Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Nadar and the War
My understanding is that most people think that the war is to
>make Bush and his friends rich. Bush will control the oil
>resources of Iraq and he and his buddies will get rich.
>>I'm sure some people view it in simpler terms than that.
>>Nobody would accuse the peace movement of being staffed by
>>intellectual giants. You've got dumb hawks, you've got dumb >>doves.
Agreed.
>>Do I think bush's oil contacts stand to gain wealth? Sure they
>>do. Once Saddam is gone bush can easily open up Iraq to
>>foreign investment. American oil comapanies will move in and
>>provide the necessary infrustructure for a cut of the profits.
Yes, the stand to profit at least as much with a war as without (see below)
>My argument is only valid if you accept the following. Bush
>would have about as much control of Iraqi oil if he made a deal
>with Saddam.
>>I don't think it's too easy for Bush to move into Iraq and make
>>deals. There's a political fallout from their stance. They've
>>villified Iraq so much at this point it would be quite something
>>to turn around and say, well yeah we hate saddam, he's a
>>monster, but we're going to be doing a few pipeline contracts
>>anyway.
This is where we disagree. I have little doubt that Bush could manuever to a different position. I can think of a number of scenarios. First, keep in mindwhat it is that Saddam wants and that is to Survive, keep face and power. Bush could announce that Saddam had quitely contacted Bush and offered a deal. But Bush told Saddam that only Saddams complete cooperation would work. Bush could then say that inteligent reports indicated a dramatic change in Iraq. The UN is very anxious to get this all over. If America said Saddam was cooperating then that would be it.
>The argument that Bush is starting a war to enrich him and his
>friends is completely specious.
Well... as I said I expect the US oil industry stands to gain greatly if in a post war Iraq they're in a position to provide infrustructure and take a cut of the profits, so like everything else I expect that this is a motivating factor.
Again, the outcome as to personal wealth is the same with or without a war. Bush holds all the cards. If he made a deal with Saddam he could call the shots.
>On the other hand, the fact that Bush is interested in our long
>term energy needs coupled with a real desire to solve the very
>real problem that Saddam presents and other factors are the
>reason for the war.
>>This is perhaps the main driving force behind US foreign policy
>>in the middle east, but you have to realize that long term
>>secure energy and big us corporations making money are
>>entwined. You can't really separate one from the other entirely.
I concede the point.
>"No war for oil" is simply misguided propaganda. A more
>accurate slogan would be "no war for long term security,
>economic stability and a secure energy policy"
>>Sure. But let's face it the President has his own share of sound
>>bytes. Now for the 2nd statement you have to decide if the US
>>going to war with Iraq is the best approach to take. There are
>>a lot of people who understand this and believe, quite
>>reasonably, that it is not the best approach.
Absolutely, and to be intelectually honest my alternative slogan should be "no oil for [what Bush percieves will be the outcome of the war which is] long term security, economic stability and a secure energy policy
The truth is that we don't know if Bush's plan will work or is the best one. I honestly have a lot of concerns. There have been some very good arguments why we should not go to war. The effort by Wayne and Danish and others is not lost on me.
My point is that Bush is not doing this simply for cynical reasons.
Excelent post. I really look forward to your responses. Thank you.