The
Georgia Lottery Corp. Annual Reportpdf gives the breakdown of where your money from lottery ticket sales goes.
I'm having a hard time reading that but the graph on page 5 seems to support you. However, this is all games combined including scratch & win. The large proportion of payouts on scratch & win are free tickets or null result wins and total sales volume outstrips lottery sales. If you average in a lot of null result wins (100% payouts on individual sales) in the total average you would expect it to increase the total payout as a percentage. Since payment is required to be in the form another ticket but is must be rang up as another sale it can increase apparent payouts significantly.
Consider a single sale where the buyer wins a free ticket 3 times in a row (not unusual). Now off of that one sale 4 apparent sales are created. That's a 75% payout averaged in that pie chart. So then how does the overall average remain so close to 50%?
To see it more clearly consider a set of 20 sequential $1 tickets.
Suppose we have 14 losers, 5 free tickets, and one $5 winner.
[Real sales]
Real sales = $15 because five were free.
Real payout = $5 because free tickets only cost them a piece of paper.
Real payout % = 33%
[Apparent sales]
Apparent sales = $20 (Clerks are required to ring up all tickets free or not)
Apparent payout = $10 (5 payed in free ticket, $5 payed in wins)
Apparent payout % = 50%
This is tantamount to printing your own money and hiding it in a numbers game with null sales. So if in fact payouts on regular lottery is ~50% scratch & win can't pay as claimed and maintain the overall 50% statistics as published. If the real scratch & win payout is as claimed they must reduce the actual cost to payout on lottery to maintain the overall 50%. If done in lottery it can only occur through the reduced cost of buying bonds.
I suppose they can make the legal argument if done through bond purchases that the winners can in fact receive the money as promised. This is tantamount to my original claim. It's also tantamout to collecting bond interest up front from winners and using it to cover all the money they printed themselves while the winner must wait on the bonds to mature to get the promised 50%.
If there is a simpler explanation of what they are really doing to meet legal payout requirements where is it?