Originally Posted by BeAChooser
The comparison of Iran to the USSR misses the real threat posed by Iran. A much better comparison would be with Nazi Germany.
How so?
Other than a stated dislike for Jews, what do Iran in 2008 and Germany in 1938 have in common?
Surely you don't think the comparison with the USSR is better than the one with Germany. Or do you?
And "dislike"? Is that how you interpret Ahmadinejad's and many other Iranian leader's statements regarding Jews and Israel? Just simple "dislike"?
Plus, you overlook the fact that it's not just "dislike" of Jews. The fundamentalists now in charge of Iran seem to also "dislike" the "Great Satan" ... us ... even more. And much of the West. In fact, their intolerance towards ANY non-muslim and the oppressive way they say non-muslims should be treated infuses their religion which in turn dominates their government. Do you also view that as just simple "dislike"?
Relative strength of economy
With regards to economy, why look at Germany in 1938? Afterall, Chamberlain began his efforts at appeasement of Hitler much earlier ... before it had annexed Austria and parts of Czechoslovakia. Maybe that's where the comparison is strongest. In 1934, Germany's economy was much smaller than it was in 1938 ... because Hitler's 4 year plan to prepare Germany for war only began in 1936. It's amazing how much a small country's economy and military can grow in a short time ... if it's leaders and people have the will to devote themselves to that goal. Even a small country can rapidly become a big threat ... if the threat of that happening is ignored. History proves that time and again.
Just as important is the potential of the economy. Germany was a country with relatively few resources. To build Germany's military into the threat it became, Hitler had to devote a very large portion of the economy to the military. Over 20%, I seem to recall. Now Iran is sitting on very large oil reserves and given rising oil prices and a plethora of buyers, that means Iran's military can grow rapidly if it's leaders wish, perhaps without even imposing much additional hardship on it's civilian population.
Moreover, the chief threat that Iran poses doesn't lie in militarily conquering it's opponents. It lies in asymmetric conflict ... in using well funded terrorists to spread its ideology and control. As it is doing in Palestine, Lebanon and trying to do in Iraq.
I'd say both countries sit at important locations. Germany's was obviously important ... otherwise it wouldn't have been the focal point of 2 world wars, a number of major wars before that, and a major focus in the cold war that followed. What makes Iran important is that it is sitting dangerously close to the source of most of the world's oil supplies ... a resource on which the whole world now depends to maintain economic health.
Sure, we've got a bigger military and lots of nuclear weapons but look what a relatively small number of terrorists did on 9/11. We are fighting a different type of war so perhaps relative power should be measured somewhat differently than in 1939. And you need to keep in mind is that power is only meaningful if one side is willing to use it. Bush has demonstrated that willingness and that power has dramatically altered the situation in the Middle East with even larger changes in store down the line. But under Obama and democRAT leadership, we might be perceived as being unwilling to employ that power ... especially if Obama starts his presidency by pulling out of Iraq prematurely. In which case, the only thing that might matter is how far Iran is willing to push. And so far Iran has shown quite a willingness to push. As long as they maintains a plausible deniability, they might be able to get away with a great deal. Even supply terrorists with WMD. And grow in strength and relatively power each time they do that.
Territorial issues with neighboring states
Hitler was out to put his government in charge of all the surrounding countries. Iran is already controlling the actions of several governments and it's religious leaders state they want to make the whole world obey that state religion.
Ethnic minorities in neighboring states
Not sure of your point, DR. Why don't you expand on this one.
Iran is a middling power, at best, globally, though a big dog in the Persian Gulf. When it comes to pecking orders, and who is or is not a power, Iran isn't even in the top ten, and never was.
But that could change quite rapidly. Even within a single US administration. Topple a few more governments in the Middle East, drive us out of the region with the help of democRAT appeasement, keep Europe occupied with its muslim "minority" problem and Iran could be more than a middling power in just a few short years. All they have to do is gain control of either Iraq or Saudi Arabia and the oil they'd have would give them the potential of dominating the region completely. Of blackmailing the West like never before.
What territories do you think Obama will cede to Iran?
Who will he sell out, as the Czechs were sold out?
Well for starters, Israel. And Iraq. And Jordan. And Afghanistan. And then you need to ask yourself where other muslim minorities want control. Fewer people believed in nazism than believe in authoritarian Islam. If just 10 percent of the billion Muslims in the world believe in what Iran's leadership now believes (and that's what some analysts say is the case), then you are looking at an enemy with 100 million followers ... egged on by Iran's leaders.
What other similarities are there? Both Nazi Germany and Iran are closed societies, where the state controls the press. That makes it easy for them to indoctrinate their subjects. In both Nazi Germany and Iran The State was the religion. Iran has Revolutionary Guards. Hitler had the SS. Both fanatical groups willing to do anything for the cause.
And there are factors that make Iran even more dangerous than Nazi Germany. The Nazi government hid the murder of Jews from its public. The islamofascists in Iran celebrate those they murder. In Nazi Germany there were no public exhibits of the Einsatzgruppen or gas chambers. In the Iran backed West Bank, there's an exhibit celebrating the suicide bombing of a pizza restaurant in Israel.
The Nazis, evil as they were, at least valued their own lives and that of their children. The Iran backed terrorists don't seem to value either. These are people who would be willing to strap a nuke on their child's body and set it off ... just as long as it did some damage to the infidels.
This is not a country and government that should possess nuclear weapons.
"
Iran: Taking the Nazi Road to War By Brian Melton, 04/10/2008 ... snip ... Ahmadinejad and his cronies in Iran appear to be literally following a path blazed in the Twentieth Century by Hitler himself. In those fateful years leading up to World War II, Hitler consciously attempted to follow a policy that could be reasonably broken down into four stages:
Stage 1: Convince the world that your intentions are both reasonable and peaceful. ... snip ... Stage 2: Pursue your own policy behind the scenes. ... snip ... Stage 3: Strike and accomplish your goal before your enemy can react. ... snip ... Stage 4: Fait Accompli—Reassume a reasonable posture and bargain from your new position. ... snip ... Of course, this approach never worked out in perfect order in real life, but it worked well enough and often enough for Hitler to take over the Rhineland, Austria, and all of Czechoslovakia while the Allies babbled pointlessly on about “a peace for our time.” Unfortunately for Hitler, he took his last step in Poland a little too quickly and on September 1, 1939, inaugurated a war he never intended to start; a war he could not win. ... snip ...
There is at least one more commonality between the two situations: the universal gullibility of the western liberal-intellectual elite. What worked for Hitler seems to be working again for Ahmadinejad, and on the same people, no less. "