €8, down from last year's summer peak of €31 and far below the €30-€45 range at which renewables can compete with fossil fuels.
The lesson of the carbon slump, like the credit crunch, is that markets can be a conduit, but not a substitute, for political will. They only work when properly primed and regulated. Europe hoped that the mere creation of a carbon market would drive everyone away from fossil fuels. It forgot that demand had to outstrip supply, and that if growth stops, demand drops too.
There is not much time to rescue the system. Carbon trading remains at the heart of the international response to climate change. Obama backs what Americans call cap and trade. Australia wants to try the same thing. It should be at the heart of a deal at the Copenhagen summit this winter. But both are hesitating, given Europe's mess.
The market must be unashamedly rigged to force supply below demand. The obvious way would be to cut the number of permits in circulation, but in a recession no government will be brave enough to do that.
From the speech:
A couple of comments:
1) No mention of nuclear power, a technology which does not need "fifteen billion dollars a year to develop." Why not, for FSM's sake? We should be building nuclear power plants now, in every county that is more than 50 miles from the San Andreas fault, instead of nonsense like biofuels; has he already forgotten what a boondoggle the ethanol mandate has turned out to be?